Realized P&L (30d)
+$438
Unrealized P&L
+$287
Hit rate
60.2%
Resolved (30d)
1,773
Trades (30d)
8,554
14,332 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$35.5K
$53.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.43K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-10
last 10-29 17:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Other
67% 43% +$464
Crypto
26% 47% -$112
Politics
6% 37% +$39
Tech
1% 40% +$33
Pop-Culture
0% 17% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 1040 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +90 $68 95¢ $85 +$17 10-23 17:16
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +80 $42 95¢ $76 +$34 10-29 17:47
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +90 $72 83¢ $75 +$3 10-28 20:39
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +111 $75 66¢ $73 -$2 10-25 23:19
Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +70 $60 100¢ $70 +$9 10-28 03:59
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +70 $65 97¢ $68 +$3 10-05 06:34
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +69 $48 94¢ $65 +$17 10-23 17:18
kanye west performs in russia by october 31 No +60 $51 100¢ $60 +$9 09-27 22:11
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? Yes — +100 $24 58¢ $58 +$33 10-25 19:21
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +53 $34 98¢ $52 +$17 10-28 22:44
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +60 $46 85¢ $51 +$5 10-12 09:35
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +60 $53 83¢ $50 -$3 10-29 06:45
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? Yes +48 $18 100¢ $48 +$29 10-28 11:57
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +45 $32 99¢ $44 +$12 10-01 18:34
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? No — +100 $71 42¢ $42 -$28 10-25 19:26
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +50 $37 84¢ $42 +$4 10-29 13:53
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +119 $28 34¢ $40 +$13 10-27 06:25
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +40 $35 99¢ $40 +$5 10-27 17:51
Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No — +40 $37 99¢ $40 +$3 10-29 08:08
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +40 $28 99¢ $40 +$12 10-22 12:21
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +43 $29 92¢ $39 +$10 10-26 18:12
will wti dip to 95 in october 2026 from october 15 No +40 $20 97¢ $39 +$19 10-27 14:34
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +33 $26 98¢ $32 +$6 09-29 20:42
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +50 $28 62¢ $31 +$3 10-25 12:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +30 $22 98¢ $29 +$7 10-23 21:58
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Bibi +30 $14 98¢ $29 +$16 10-26 16:16
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +30 $20 98¢ $29 +$10 09-30 06:07
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +30 $26 97¢ $29 +$3 10-19 10:47
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? No +30 $10 96¢ $29 +$19 10-13 08:18
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +30 $25 94¢ $28 +$3 10-28 10:46