Sweet-Bifocals — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.24K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,180

lifetime

Volume

$365.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$309

Open exposure

$141

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 09:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

51% 100% +$2,242

Other

44% — —

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?	SpaceX	+50	$50	100¢	$50	+$0	06-03 09:06
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	+50	$49	100¢	$50	+$0	06-03 08:57
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	-50	$-40	82¢	$-41	$-1	06-07 17:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	41	$44.3K	48,840	38,525	+10,316	open	—	01-03 09:30
us x venezuela military engagement by january 31 2026 977	6	$31.9K	29,587	2,811	+26,776	open	—	01-03 06:51
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	81	$30.1K	10,658	20,500	-9,842	open	—	02-16 17:45
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	17	$22.6K	11,721	11,721	+0	open	—	02-01 04:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	34	$17.5K	11,000	11,600	-600	open	—	03-01 01:32
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	5	$16.8K	9,512	7,359	+2,154	open	—	01-03 07:07
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	44	$13.9K	8,801	10,801	-2,000	open	—	02-23 17:29
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	10	$10.3K	6,007	6,007	+0	open	—	02-24 00:16
will claude 5 be released by december 31 266 113 228	2	$9.5K	9,538	0	+9,538	open	—	01-01 08:22
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$9.5K	6,000	4,000	+2,000	open	—	01-27 01:10
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$8.7K	4,400	4,601	-201	open	—	03-24 10:02
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	48	$7.1K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	02-17 10:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	31	$5.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-01 01:34
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	10	$5.7K	2,906	2,906	+0	open	—	01-26 13:03
maduro out by february 28 2026	8	$5.1K	11,307	14,286	-2,980	open	—	01-03 09:44
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$4.0K	2,050	2,000	+50	open	—	03-28 15:38
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	12	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-17 11:52
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	4	$3.7K	2,001	2,301	-300	open	—	01-29 17:17
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	21	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-22 15:49
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	4	$3.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-06 12:59
maduro out by march 31 2026 187 483	13	$3.4K	8,159	17,522	-9,363	open	—	01-03 09:44
minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	42	$3.4K	2,001	1,801	+200	open	—	03-26 15:21
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	17	$3.3K	3,550	1,450	+2,100	open	—	02-16 04:05
will tesla launch robotaxis in california in 2025	2	$2.8K	2,840	0	+2,840	open	—	01-01 06:54
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	3	$2.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-06 13:22
us x venezuela military engagement by march 31 2026 264 352 211 137 861 788 622 336 869 453	5	$2.8K	366	10,021	-9,655	open	—	01-03 06:47
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	10	$2.8K	1,486	1,486	+0	open	—	02-01 17:27
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	18	$2.5K	0	2,999	-2,999	open	—	01-23 20:07
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	38	$2.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-06 13:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$2.2K	0	4,000	-4,000	Yes	+$2,240	01-23 07:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 09:34:39	will anthropic ipo by july 31 2026	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x2dee4f…
06-07 17:05:45	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xb34e52…
06-03 09:23:15	Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x32b585…
06-03 09:06:57	Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?	SpaceX	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2a2f3c…
06-03 08:57:33	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x51b6cb…
05-27 16:18:33	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x2293b6…
05-19 13:23:32	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3ad8b6…
05-19 13:23:04	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xcd2ff2…
05-17 20:40:32	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xa9e76a…
05-17 20:38:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	47	95¢	$44	0x4fd4d6…
05-17 20:36:16	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x10a7a8…
05-17 20:35:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x2ae4b0…
05-14 04:23:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	47	89¢	$41	0xfbe2a5…
05-14 04:18:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	69¢	$35	0x5b2f2a…
05-06 09:20:40	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x2362cc…
05-06 09:18:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	48	87¢	$42	0x687512…
05-06 09:17:30	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x4aadfe…
05-06 09:15:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xbc6061…
05-06 09:15:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x32492c…
05-06 09:13:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x6f62e4…
05-06 09:13:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x20e966…
05-06 09:11:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xf5ab93…
05-06 09:11:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xe23917…
04-06 08:05:29	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	53	89¢	$47	0xdab53f…
04-05 13:12:13	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7213de…
04-05 13:02:31	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xfa7b4e…
04-05 13:00:43	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x905f2f…
04-05 13:00:27	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x4fdfc3…
04-05 12:59:07	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x2048dd…
04-05 12:57:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x3f84b0…
04-05 12:57:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf42e09…
04-05 12:57:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xc76c0d…
03-30 00:07:34	Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x13565a…
03-30 00:07:18	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x3bcb0e…
03-29 16:54:24	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x5d45f1…
03-28 17:41:51	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	98	100¢	$97	0x75f7ec…
03-28 17:09:57	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa8624e…
03-28 17:05:39	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x68e031…
03-28 16:00:57	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x8b9d1b…
03-28 16:00:53	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x53179e…
03-28 15:53:01	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x1483ae…
03-28 15:38:27	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x459cf3…
03-28 15:34:43	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xa54b6c…
03-28 15:04:55	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x9224c9…
03-28 14:58:01	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	72	87¢	$63	0x671f89…
03-27 12:01:11	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x4de972…
03-27 07:08:53	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc257c4…
03-27 06:03:51	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x3f62c4…
03-27 04:11:51	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd72134…
03-27 03:47:51	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5c3ccd…
03-27 03:25:15	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe76c55…
03-27 03:23:09	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xb9fed3…
03-27 02:47:33	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x72d2f3…
03-27 02:15:01	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd183aa…
03-27 01:17:15	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x0d1e49…
03-26 23:28:55	yoon out of custody by march 31	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x919486…
03-26 21:41:29	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x316531…
03-26 21:15:39	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2048ca…
03-26 21:06:25	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x357458…
03-26 19:45:05	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x3f8bb4…
03-26 19:41:27	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x7e19c8…
03-26 19:41:21	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	SELL	635	99¢	$632	0x5a4271…
03-26 17:43:29	will hamas agree to disarm by march 31 966	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xb16c0f…
03-26 17:16:07	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x656851…
03-26 17:13:25	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb28521…
03-26 17:01:43	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x4dd438…
03-26 15:42:45	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x26b30c…
03-26 15:21:47	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	No	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0x37b04f…
03-26 15:13:53	will trump create a tariff dividend by march 31	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x4aaf5b…
03-26 14:59:53	will trump sue michael wolff by march 31	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x230977…
03-26 14:55:53	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0x2c4478…
03-26 14:53:45	weed rescheduled by march 31	No	SELL	800	99¢	$794	0xe1cff1…
03-26 14:50:57	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	No	SELL	1,147	99¢	$1,134	0xf7a05e…
03-26 13:33:03	foreign intervention in gaza by march 31	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x287e72…
03-26 12:57:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0x6216ed…
03-26 12:54:25	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	1,963	99¢	$1,952	0x0dfa94…
03-26 12:52:29	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0657b1…
03-26 12:42:47	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	590	94¢	$553	0x4a26ce…
03-26 12:41:41	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x58968d…
03-24 10:02:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	4,000	98¢	$3,933	0xb4cea5…
03-22 15:49:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	2,000	91¢	$1,820	0x40ef76…
03-21 21:59:47	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	No	BUY	91	87¢	$79	0x417253…
03-21 20:31:03	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x61187d…
03-21 17:48:13	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x8291b9…
03-21 17:44:37	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xd77438…
03-21 16:51:25	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	No	BUY	44	87¢	$38	0x24a210…
03-21 15:37:03	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x57daea…
03-21 15:31:25	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xd19e9e…
03-21 15:25:45	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	94	90¢	$84	0xe44d4a…
03-21 15:15:19	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x2a2b46…
03-21 14:59:09	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	125	90¢	$112	0x210f7a…
03-21 14:57:43	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x52c708…
03-21 14:48:33	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x53629a…
03-21 14:48:31	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	87	90¢	$78	0x1f3b3e…
03-21 13:50:35	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	BUY	481	99¢	$478	0xf19a1e…
03-19 05:32:03	Will Yodchanan Wongsawat be the next prime minister of Thailand?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xf5d988…
03-18 13:06:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1,118	92¢	$1,028	0x15224f…
03-18 13:06:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x5e5c31…
03-18 13:05:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	14	92¢	$12	0x15c525…
03-18 13:05:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0xeea4d7…