Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$234

Unrealized P&L

+$84

Hit rate

31.4%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

610 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$598

$8.64K lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$283

4 positions

First seen

2026-06-19

last 11-01 18:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

95% 35% -$792

Sports

3% 25% -$43

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+700	$130	30¢	$214	+$84	10-22 11:48
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+100	$15	28¢	$28	+$13	10-23 20:01
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+200	$30	12¢	$25	-$5	10-30 21:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?	Yes	+100	$24	16¢	$16	-$8	10-28 19:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	5	$469	405	405	+0	No	-$57	06-29 22:18
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	15	$411	300	300	+0	Paraguay	-$33	06-29 23:07
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	21	$381	970	970	+0	Over	+$8	07-05 21:55
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	16	$299	500	200	+300	Under	-$91	11-01 18:13
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 corners total 8pt5	4	$241	200	200	+0	Under	-$3	07-01 16:59
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	6	$240	310	0	+310	Yes	+$70	07-04 22:24
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	2	$215	140	140	+0	Yes	+$61	07-04 18:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	6	$210	300	300	+0	open	—	09-10 12:17
fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team to advance	3	$198	120	120	+0	Switzerland	+$37	07-03 04:25
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$196	100	100	+0	No	+$1	07-04 23:14
will xagusd reach 64 in july 2026	2	$173	200	0	+200	No	-$173	07-06 00:03
Will England win on 2026-06-27?	2	$168	100	100	+0	Yes	+$2	06-27 09:10
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	1	$154	200	0	+200	Yes	+$46	06-30 03:44
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	2	$147	146	146	+0	No	-$13	06-25 21:13
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	2	$146	250	0	+250	Morocco	-$146	06-29 23:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	6	$135	300	300	+0	open	—	09-16 20:11
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	3	$134	200	0	+200	Brazil	+$66	06-29 18:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	4	$130	700	0	+700	open	—	10-22 11:48
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$123	102	102	+0	open	—	07-04 16:26
FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5	2	$119	100	100	+0	Over	+$1	10-31 19:09
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	2	$118	100	100	+0	Over	+$6	10-31 17:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?	14	$116	200	0	+200	No	-$116	06-22 19:15
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5	2	$111	100	100	+0	Under	-$15	10-28 20:13
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	2	$100	100	100	+0	No	-$4	06-27 08:25
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 20?	16	$99	271	0	+271	No	-$99	06-19 20:01
Olympiakós SFP vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 0.5	1	$96	100	0	+100	Over	+$4	10-22 20:35
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 corners total 9pt5	6	$95	289	0	+289	Under	-$95	06-20 17:41
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	2	$92	150	0	+150	Over	+$59	10-25 21:51
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 23?	2	$91	90	90	+0	Yes	+$3	06-22 18:18
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 20?	10	$85	327	0	+327	No	-$85	06-20 07:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 18:13:51	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	90	8¢	$7	0xe01b37…
11-01 18:13:10	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xb59382…
11-01 18:12:49	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xac3285…
11-01 17:54:06	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x8f6c4f…
10-31 19:09:49	FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0xae309e…
10-31 17:32:28	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0xb20a20…
10-31 16:57:21	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	57	51¢	$29	0xd33204…
10-31 16:56:18	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x30c965…
10-31 16:48:33	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x989b5a…
10-31 16:48:03	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4cc2bc…
10-31 16:41:40	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x665356…
10-31 16:41:37	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x68bffb…
10-31 16:41:33	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xdb6ee6…
10-31 16:30:34	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x077ae3…
10-31 16:30:21	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x7360ba…
10-31 16:19:58	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	70	45¢	$32	0x45682b…
10-31 16:01:55	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x30a4cd…
10-31 15:42:31	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x94f3c9…
10-31 15:39:36	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xb1ddd3…
10-31 14:47:07	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2fbff1…
10-31 12:18:48	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xc8fcb5…
10-31 05:01:15	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xddbdde…
10-31 05:01:15	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xcfcfbe…
10-31 04:53:03	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x0803f9…
10-31 04:50:45	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	26	52¢	$13	0x4ddfa1…
10-31 04:32:19	FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x709e78…
10-31 00:32:03	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa74f46…
10-30 21:43:40	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x72ccb0…
10-30 19:52:16	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1568e0…
10-30 19:05:42	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	48	53¢	$25	0xc363f0…
10-30 17:21:28	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf9ccb1…
10-30 10:26:36	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	106	52¢	$55	0xc29d7e…
10-30 05:29:39	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x57550a…
10-29 23:19:16	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	77	52¢	$40	0xacc8c4…
10-29 16:56:23	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x0257b9…
10-28 20:13:08	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x7c8137…
10-28 19:57:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x200f22…
10-28 19:47:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xce4350…
10-28 18:57:19	Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xbe9b40…
10-28 18:43:38	Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0x46a1fe…
10-28 18:26:25	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x6f02f4…
10-28 18:18:22	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the april 2027 meeting	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xfb6c1c…
10-28 18:18:22	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the april 2027 meeting	Yes	BUY	45	24¢	$11	0xe30f6f…
10-28 18:01:59	Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xe4ef8e…
10-28 15:49:58	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xa9a887…
10-27 21:05:00	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x6cc975…
10-27 19:42:03	FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0x9896cb…
10-26 07:21:53	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x946a9f…
10-25 23:05:05	FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x368a3b…
10-25 21:55:08	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x7ee430…
10-25 21:51:32	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xbb9439…
10-25 21:47:35	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x80c9da…
10-25 20:42:14	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	52	30¢	$16	0x067329…
10-25 20:41:51	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	48	30¢	$14	0x03484c…
10-25 15:07:51	Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x09b6a9…
10-25 14:39:47	Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xad5876…
10-25 12:31:06	Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x673c33…
10-25 12:00:48	Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x18b5c6…
10-25 12:00:47	Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0xd37f5c…
10-24 15:38:18	FC Utrecht vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xd3bb15…
10-24 15:13:23	FC Utrecht vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x79e1dd…
10-24 14:36:35	Coventry City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0x0da759…
10-24 14:36:33	Coventry City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	75	33¢	$25	0xcbd73c…
10-24 12:21:41	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x65ee7f…
10-24 11:17:05	Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x5792c1…
10-24 10:02:54	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x1fff8e…
10-24 10:02:51	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	44	63¢	$28	0xcef5ca…
10-24 05:00:42	Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x950038…
10-24 05:00:42	Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x20279b…
10-24 05:00:39	Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x5ca2ed…
10-24 05:00:39	Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x59c9a4…
10-23 20:01:15	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	86	15¢	$13	0xd3cae8…
10-23 19:25:45	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0xa3174a…
10-23 18:12:18	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xf40421…
10-22 20:42:08	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xd14daa…
10-22 20:35:29	Olympiakós SFP vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xd77a3e…
10-22 20:11:20	Olympiakós SFP vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x40f523…
10-22 20:09:11	Olympiakós SFP vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x06bbc1…
10-22 11:48:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	89	18¢	$16	0xfcbe6f…
10-22 11:48:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	261	18¢	$47	0xab0beb…
10-21 15:39:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	19¢	$57	0xc9a159…
10-18 17:08:17	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x1f2ebf…
09-16 20:11:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	208	26¢	$54	0xa7d644…
09-16 20:11:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	92	26¢	$24	0x6c5ac0…
09-10 12:17:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	300	45¢	$135	0xf53fa4…
08-23 13:42:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0xc3d4e6…
08-23 13:42:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	19¢	$7	0x0525ba…
08-23 13:42:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	59	19¢	$11	0x0bcdb9…
08-22 16:01:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x131f8b…
08-18 04:40:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x9b0c60…
08-18 04:40:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	86	25¢	$22	0x88f3d5…
08-18 04:40:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x869228…
08-18 04:40:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x328e83…
08-18 04:40:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	70	25¢	$18	0x1df919…
07-19 13:43:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd7d772…
07-19 00:45:22	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	220	7¢	$15	0xca0932…
07-14 06:22:26	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x33e0fa…
07-13 16:36:59	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xe061c8…
07-11 21:08:37	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x222851…
07-11 05:49:56	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 holloway win by ko tko	No	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x8773f2…