Unrealistic-Hassock 0x0b4cd8…ef4277 Create alert
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$280
Unrealized P&L
-$153
Hit rate
55.0%
Resolved (30d)
96
Trades (30d)
382
3,183 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$4.61K
$18.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$439
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 11-15 05:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Other
81% 35% -$773
Politics
11% 54% -$175
Crypto
4% 50% -$19
Tech
3% 58% -$36
Sports
1% 50% -$18
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 237 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? Yes +115 $85 72¢ $83 -$3 11-14 07:19
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027? Yes +225 $84 34¢ $75 -$9 11-14 20:54
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? Yes +92 $49 48¢ $44 -$5 11-06 18:52
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? Yes +97 $49 34¢ $33 -$16 11-06 19:38
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +47 $22 52¢ $24 +$3 11-12 16:29
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +86 -$1 26¢ $23 +$23 11-04 20:27
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-21? Yes +30 $21 69¢ $21 +$0 11-13 12:19
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +637 $131 3¢ $18 -$112 11-12 17:35
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +20 $18 94¢ $18 +$0 11-12 14:24
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $51 10¢ $15 -$36 11-12 16:23
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +26 $14 46¢ $12 -$1 11-06 17:45
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2028? No +14 $11 82¢ $12 +$0 11-14 20:20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +21 $12 56¢ $12 -$1 11-14 00:26
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +22 $7 37¢ $8 +$2 11-08 15:28
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? No +10 $8 74¢ $7 -$1 09-25 16:04
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +13 $7 54¢ $7 +$0 10-18 19:20
Trump meets with Kim Jong Un by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 11-10 23:35
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 11-15 05:51
Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? Yes +10 $3 38¢ $4 +$1 10-28 17:34
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +5 $3 48¢ $2 $0 11-06 22:01
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? Yes +9 $2 27¢ $2 +$0 10-30 09:07
next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026 Yes +5 $3 29¢ $1 -$2 10-16 22:51
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes +5 $2 29¢ $1 -$1 11-06 18:50
Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes +16 $1 8¢ $1 +$1 09-21 08:52
Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028? Yes +11 -$4 11¢ $1 +$5 11-12 06:45
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +9 -$1 7¢ $1 +$1 10-30 02:22
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +138 $1 0¢ $1 $0 09-19 10:14
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by November 15, 2026? Yes +23 $4 3¢ $1 -$4 11-10 20:26
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by December 31? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 11-10 22:51
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026? Yes +2 $0 28¢ $1 +$0 11-08 09:08