Glaring-Overweight 0x0acde3…5f34fd
bot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
76.4%
Resolved
107
Trades
183
lifetime
Volume
$327
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$43
24 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 10-26 19:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Other
40% 58% -$2
Politics
40% 79% +$3
Sports
17% 52% -$4
Tech
2% 0% -$2
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 No +11 $10 98¢ $11 +$1 10-19 16:23
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +8 $6 84¢ $6 +$0 10-02 06:32
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-19 15:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +4 $1 88¢ $4 +$3 06-10 14:23
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3 $2 57¢ $2 $0 10-02 06:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2 $2 82¢ $2 $0 10-05 16:29
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +5 $1 29¢ $1 +$0 09-18 17:53
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +2 $1 62¢ $1 +$0 10-02 06:27
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 06-05 06:25
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 10-06 17:29
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-06 17:21
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-02 06:23
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-26 19:51
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 10-26 19:52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +3 $1 32¢ $1 $0 05-21 14:44
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +4 $1 18¢ $1 $0 10-05 16:24
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +4 $1 15¢ $1 $0 10-05 16:26
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1 $1 44¢ $1 $0 06-05 06:34
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 6¢ $1 $0 10-19 16:28
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +9 $1 6¢ $0 $0 06-11 12:27
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +167 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 07-06 12:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +4 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 10-02 06:17
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +6 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 05-21 14:44
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +23 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-26 20:12