Stark-Muscatel — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved (7d)

152

Trades (7d)

155

1,543 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$2.21K

$37.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 10-30 18:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 46% -$5,325

Other

4% 46% -$69

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	28	$2.1K	4,390	0	+4,390	Up	-$2,134	04-30 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$1.1K	2,124	0	+2,124	Down	-$1,098	04-30 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	6	$525	592	450	+141	Up	-$75	07-21 13:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:55 UTC	6	$474	567	373	+194	Up	-$106	08-24 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	11	$425	830	0	+830	Up	-$425	04-30 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	5	$389	463	319	+144	Down	+$68	07-21 13:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:55 UTC	4	$299	399	199	+200	Up	-$101	08-28 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 13:20 UTC	3	$297	395	198	+196	Up	+$94	09-07 06:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 13:30 UTC	3	$297	392	196	+196	Down	-$103	08-27 08:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 14:25 UTC	3	$256	328	188	+140	Up	-$72	08-07 11:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:05 UTC	3	$256	326	188	+138	Down	+$66	08-07 11:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:10 UTC	3	$256	326	188	+138	Down	+$66	08-07 11:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:00 UTC	3	$256	324	187	+137	Down	+$65	08-07 11:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:40 UTC	4	$240	344	137	+207	Down	+$101	08-24 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 15:05 UTC	2	$220	218	218	+0	Down	-$2	07-22 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$200	394	0	+394	Up	-$200	10-07 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$177	347	0	+347	Down	-$177	04-30 14:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:40 UTC	4	$159	316	0	+316	Up	-$159	08-21 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:20 UTC	2	$159	312	0	+312	Down	-$159	08-21 08:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:05 UTC	2	$159	312	0	+312	Up	+$153	08-21 08:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:40 UTC	2	$159	308	0	+308	Up	+$149	08-21 08:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:30 UTC	1	$158	312	0	+312	Up	-$158	08-21 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:15 UTC	1	$158	310	0	+310	Down	-$158	08-21 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 14:30 UTC	1	$143	284	0	+284	Up	-$143	08-20 08:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 14:40 UTC	1	$143	280	0	+280	Down	-$143	08-20 08:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 14:35 UTC	1	$143	284	0	+284	Down	+$141	08-20 08:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 14:15 UTC	1	$143	280	0	+280	Down	-$143	08-20 08:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 13:40 UTC	1	$143	284	0	+284	Up	-$143	08-20 08:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	5	$138	192	84	+108	Up	-$56	10-06 14:26
XRP Up or Down - October 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$132	158	105	+53	Down	+$23	10-21 09:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 18:23:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	48	57¢	$27	0xbff2fb…
10-30 04:51:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0x2cec5c…
10-30 04:49:30	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	52	52¢	$27	0x660bd7…
10-30 04:48:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0x6ef0e1…
10-29 04:56:22	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-29 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0xde1953…
10-29 04:55:02	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-29 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0x6a288a…
10-29 04:52:53	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-29 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	52	52¢	$27	0xbb217b…
10-29 04:52:28	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-29 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	52	51¢	$27	0x5c68f7…
10-29 04:51:34	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-29 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	52	52¢	$27	0xa55cbf…
10-29 04:51:07	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-29 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	52	52¢	$27	0xeb511a…
10-29 04:48:49	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-29 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0x926faa…
10-29 04:46:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-29 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0x0a1a66…
10-29 04:44:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-29 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0x887108…
10-28 06:40:52	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	52	51¢	$27	0xa07bd7…
10-28 06:40:02	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0x4ccead…
10-28 06:38:16	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	52	52¢	$27	0x916935…
10-28 06:06:07	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0x9c8208…
10-28 06:01:23	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0xa248dc…
10-28 06:00:28	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0x53cce3…
10-28 05:59:53	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0xdb3ce9…
10-28 05:59:11	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0x54f4a3…
10-28 05:55:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0x9dba7d…
10-28 05:53:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	54	50¢	$27	0x587db5…
10-28 04:09:05	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0x205df8…
10-28 04:08:49	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	52	51¢	$27	0xbba1b3…
10-28 04:08:05	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	52	52¢	$27	0x8c0946…
10-28 04:07:52	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	52	52¢	$27	0x281a2e…
10-28 04:07:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	52	52¢	$27	0xee67ab…
10-28 04:06:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0x7015b2…
10-28 04:05:13	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	52	51¢	$27	0x1913dd…
10-28 04:03:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	54	50¢	$27	0xa71459…
10-27 12:47:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x9a8fd7…
10-27 12:42:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xca49f9…
10-27 12:41:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x4b1a22…
10-27 12:41:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	43	49¢	$21	0xdb44e6…
10-27 12:41:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x011de6…
10-27 12:40:08	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xdf014d…
10-27 12:39:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x7f25fd…
10-27 12:39:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xfc7b7c…
10-27 12:38:35	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xfba73a…
10-27 12:38:20	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xb8e866…
10-27 12:38:06	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x4fa03a…
10-27 11:28:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xd41841…
10-27 11:25:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x343ca1…
10-27 11:19:09	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x5bf704…
10-27 11:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xbd2838…
10-27 11:17:44	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x17454e…
10-27 11:17:08	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xd348c2…
10-27 11:16:54	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xd7f5db…
10-27 11:16:20	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x3b41b3…
10-27 11:16:05	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xbf2430…
10-27 09:53:54	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xf6ccd4…
10-27 09:53:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x2f2585…
10-27 09:52:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x057c46…
10-27 09:52:11	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x85a1b8…
10-27 09:51:29	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x3c12c2…
10-27 06:40:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xbb8363…
10-27 05:12:51	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xd64ffb…
10-27 05:12:32	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xeabc71…
10-27 05:12:02	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x9f69f7…
10-27 05:11:47	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x3a241b…
10-27 05:11:29	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x88ed29…
10-27 05:11:14	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x0d8a9d…
10-27 05:10:50	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x08d485…
10-27 05:09:20	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xc098bc…
10-27 05:08:53	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x176dd0…
10-27 05:08:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xee7d34…
10-27 05:07:45	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x21e9d0…
10-27 05:07:26	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x169865…
10-27 05:07:06	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xfa096c…
10-27 05:06:03	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x425251…
10-27 05:05:50	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xdab874…
10-27 05:05:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x3b1bb9…
10-27 05:04:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x636f41…
10-27 05:04:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xda7acd…
10-27 05:03:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xd77d9d…
10-27 05:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x14f50e…
10-26 13:09:45	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xa54df1…
10-26 13:06:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x445fa1…
10-26 13:03:32	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x9783e8…
10-26 13:03:12	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x7963ce…
10-26 13:03:00	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xcedf9d…
10-26 13:02:45	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xe0eb13…
10-26 13:01:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x392e69…
10-26 13:01:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x05078b…
10-26 13:01:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x2d05e9…
10-26 13:00:42	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x88439f…
10-26 13:00:26	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x97dc3c…
10-26 13:00:09	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x335a49…
10-26 12:59:57	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x15450e…
10-26 12:59:27	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x12406b…
10-26 12:59:15	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x780a4f…
10-26 12:58:59	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x50eb57…
10-26 12:58:45	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xb67317…
10-26 12:58:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xc9a122…
10-26 12:58:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x179fc3…
10-26 12:57:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x19a616…
10-26 12:57:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x4da5d2…
10-26 12:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x46ec10…
10-26 10:43:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x471bc1…