Starry-Snorer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$257

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.9%

Resolved

Trades

211

lifetime

Volume

$29.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$140

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 05-08 18:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

57% — —

Politics

27% 0% $-260

Crypto

14% 100% +$3

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	6	$1.2K	4,075	4,075	+0	open	—	04-16 04:59
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	3	$784	428	426	+2	open	—	04-21 22:14
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	3	$729	1,038	0	+1,038	open	—	04-21 22:15
will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$588	300	300	+0	open	—	04-12 23:54
bitcoin above 72k on april 11	4	$564	288	288	+0	open	—	04-11 15:45
highest temperature in atlanta on april 11 2026 80 81f	4	$559	284	283	+0	open	—	04-11 17:53
donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 80 99	3	$557	281	281	+0	open	—	04-13 01:50
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	2	$554	281	281	+0	open	—	04-11 14:08
bitcoin above 74k on april 14	2	$553	316	311	+5	open	—	04-14 15:42
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$545	312	312	+0	open	—	04-13 17:45
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	3	$506	262	261	+1	open	—	04-25 00:40
ethereum above 2300 on april 14	2	$497	253	252	+1	open	—	04-14 15:44
highest temperature in madrid on april 11 2026 22c	7	$478	508	173	+335	open	—	04-11 14:15
c quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 14 2026 2pt6	2	$472	245	245	+0	open	—	04-14 12:20
ms quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 15 2026 3	2	$470	242	242	+1	open	—	04-15 11:29
jnj quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 14 2026 2pt68	5	$469	243	243	+0	open	—	04-14 11:38
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?	2	$462	235	235	+0	open	—	04-16 07:47
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 0 39	3	$461	234	234	+0	open	—	04-12 10:11
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	2	$461	234	234	+0	open	—	04-16 04:05
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 165 189	2	$448	232	231	+1	open	—	04-13 14:50
bitcoin above 70k on april 13	2	$439	223	223	+0	open	—	04-13 14:59
wti closes above 85 on april 22 2026	2	$436	224	223	+0	open	—	04-22 17:39
spy closes above 720 on april 22 2026	2	$431	218	218	+0	open	—	04-22 19:49
mco quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 4pt32	3	$426	218	218	+0	open	—	04-22 11:07
ibm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 1pt81	2	$423	216	216	+0	open	—	04-22 20:08
bitcoin above 76k on april 22	5	$421	214	213	+0	open	—	04-22 14:36
gs quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 13 2026 15pt95	2	$420	217	217	+0	open	—	04-13 13:56
cme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 3pt23	2	$417	209	209	+0	open	—	04-22 11:16
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	2	$406	351	347	+4	open	—	04-15 01:27
gd quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 22 2026 3pt67	3	$402	218	218	+0	open	—	04-23 23:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 18:27:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	435	60¢	$260	0xa2b6a1…
05-05 15:04:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x253d2b…
05-05 07:06:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	112	98¢	$109	0x70dc33…
05-01 14:09:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xfb2ef3…
05-01 10:03:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	116	96¢	$111	0xe78b31…
04-30 16:41:52	Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x8459fb…
04-30 03:00:06	Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	109	98¢	$107	0x5f5050…
04-27 19:19:36	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	Yes	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0x1d926c…
04-27 15:58:14	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	144	96¢	$139	0xe1fdba…
04-27 14:13:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	158	57¢	$90	0x2ff294…
04-27 14:12:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	152	42¢	$64	0xbc2526…
04-27 04:30:54	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xdc5125…
04-27 04:30:46	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x5c91f1…
04-27 00:37:22	Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	Yes	SELL	162	100¢	$162	0x6b2ecc…
04-26 10:56:06	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	152	96¢	$146	0xf188f4…
04-26 05:55:34	Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	148	90¢	$133	0xdfc7f9…
04-26 05:48:12	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	Yes	BUY	145	92¢	$133	0x8ff5d2…
04-26 05:28:18	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	No	BUY	111	92¢	$102	0x89dddf…
04-26 05:27:16	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	BUY	34	91¢	$31	0x78978f…
04-25 23:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 25?	No	SELL	89	100¢	$88	0xc56c44…
04-25 23:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 25?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x9f9e9a…
04-25 23:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 25?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x254a02…
04-25 21:29:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 25?	Yes	BUY	147	96¢	$141	0x1c2a13…
04-25 20:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 25?	No	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0x424e1f…
04-25 17:46:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 25?	No	BUY	141	95¢	$134	0xac2c66…
04-25 17:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 25?	No	BUY	141	95¢	$134	0x999512…
04-25 17:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 25?	No	BUY	37	91¢	$34	0x578b43…
04-25 17:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 62°F or higher on April 25?	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xcd979a…
04-25 17:05:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	SELL	147	100¢	$147	0x5a467a…
04-25 11:12:28	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc30473…
04-25 11:12:28	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x83c5d2…
04-25 07:54:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0xeb0723…
04-25 07:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xa1b6ff…
04-25 01:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	144	97¢	$140	0x1b936c…
04-25 01:04:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	147	95¢	$140	0x228ad1…
04-25 01:01:44	Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	Yes	BUY	163	86¢	$140	0x79611d…
04-25 00:40:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	SELL	261	100¢	$261	0xe5d3fc…
04-24 22:18:24	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	92¢	$103	0x72ced4…
04-24 22:11:58	Will Trump say "Epstein" during WHCA Dinner events?	No	BUY	111	93¢	$103	0xd1c1bf…
04-24 16:16:16	highest temperature in madrid on april 24 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	159	94¢	$149	0x8602bc…
04-24 15:47:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	SELL	115	0¢	$0	0x10ab36…
04-24 15:41:22	xrp above 1pt4 on april 24	Yes	SELL	149	100¢	$149	0x0f1064…
04-24 15:17:14	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	116	85¢	$98	0x293bd6…
04-24 15:15:06	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xf2ac9b…
04-24 15:12:06	zelenskyy of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 80 99	Yes	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x3b0cf1…
04-24 15:11:52	zelenskyy of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 60 79	Yes	SELL	104	16¢	$17	0xa03280…
04-24 13:52:18	ethereum above 2300 on april 24	Yes	BUY	193	77¢	$148	0x953d5e…
04-24 13:51:26	xrp above 1pt4 on april 24	Yes	BUY	149	99¢	$148	0x2e2e24…
04-24 13:24:40	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 24	Yes	SELL	194	100¢	$194	0x0044d0…
04-24 10:52:10	zelenskyy of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 60 79	Yes	BUY	104	92¢	$95	0x66c77e…
04-24 10:51:54	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	No	BUY	99	97¢	$95	0x98a860…
04-24 10:49:18	pg quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 24 2026 1pt56	Yes	BUY	103	93¢	$95	0x23d359…
04-24 05:55:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x8fe2b9…
04-24 05:55:18	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	SELL	337	1¢	$2	0x4413ac…
04-23 23:48:30	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 24	Yes	BUY	194	98¢	$190	0xbf2fe2…
04-23 23:40:50	gd quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 22 2026 3pt67	Yes	SELL	214	89¢	$190	0xb869f9…
04-23 23:24:30	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	337	78¢	$262	0x4f2abf…
04-23 05:10:56	gd quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 22 2026 3pt67	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x585d7a…
04-22 20:32:20	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x058845…
04-22 20:14:04	lmt quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 6pt68	Yes	BUY	276	88¢	$244	0xec4bd0…
04-22 20:08:46	cbre quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 23 2026 1pt12	Yes	BUY	259	94¢	$244	0x870cac…
04-22 20:08:06	ibm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 1pt81	Yes	SELL	216	100¢	$216	0xd8d682…
04-22 20:03:08	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	259	94¢	$244	0x934309…
04-22 19:52:32	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	260	94¢	$244	0xebb011…
04-22 19:49:34	spy closes above 720 on april 22 2026	No	SELL	218	100¢	$218	0x1f2101…
04-22 17:39:02	wti closes above 85 on april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	223	100¢	$223	0x86bf3a…
04-22 15:56:44	solana above 90 on april 22	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb6cad6…
04-22 15:30:10	solana above 90 on april 22	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4d1efd…
04-22 15:29:10	solana above 90 on april 22	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x88e383…
04-22 15:26:18	solana above 90 on april 22	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe06f7d…
04-22 14:36:18	bitcoin above 76k on april 22	Yes	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0xe0e741…
04-22 14:34:58	bitcoin above 76k on april 22	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x862d7d…
04-22 14:32:34	bitcoin above 76k on april 22	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x8c766e…
04-22 14:32:34	bitcoin above 76k on april 22	Yes	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x029551…
04-22 13:20:36	solana above 90 on april 22	No	BUY	131	93¢	$123	0xb7b990…
04-22 13:18:52	cz binance of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 0 19	No	SELL	109	77¢	$84	0x70523d…
04-22 12:58:28	cz binance of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 0 19	No	SELL	47	84¢	$39	0x8152f2…
04-22 11:54:34	wti closes above 85 on april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	224	96¢	$214	0x73775e…
04-22 11:52:56	spy closes above 720 on april 22 2026	No	BUY	218	98¢	$213	0xb4ea60…
04-22 11:16:26	cme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 3pt23	Yes	SELL	209	100¢	$209	0x702fb0…
04-22 11:07:42	mco quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 4pt32	Yes	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xfa711a…
04-22 11:07:38	mco quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 4pt32	Yes	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0xd67d79…
04-22 10:42:46	bitcoin above 76k on april 22	Yes	BUY	214	97¢	$208	0x5a926a…
04-22 10:41:00	ibm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 1pt81	Yes	BUY	216	96¢	$208	0x53bfa8…
04-22 10:40:46	mco quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 4pt32	Yes	BUY	218	95¢	$208	0xc102de…
04-22 10:40:28	cme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 3pt23	Yes	BUY	209	99¢	$208	0x1d0dbd…
04-22 10:39:16	gd quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 22 2026 3pt67	Yes	BUY	218	95¢	$208	0xf26b07…
04-21 22:15:04	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	499	77¢	$384	0x1b2b3a…
04-21 22:14:34	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	No	SELL	426	91¢	$386	0x8dbffd…
04-21 22:14:10	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	No	BUY	242	92¢	$222	0xbe6f49…
04-21 22:13:42	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	246	90¢	$222	0x5ae1d3…
04-21 21:34:50	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	320	57¢	$182	0xc1896a…
04-21 04:06:52	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	220	74¢	$163	0xf8f024…
04-21 04:06:28	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	Yes	SELL	163	100¢	$163	0xa5169a…
04-20 17:36:30	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	No	BUY	186	95¢	$176	0x102641…
04-20 11:59:04	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	Yes	BUY	33	97¢	$31	0xffe863…
04-20 11:57:34	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	Yes	BUY	130	96¢	$126	0xfae3f1…
04-19 09:08:54	will 40 49 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 371	No	BUY	182	84¢	$153	0xccddea…
04-19 03:58:28	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 18 2026	No	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0xa89dd3…
04-18 20:14:28	will trump say gay for palestine this week april 19	No	BUY	157	98¢	$154	0xfc04d9…