Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$112,984

Trades

13,320

Unique wallets

1,827

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-07-21

First seen

2026-07-21

last 07-21 03:36

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Svelte-Chicory +2,962 (anon) +2,535 (anon) +2,476 Monstrous-Dew +1,746 Mountainous-Buy +1,669 Crowded-Initialise +1,651 (anon) +1,606 (anon) +1,554

NO holders

(anon) +7,166 Quarterly-Lag +5,959 Svelte-Chicory +2,996 (anon) +2,535 (anon) +2,349 Natural-Octopus +2,072 (anon) +1,586 (anon) +1,554

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +0.1¢ (top1%: 35% YES on $64.8K vs crowd: 35% YES on $107.7K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	212	$19.3K	$43.7K	$24.4K
🐬 Dolphin	498	$9.1K	$13.6K	$4.5K
🐟 Fish	656	$7.7K	$10.9K	$3.2K
🦐 Shrimp	461	$1.5K	$1.9K	$436

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	341	$22.7K	$42.2K	$19.5K
🏆 Top 5%	460	$5.4K	$10.8K	$5.4K
✅ Top 10%	103	$627	$988	$361
Median	95	$188	$379	$190
Below median	338	$761	$1.8K	$997
⚠️ Bottom 10%	194	$514	$2.5K	$2.0K
🔻 Bottom 5%	206	$2.5K	$3.5K	$1.1K
💀 Bottom 1%	90	$5.0K	$8.0K	$3.0K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90	Down	+7,166	$4,911	$4,911	60	07-21 03:31
Quarterly-Lag 0xba8c…e77d	Down	+5,959	$5,849	$5,849	31	07-21 03:35
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	Down	+2,996	$1,398	$1,398	165	07-21 03:35
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	Up	+2,962	$970	$970	138	07-21 03:35
(anonymous) 0x13e0…5204	Down	+2,535	$1,619	$1,619	139	07-21 03:34
(anonymous) 0x13e0…5204	Up	+2,535	$1,079	$1,079	74	07-21 03:35
(anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c	Up	+2,476	$1,025	$1,025	218	07-21 03:34
(anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c	Down	+2,349	$1,509	$1,509	210	07-21 03:34
Natural-Octopus 0xcc13…8c5d	Down	+2,072	$1,036	$1,036	30	07-21 03:31
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	Up	+1,746	$629	$629	5	07-21 03:33
Mountainous-Buy 0x4228…34cb	Up	+1,669	$730	$739	3	07-21 03:34
Crowded-Initialise 0x5192…df62	Up	+1,651	$30	$114	39	07-21 03:35
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	Up	+1,606	$580	$580	155	07-21 03:34
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	Down	+1,586	$1,038	$1,038	149	07-21 03:34
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	Up	+1,554	$750	$750	86	07-21 03:34
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	Down	+1,554	$1,034	$1,034	64	07-21 03:34
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	Down	+1,356	$898	$898	186	07-21 03:34
(anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b	Down	+1,355	$903	$903	162	07-21 03:34
Suburban-Characterization 0x251c…541f	Up	+1,320	$427	$427	11	07-21 03:34
Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f	Up	+1,317	$467	$467	95	07-21 03:34
Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f	Down	+1,301	$864	$864	68	07-21 03:34
(anonymous) 0x2903…5906	Down	+1,283	$894	$894	60	07-21 03:35
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	Up	+1,274	$501	$501	175	07-21 03:34
(anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b	Up	+1,272	$574	$574	150	07-21 03:34
(anonymous) 0x2903…5906	Up	+1,148	$603	$603	58	07-21 03:35
Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f	Up	+1,121	$411	$411	91	07-21 03:34
Yearly-Backup-Stone 0x7d5f…f568	Up	+1,094	$397	$397	67	07-21 03:35
(anonymous) 0xb587…e2a7	Up	+1,051	$343	$343	76	07-21 03:34
Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f	Down	+1,026	$545	$545	69	07-21 03:34
(anonymous) 0xb587…e2a7	Down	+1,021	$633	$633	83	07-21 03:34
Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075	Up	+1,000	$304	$304	2	07-21 03:31
(anonymous) 0x3048…7537	Down	+971	$568	$568	30	07-21 03:34
Suburban-Characterization 0x251c…541f	Down	+960	$715	$715	8	07-21 03:34
(anonymous) 0x3048…7537	Up	+913	$380	$380	32	07-21 03:34
Complete-Gel 0xae77…fa72	Down	+808	$800	$800	10	07-21 03:35
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	Up	+800	$266	$266	10	07-21 03:34
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	Down	+800	$577	$577	10	07-21 03:34
(anonymous) 0xfb1c…963e	Down	+800	$436	$436	9	07-21 03:31
(anonymous) 0x92b8…beca	Up	+800	$290	$290	28	07-21 03:33
(anonymous) 0x82c8…da77	Down	+763	$503	$503	32	07-21 03:34
Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed	Up	+761	$265	$265	33	07-21 03:34
(anonymous) 0x82c8…da77	Up	+748	$238	$238	30	07-21 03:34
Novel-Plow-Toot 0xd02b…d6df	Down	+733	$504	$504	7	07-21 03:30
Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88	Up	+731	$238	$238	31	07-21 03:34
(anonymous) 0x37bd…ed2a	Up	+686	$143	$143	37	07-21 03:34
(anonymous) 0x3375…a69c	Up	+684	$235	$235	35	07-21 03:32
Noted-Broom 0x6683…45ff	Up	+656	$272	$272	9	07-21 03:35
(anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461	Down	+655	$402	$402	44	07-21 03:32
(anonymous) 0x9400…6ec0	Down	+640	$600	$600	1	07-21 03:34
(anonymous) 0x79d3…6100	Up	+624	$169	$231	52	07-21 03:35
(anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3	Up	+621	$207	$207	41	07-21 03:34
(anonymous) 0x16cb…d80c	Up	+600	$6	$6	1	07-21 03:35
(anonymous) 0x989a…b73f	Up	+600	$6	$6	1	07-21 03:35
Yearly-Backup-Stone 0x7d5f…f568	Down	+597	$435	$435	34	07-21 03:34
Lonely-Dresser 0x3b84…f487	Down	+577	$245	$245	32	07-21 03:35
Limping-Freedom 0x9003…fa6e	Down	+576	$426	$426	30	07-21 03:34
Piercing-Saxophone 0x9cbf…a8a8	Down	+546	$410	$410	11	07-21 03:34
(anonymous) 0x0003…3b49	Down	+544	$352	$352	52	07-21 03:32
Probable-Amazement 0x156b…5808	Down	+521	$459	$459	9	07-21 03:35
Bite-Sized-Molding 0xf418…95a3	Down	+520	$322	$322	13	07-21 03:34