Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$339

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

38.7%

Resolved

320

Trades

547

lifetime

Volume

$2.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-26 22:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 36% -$158

Other

26% 20% +$673

Politics

7% 7% -$131

Sports

2% 0% -$40

Tech

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+34	$5	17¢	$6	+$1	07-19 01:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	2	$132	1,944	1,944	+0	open	—	10-05 04:02
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	2	$90	900	0	+900	Yes	+$810	07-15 20:28
will trump say jesus this week march 8	6	$69	59,500	0	+59,500	Yes	-$69	03-11 19:37
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	7	$68	553	0	+553	No	-$68	10-26 22:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 19:10 UTC	7	$55	79	69	+10	Up	-$14	07-13 19:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 15:55 UTC	4	$51	47	47	+0	Up	+$12	07-13 15:59
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	3	$49	401	390	+11	No	-$1	04-14 20:46
wnba nyl ind 2026 07 18	3	$45	57	57	+0	Indiana Fever	+$5	07-19 01:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 15:35 UTC	5	$41	40	30	+10	Down	-$5	07-13 15:38
mlb pit cle 2026 07 18	2	$40	66	0	+66	Cleveland Guardians	-$40	07-19 03:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 19:15 UTC	5	$37	46	35	+11	Down	-$10	07-13 19:19
Will France vs. England end in a draw?	2	$33	97	97	+0	No	-$27	07-18 22:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 19:35 UTC	3	$30	29	17	+12	Down	+$4	07-13 19:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:15 UTC	3	$30	23	12	+10	Down	+$2	07-14 05:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 20:00 UTC	4	$30	25	25	+0	Up	-$9	07-13 20:04
cs2 fxw7 imp11 2026 07 19	8	$27	30	30	+0	Fluxo W7M	+$0	07-20 03:53
lol kt dk 2026 04 15 total games 2pt5	2	$27	65	0	+65	Over	-$27	04-15 11:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:30 UTC	4	$26	48	48	+0	Down	-$13	07-14 05:34
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	5	$26	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-20 20:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 07:10 UTC	3	$26	32	16	+15	Down	-$14	07-13 07:10
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	6	$22	32	32	+0	Yes	-$2	07-20 20:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:10 UTC	5	$22	169	44	+125	Down	-$18	09-25 23:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 19:45 UTC	2	$21	12	12	+0	Down	+$3	07-13 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	5	$21	16	12	+4	Up	$0	07-14 05:23
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$17	90	90	+0	No	-$1	07-20 14:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 07:00 UTC	2	$17	15	15	+0	Down	-$3	07-13 07:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 17:30 UTC	2	$17	20	20	+0	Down	-$3	07-13 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$16	15	9	+6	Up	+$2	09-23 19:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:40 UTC	2	$16	13	13	+0	Up	-$3	07-13 12:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 16:45 UTC	2	$16	24	24	+0	Up	-$4	07-13 16:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:44:35	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	505	10¢	$50	0xa7ea02…
10-05 04:02:02	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	SELL	1,944	2¢	$32	0xfa91d4…
10-04 20:50:23	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	BUY	1,944	5¢	$100	0x4fbf94…
09-25 23:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	81	6¢	$5	0x6e1e8d…
09-25 23:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	44	5¢	$2	0xe0528b…
09-25 23:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xf563ec…
09-25 23:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x2d2266…
09-25 23:12:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x6d118d…
09-24 00:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x64d32d…
09-24 00:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0cdf79…
09-23 23:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x78718d…
09-23 23:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x98ad1f…
09-23 23:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6b3165…
09-23 23:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xfa9c67…
09-23 23:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x22c7ec…
09-23 23:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xa5d838…
09-23 23:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xd0826b…
09-23 23:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xfb01e0…
09-23 23:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x5e194c…
09-23 22:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x1ab0f6…
09-23 22:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x4f8e04…
09-23 22:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x8ac9b9…
09-23 22:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xdf988f…
09-23 22:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xfc2363…
09-23 22:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc26ceb…
09-23 22:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc9efba…
09-23 22:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x5ecd95…
09-23 22:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x6eb459…
09-23 21:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xda0051…
09-23 21:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x27f585…
09-23 21:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x505659…
09-23 21:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x724395…
09-23 21:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x07a0a8…
09-23 20:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb5f515…
09-23 20:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x1b8bd1…
09-23 20:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xbdc325…
09-23 20:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$6	0x8870cf…
09-23 20:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x39409b…
09-23 20:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x32f1f8…
09-23 20:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x162848…
09-23 20:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe32cb6…
09-23 20:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8a31a0…
09-23 20:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xa29274…
09-23 20:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x769925…
09-23 19:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x80f61f…
09-23 19:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x8d039d…
09-23 19:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x77943f…
09-23 19:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6fcdf0…
09-23 19:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x9daf76…
09-23 19:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x119511…
09-23 19:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe7a25f…
09-23 19:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xbd3e78…
09-23 19:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x204aad…
09-23 19:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xef6233…
09-23 19:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	47¢	$4	0x1bcd88…
09-23 19:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x7863c1…
09-23 19:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xd95c71…
09-23 19:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xb26f39…
09-23 19:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdf6286…
09-23 19:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x66aebc…
09-23 19:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x3deb10…
09-23 19:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc77365…
09-23 19:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0xef6dc5…
09-23 19:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x61c421…
09-23 19:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa94cf9…
09-23 19:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xbf9d3d…
09-23 18:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x4f7a50…
09-23 18:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x68299a…
09-23 18:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x564331…
09-23 18:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x007807…
09-23 18:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xde1f57…
09-23 18:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0xde8218…
09-23 18:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xac8670…
09-23 17:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	14	67¢	$10	0xc4893c…
09-23 17:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd0780a…
07-21 04:05:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1,010	0¢	$1	0x1d3f5a…
07-21 03:55:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x182b91…
07-21 03:50:46	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xacc579…
07-21 03:50:42	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xc335d1…
07-21 03:50:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xb89e17…
07-21 03:45:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xe4615c…
07-21 03:45:36	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xdbf7b0…
07-21 03:40:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x34d099…
07-21 03:40:31	XRP Up or Down - July 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x38a471…
07-21 03:40:30	Solana Up or Down - July 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xa2600e…
07-21 03:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x388e3b…
07-21 03:35:28	Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xf73369…
07-21 03:25:27	Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x26c09d…
07-21 03:25:25	Solana Up or Down - July 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x6b8b77…
07-21 03:25:24	XRP Up or Down - July 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x518e1b…
07-21 03:25:22	Solana Up or Down - July 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xff2f0c…
07-21 03:15:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x1a210c…
07-21 03:10:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xc801e5…
07-21 03:10:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xb88dd9…
07-21 03:00:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1,010	0¢	$1	0x5f894a…
07-21 03:00:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1,010	0¢	$1	0x0a986a…
07-21 03:00:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xa7c9d5…
07-21 03:00:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1,010	0¢	$1	0x1fb8ed…
07-21 02:50:10	Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x7acdcb…
07-21 02:50:09	Solana Up or Down - July 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x935565…