Sweet-Bifocals — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.24K

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,223

lifetime

Volume

$367.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$300

Open exposure

$226

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-02 09:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

51% 100% +$2,242

Other

44% — —

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	-58	$-48	86¢	$-50	$-2	06-14 05:50
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	-50	$-48	97¢	$-48	$-0	06-13 02:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-50	$-44	90¢	$-45	$-2	06-13 02:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	-50	$-40	88¢	$-44	$-4	06-07 17:05
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	Yes	-50	$-40	76¢	$-38	+$2	06-14 08:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	41	$44.3K	48,840	38,525	+10,316	open	—	01-03 09:30
us x venezuela military engagement by january 31 2026 977	6	$31.9K	29,587	2,811	+26,776	open	—	01-03 06:51
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	81	$30.1K	10,658	20,500	-9,842	open	—	02-16 17:45
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	17	$22.6K	11,721	11,721	+0	open	—	02-01 04:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	34	$17.5K	11,000	11,600	-600	open	—	03-01 01:32
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	5	$16.8K	9,512	7,359	+2,154	open	—	01-03 07:07
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	44	$13.9K	8,801	10,801	-2,000	open	—	02-23 17:29
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	10	$10.3K	6,007	6,007	+0	open	—	02-24 00:16
will claude 5 be released by december 31 266 113 228	2	$9.5K	9,538	0	+9,538	open	—	01-01 08:22
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$9.5K	6,000	4,000	+2,000	open	—	01-27 01:10
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$8.7K	4,400	4,601	-201	open	—	03-24 10:02
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	48	$7.1K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	02-17 10:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	31	$5.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-01 01:34
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	10	$5.7K	2,906	2,906	+0	open	—	01-26 13:03
maduro out by february 28 2026	8	$5.1K	11,307	14,286	-2,980	open	—	01-03 09:44
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$4.0K	2,050	2,000	+50	open	—	03-28 15:38
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	12	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-17 11:52
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	4	$3.7K	2,001	2,301	-300	open	—	01-29 17:17
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	21	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-22 15:49
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	4	$3.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-06 12:59
maduro out by march 31 2026 187 483	13	$3.4K	8,159	17,522	-9,363	open	—	01-03 09:44
minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	42	$3.4K	2,001	1,801	+200	open	—	03-26 15:21
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	17	$3.3K	3,550	1,450	+2,100	open	—	02-16 04:05
will tesla launch robotaxis in california in 2025	2	$2.8K	2,840	0	+2,840	open	—	01-01 06:54
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	3	$2.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-06 13:22
us x venezuela military engagement by march 31 2026 264 352 211 137 861 788 622 336 869 453	5	$2.8K	366	10,021	-9,655	open	—	01-03 06:47
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	10	$2.8K	1,486	1,486	+0	open	—	02-01 17:27
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	18	$2.5K	0	2,999	-2,999	open	—	01-23 20:07
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	38	$2.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-06 13:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$2.2K	0	4,000	-4,000	Yes	+$2,240	01-23 07:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 09:32:32	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	100	91¢	$92	0x9887dd…
07-01 09:05:46	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x76f696…
07-01 09:05:23	will senegal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149742	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x0a7ae5…
07-01 09:05:08	will cape verde reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149740	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x3f6482…
07-01 09:04:55	will algeria reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149747	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x66ce61…
07-01 09:04:40	will croatia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149754	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xa0880c…
07-01 09:04:26	will dr congo reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149752	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa00e4b…
07-01 09:04:10	will austria reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149746	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xa8b8f9…
07-01 09:03:55	will ghana reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149756	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x64baba…
07-01 09:03:46	will paraguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149723	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x09cfb8…
07-01 09:03:34	will australia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149722	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7879d8…
07-01 09:03:20	will canada reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149713	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x878ef2…
07-01 09:03:07	will egypt reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149735	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x8ac466…
07-01 08:59:29	will senegal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134500	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x784c28…
07-01 08:59:16	will egypt reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134493	No	BUY	50	89¢	$45	0x98e3b1…
07-01 08:59:05	will paraguay reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134481	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xa3efae…
07-01 08:58:53	will algeria reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134505	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x0a4ad9…
07-01 08:58:41	will ghana reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134514	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x71b019…
07-01 08:58:28	will croatia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134512	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x1831d0…
07-01 08:58:16	will australia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134480	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x56ae6a…
07-01 08:58:04	will austria reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134504	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xfafc51…
07-01 08:57:50	will bosnia and herzegovina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134474	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x3b3088…
07-01 08:57:34	will cape verde reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134498	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x0b2bc9…
07-01 08:57:17	will dr congo reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134510	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x50e021…
07-01 08:57:01	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x12e6c0…
06-26 04:01:34	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x0c6322…
06-24 13:56:16	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xb41d10…
06-23 04:14:46	Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0x19f561…
06-23 04:14:02	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x8cc65d…
06-23 04:13:47	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x1a7515…
06-23 04:13:34	Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x6eb395…
06-23 04:13:25	Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xce879e…
06-23 04:13:13	Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe1cfef…
06-14 08:48:42	Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0xab5d9e…
06-14 08:38:34	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xaa4fe8…
06-14 05:50:25	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	58	83¢	$48	0x628a99…
06-13 02:33:46	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x01d7ad…
06-13 02:29:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0xa8d664…
06-13 02:29:03	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x7dcc12…
06-13 02:28:37	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x6c3081…
06-13 02:27:49	will anthropic ipo by july 31 2026	No	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0x607087…
06-13 02:25:37	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x28d4be…
06-13 02:24:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xe3851a…
06-08 09:34:39	will anthropic ipo by july 31 2026	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x2dee4f…
06-07 17:05:45	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xb34e52…
06-03 09:23:15	Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x32b585…
06-03 09:06:57	Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?	SpaceX	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2a2f3c…
06-03 08:57:33	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x51b6cb…
05-27 16:18:33	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x2293b6…
05-19 13:23:32	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3ad8b6…
05-19 13:23:04	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xcd2ff2…
05-17 20:40:32	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xa9e76a…
05-17 20:38:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	47	95¢	$44	0x4fd4d6…
05-17 20:36:16	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x10a7a8…
05-17 20:35:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x2ae4b0…
05-14 04:23:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	47	89¢	$41	0xfbe2a5…
05-14 04:18:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	69¢	$35	0x5b2f2a…
05-06 09:20:40	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x2362cc…
05-06 09:18:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	48	87¢	$42	0x687512…
05-06 09:17:30	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x4aadfe…
05-06 09:15:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xbc6061…
05-06 09:15:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x32492c…
05-06 09:13:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x6f62e4…
05-06 09:13:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x20e966…
05-06 09:11:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xf5ab93…
05-06 09:11:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xe23917…
04-06 08:05:29	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	53	89¢	$47	0xdab53f…
04-05 13:12:13	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7213de…
04-05 13:02:31	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xfa7b4e…
04-05 13:00:43	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x905f2f…
04-05 13:00:27	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x4fdfc3…
04-05 12:59:07	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x2048dd…
04-05 12:57:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x3f84b0…
04-05 12:57:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf42e09…
04-05 12:57:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xc76c0d…
03-30 00:07:34	Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x13565a…
03-30 00:07:18	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x3bcb0e…
03-29 16:54:24	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x5d45f1…
03-28 17:41:51	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	98	100¢	$97	0x75f7ec…
03-28 17:09:57	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa8624e…
03-28 17:05:39	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x68e031…
03-28 16:00:57	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x8b9d1b…
03-28 16:00:53	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x53179e…
03-28 15:53:01	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x1483ae…
03-28 15:38:27	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x459cf3…
03-28 15:34:43	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xa54b6c…
03-28 15:04:55	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x9224c9…
03-28 14:58:01	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	72	87¢	$63	0x671f89…
03-27 12:01:11	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x4de972…
03-27 07:08:53	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc257c4…
03-27 06:03:51	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x3f62c4…
03-27 04:11:51	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd72134…
03-27 03:47:51	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5c3ccd…
03-27 03:25:15	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe76c55…
03-27 03:23:09	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xb9fed3…
03-27 02:47:33	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x72d2f3…
03-27 02:15:01	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd183aa…
03-27 01:17:15	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x0d1e49…
03-26 23:28:55	yoon out of custody by march 31	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x919486…
03-26 21:41:29	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x316531…