(anonymous) 0x0b4e49…fd4d72
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$372
Unrealized P&L
+$217
Hit rate
61.2%
Resolved (90d)
3,023
Trades (90d)
13,741
13,741 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$51.5K
$51.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.20K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-10
last 10-27 03:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Other
66% 43% +$431
Crypto
27% 47% -$126
Politics
6% 37% +$36
Tech
1% 40% +$33
Pop-Culture
0% 17% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 1040 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +90 $68 94¢ $85 +$17 10-23 17:16
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +80 $63 91¢ $73 +$10 10-22 18:59
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +70 $65 97¢ $68 +$3 10-05 06:34
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +111 $75 60¢ $67 -$8 10-25 23:19
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +69 $48 90¢ $63 +$15 10-23 17:18
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? No +60 $50 100¢ $60 +$10 10-20 17:11
kanye west performs in russia by october 31 No +60 $51 100¢ $60 +$9 09-27 22:11
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +60 $46 76¢ $46 -$1 10-12 09:35
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +50 $45 88¢ $44 -$1 10-05 06:39
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +45 $32 98¢ $44 +$12 10-01 18:34
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +109 $24 40¢ $43 +$20 10-25 23:58
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? Yes +40 $3 99¢ $40 +$37 10-23 15:23
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +43 $29 88¢ $38 +$8 10-26 18:12
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +40 $28 91¢ $36 +$9 10-22 12:21
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +40 $31 91¢ $36 +$5 10-24 01:21
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +50 $28 69¢ $34 +$7 10-25 12:11
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +50 $38 69¢ $34 -$4 10-26 17:33
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +33 $26 96¢ $31 +$5 09-29 20:42
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +30 $26 96¢ $29 +$2 10-19 10:47
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +30 $20 96¢ $29 +$9 09-30 06:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +30 $22 92¢ $27 +$5 10-23 21:58
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +30 $24 92¢ $27 +$3 09-22 18:04
Viktor Orbán arrested by...? No +30 $21 90¢ $27 +$6 10-23 21:15
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? No +30 $10 86¢ $26 +$16 10-13 08:18
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +30 $24 83¢ $25 +$1 10-15 21:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +33 $22 70¢ $23 +$1 10-19 16:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? No +30 $12 76¢ $23 +$10 10-22 11:11
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +30 $21 74¢ $22 +$1 10-24 12:16
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? No +23 $16 96¢ $22 +$6 09-29 12:48
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +25 $17 84¢ $22 +$5 10-22 19:21