Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
43
lifetime
Volume
$89
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$12
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-26
last 06-11 13:25
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
54%
Other
45%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +3 $2 76¢ $2 +$0 06-10 14:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 06-10 14:24
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +9 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 06-11 12:27
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +1 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 06-05 06:25
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-05 06:23
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-05 06:17
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 06-04 14:05
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-04 13:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +6 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 06-05 06:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +4 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-10 14:23
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No +3 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 05-28 10:37
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes +10 $0 $0 $-0 05-29 11:17