(anonymous) 0x0b4e49…fd4d72
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Realized P&L (24h)
+$19
Unrealized P&L
+$474
Hit rate
56.1%
Resolved (24h)
36
Trades (24h)
215
14,500 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$878
$54.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.54K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-10
last 10-30 13:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Other
66% 43% +$475
Crypto
27% 47% -$116
Politics
6% 37% +$41
Tech
1% 40% +$33
Pop-Culture
0% 17% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 1040 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +167 $52 86¢ $142 +$91 10-30 14:44
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? Yes +100 $24 95¢ $95 +$70 10-25 19:21
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +90 $68 96¢ $86 +$18 10-23 17:16
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +80 $42 99¢ $79 +$37 10-29 17:47
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +119 $28 61¢ $72 +$45 10-27 06:25
Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +70 $60 100¢ $70 +$9 10-28 03:59
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +70 $65 97¢ $68 +$3 10-05 06:34
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +69 $48 92¢ $64 +$16 10-23 17:18
kanye west performs in russia by october 31 No +60 $51 100¢ $60 +$9 09-27 22:11
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +53 $34 98¢ $52 +$17 10-28 22:44
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +60 $53 86¢ $52 -$1 10-29 06:45
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +50 $29 95¢ $48 +$18 10-28 12:28
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +55 $13 86¢ $47 +$35 10-29 13:56
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +60 $46 78¢ $47 +$0 10-12 09:35
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +45 $32 100¢ $45 +$12 10-01 18:34
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +111 $75 39¢ $44 -$31 10-25 23:19
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +43 $29 95¢ $41 +$11 10-26 18:12
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +40 $28 99¢ $40 +$12 10-22 12:21
Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +40 $37 99¢ $40 +$3 10-29 08:08
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +40 $35 99¢ $40 +$5 10-27 17:51
will wti dip to 95 in october 2026 from october 15 No +40 $20 98¢ $39 +$20 10-27 14:34
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +50 $28 67¢ $34 +$6 10-25 12:11
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +33 $26 99¢ $32 +$6 09-29 20:42
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? No +30 $10 100¢ $30 +$20 10-13 08:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +30 $22 100¢ $30 +$8 10-23 21:58
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Bibi +30 $14 99¢ $30 +$16 10-26 16:16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 30? Yes +30 $23 98¢ $29 +$7 10-29 21:20
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +30 $20 98¢ $29 +$10 09-30 06:07
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +30 $26 98¢ $29 +$3 10-19 10:47
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +40 $29 73¢ $29 +$1 10-30 04:36