Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$114

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.3%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

488 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$656

$3.23K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-07

last 10-25 18:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

78% 44% -$73

Politics

17% 56% +$62

Tech

5% 58% -$3

Sports

0% 20% +$59

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?	3	$280	633	633	+0	open	—	10-13 01:50
Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?	11	$150	150	150	+0	Yes	+$66	09-22 04:06
Will Waymo launch in New York, NY by December 31 2026?	3	$139	80	80	+0	open	—	10-17 22:51
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	7	$122	80	80	+0	Yes	+$6	09-17 19:25
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	4	$115	119	119	+0	open	—	09-18 13:22
Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?	7	$111	260	260	+0	open	—	10-07 23:17
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	6	$110	190	190	+0	open	—	09-29 23:38
Will Dr. Furlan win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?	2	$104	400	400	+0	Yes	+$32	09-24 14:34
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	5	$79	313	313	+0	open	—	10-18 15:21
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	6	$76	120	120	+0	open	—	10-05 05:56
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	2	$74	61	61	+0	open	—	09-18 02:09
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	2	$69	70	70	+0	open	—	10-06 05:56
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?	3	$66	56	56	+0	open	—	09-21 17:44
California Recall Election Reform Proposition	3	$60	60	60	+0	open	—	10-12 19:30
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	1	$52	77	0	+77	No	+$26	08-06 07:53
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat?	8	$51	177	177	+0	open	—	10-25 18:03
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?	3	$49	67	67	+0	open	—	10-25 18:06
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?	6	$48	190	190	+0	open	—	09-29 04:52
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	6	$47	70	70	+0	open	—	09-29 05:24
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?	3	$46	115	115	+0	open	—	10-18 07:14
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-06 House seat?	7	$43	115	115	+0	open	—	10-14 01:41
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	2	$42	27	27	+0	open	—	08-25 13:43
will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	1	$40	265	0	+265	No	-$40	08-06 07:51
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	2	$39	48	48	+0	open	—	09-18 03:22
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?	3	$38	148	148	+0	Yes	+$3	09-22 09:11
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	13	$37	70	70	+0	open	—	09-18 03:35
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?	4	$36	105	105	+0	open	—	10-04 15:24
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$35	220	0	+220	Yes	-$35	09-03 10:52
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?	3	$34	33	33	+0	Yes	+$11	09-18 14:43
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	3	$31	270	0	+270	Yes	-$31	08-20 03:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 18:07:27	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	65	1¢	$1	0xda40d9…
10-25 18:06:39	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x9f8389…
10-25 18:06:03	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?	No	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0x5d99b9…
10-25 18:05:15	California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition	No	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x85c3cf…
10-25 18:04:00	Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xd9f836…
10-25 18:03:50	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat?	No	SELL	27	9¢	$2	0xe01b36…
10-25 18:03:41	Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xc7ba64…
10-25 18:02:06	Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?	No	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x8a1c3e…
10-25 18:01:42	Will the Republican Party win the PA-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	69	11¢	$8	0x333dd5…
10-25 08:54:48	Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	44	10¢	$4	0xd68212…
10-25 07:58:29	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	24¢	$6	0x94a081…
10-25 07:58:29	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x69da4c…
10-23 02:49:08	Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	6¢	$8	0xb5d01c…
10-22 15:56:59	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat?	No	SELL	70	12¢	$8	0x97de10…
10-21 16:30:53	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x56a1bc…
10-21 13:57:12	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x3f2aa1…
10-21 10:25:57	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat?	No	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xacebe6…
10-20 07:01:32	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat?	No	SELL	65	12¢	$8	0xe9623f…
10-20 03:50:12	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?	No	SELL	17	9¢	$1	0x4b8292…
10-18 15:21:27	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes	SELL	313	6¢	$19	0x5e0459…
10-18 07:14:44	Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	10¢	$11	0x8a882b…
10-18 01:14:26	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0x0730e9…
10-17 22:51:35	Will Waymo launch in New York, NY by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	60	93¢	$56	0x428585…
10-17 16:05:24	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0xb8a97f…
10-17 04:19:48	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x4924f5…
10-17 04:02:36	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	14	39¢	$6	0x088452…
10-16 22:27:59	Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?	No	SELL	159	2¢	$3	0x75c965…
10-16 18:30:12	Will the Republican Party win the TX-34 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xb640c0…
10-16 18:30:12	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat?	No	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x6b0d7e…
10-16 18:27:13	Will the Republican Party win the TX-34 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x517ae9…
10-16 18:27:13	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat?	No	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x0f9071…
10-16 14:05:28	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x4395c1…
10-14 18:43:54	Will the Republican Party win the TX-34 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xa68cee…
10-14 18:43:54	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat?	No	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x0f3971…
10-14 12:43:06	Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x2dc6cf…
10-14 08:20:01	Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x331d11…
10-14 03:31:29	Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x7e4e89…
10-14 01:41:04	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-06 House seat?	No	SELL	48	18¢	$9	0x4b638b…
10-14 01:10:55	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-06 House seat?	No	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xec3c3b…
10-14 01:10:55	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-06 House seat?	No	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x854dc1…
10-14 01:10:55	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-06 House seat?	No	SELL	24	18¢	$4	0x8039eb…
10-14 01:10:55	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-06 House seat?	No	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x2b4681…
10-13 21:33:13	Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?	No	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xc90d05…
10-13 20:31:21	Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?	No	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x8963f5…
10-13 17:46:12	Will the Republican Party win the TX-34 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x0d20c2…
10-13 10:31:29	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-06 House seat?	No	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x771914…
10-13 08:35:35	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x32f25f…
10-13 06:59:14	Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?	Yes	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0xff30f2…
10-13 06:38:26	Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xfa8236…
10-13 06:38:22	Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?	Yes	SELL	29	9¢	$3	0xfb4747…
10-13 02:16:56	Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%?	Yes	SELL	154	1¢	$1	0xfc73bd…
10-13 02:15:15	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?	No	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0x046709…
10-13 02:12:26	Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	3¢	$2	0x2bbad0…
10-13 01:50:39	Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	191	33¢	$63	0xc86022…
10-13 01:50:20	Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	442	26¢	$117	0x3282f2…
10-12 19:30:26	California Recall Election Reform Proposition	No	SELL	60	60¢	$36	0x18a216…
10-08 16:49:42	Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0xdf317f…
10-07 23:17:52	Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?	Yes	SELL	260	25¢	$65	0x1ee16b…
10-07 06:35:51	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x30c01e…
10-06 20:37:50	Haiti elections delayed again?	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xe5cd38…
10-06 05:56:55	Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	SELL	70	60¢	$42	0xc67727…
10-06 01:52:31	Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x3439e9…
10-05 05:56:29	Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0xb13d1d…
10-05 05:56:29	Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x21b7c9…
10-04 20:39:25	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	70¢	$12	0xdd368b…
10-04 15:24:08	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?	Yes	SELL	84	20¢	$17	0xff7f83…
10-04 15:22:44	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?	Yes	SELL	22	20¢	$4	0xfcd791…
10-03 22:51:59	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x411501…
10-03 00:21:29	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x8e5e5f…
10-03 00:19:44	Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x0a32a4…
10-03 00:18:02	Will the Republican Party win the NY-23 House seat?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x0cbd2a…
09-30 20:06:03	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0x4a6390…
09-29 23:38:56	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x3138d7…
09-29 23:17:12	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	SELL	70	32¢	$22	0x88a7db…
09-29 14:59:09	Will Hugo Fontaine win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	101	4¢	$4	0xaf0f9b…
09-29 08:33:06	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	SELL	116	32¢	$37	0x9b2148…
09-29 05:24:27	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	70	40¢	$28	0x472613…
09-29 04:52:06	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x9bd8e3…
09-28 01:47:45	Will Hugo Fontaine win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x321620…
09-27 22:29:00	Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xc88bc4…
09-27 22:25:51	Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x7c9910…
09-27 12:10:41	Will Ben Olsen win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$0	0xa10358…
09-27 00:04:56	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?	Yes	SELL	111	8¢	$9	0x560a9b…
09-26 01:41:26	Will Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	25	70¢	$17	0x5f6e58…
09-26 00:32:53	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0xf4622a…
09-26 00:32:53	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x383a6f…
09-26 00:32:51	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xd64417…
09-25 16:54:41	Will Waymo launch in New York, NY by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x3b4733…
09-24 22:41:15	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xcf5f93…
09-24 19:40:21	Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0x88b833…
09-24 17:14:48	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?	No	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x439be9…
09-24 14:34:26	Will Dr. Furlan win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	400	17¢	$68	0xa68db1…
09-24 07:34:11	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?	Yes	SELL	75	8¢	$6	0x3d4317…
09-24 02:01:10	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August?	No	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x4a243a…
09-24 01:59:44	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x0e1e45…
09-24 01:58:43	Will BlackBerry say "Interest Rate" during earnings call?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x054db1…
09-24 01:57:01	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in August?	Yes	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x20bff1…
09-24 01:56:01	Will BlackBerry say "Tailwind" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x764bb5…
09-24 01:35:56	Will Costco say "Labor" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xb5715f…
09-24 01:35:01	Will BlackBerry say "Nvidia" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x332de0…