Realized P&L (7d)
-$133
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
64.8%
Resolved (7d)
19
Trades (7d)
20
2,996 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$386
$16.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$115
27 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 11-06 22:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Other
79% 32% -$822
Politics
12% 54% -$175
Crypto
5% 50% -$19
Tech
3% 58% -$36
Sports
1% 0% -$19
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 237 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? Yes +97 $49 34¢ $33 -$16 11-06 19:38
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +86 -$1 27¢ $23 +$23 11-04 20:27
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? Yes +92 $49 20¢ $18 -$30 11-06 18:52
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +26 $14 51¢ $13 $0 11-06 17:45
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +13 $7 55¢ $7 +$0 10-18 19:20
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +5 $3 62¢ $3 +$1 11-06 22:01
Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? Yes +10 $3 30¢ $3 +$0 10-28 17:34
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes +5 $2 47¢ $2 +$0 11-06 18:50
next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026 Yes +5 $3 40¢ $2 -$1 10-16 22:51
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +15 $5 12¢ $2 -$3 09-22 12:57
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026? Yes +5 $1 31¢ $2 +$0 10-31 20:01
Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes +16 $1 8¢ $1 +$1 09-21 08:52
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026? Yes +37 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 10-11 16:09
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +52 $3 2¢ $1 -$2 09-24 13:46
trump putin and xi seen together before 2027 No +5 $2 14¢ $1 -$1 09-26 04:50
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 12¢ $1 +$0 10-05 23:07
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +9 -$1 7¢ $1 +$1 10-30 02:22
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +138 $1 0¢ $1 $0 09-19 10:14
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +6 $1 9¢ $1 $0 09-25 14:07
Will the Washington Capitals be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes +5 $0 4¢ $0 $0 09-22 05:47
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? Yes +2 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-01 20:40
Will the Nashville Predators be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-19 02:52
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? Yes +20 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-22 06:44
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? Yes +16 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-20 02:35
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026? Yes +11 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-02 02:39
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +4 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-27 01:38
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +2 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-19 13:00