Realized P&L
+$178
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
98.1%
Resolved
4
Trades
878
lifetime
Volume
$135.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$154
Open exposure
$2.86K
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 07-02 05:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
70% 67% +$137
Politics
30% 100% +$41
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +2,208 $1,957 91¢ $2.0K +$62 06-28 23:20
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +475 $421 93¢ $443 +$23 06-30 11:43
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No -200 $-188 96¢ $-193 $-4 06-01 13:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +620 $192 24¢ $146 $-46 07-02 05:18
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +350 $77 16¢ $54 $-23 06-20 07:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -200 $-1 $-0 +$0 07-01 15:02