Stark-Muscatel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.38K

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

42.7%

Resolved

1,270

Trades

1,646

lifetime

Volume

$38.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$23

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 11-02 11:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 46% -$5,279

Other

4% 45% -$102

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 12:25 UTC	Down	—	+22	$11	98¢	$21	+$10	11-01 14:32
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-02 12:45 UTC	Down	—	+2	$1	50¢	$1	+$0	11-02 06:29
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-02 12:45 UTC	Down	—	+2	$1	50¢	$1	$0	11-02 06:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	28	$2.1K	4,390	0	+4,390	Up	-$2,134	04-30 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$1.1K	2,124	0	+2,124	Down	-$1,098	04-30 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	6	$525	592	450	+141	Up	-$75	07-21 13:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:55 UTC	6	$474	567	373	+194	Up	-$106	08-24 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	11	$425	830	0	+830	Up	-$425	04-30 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	5	$389	463	319	+144	Down	+$68	07-21 13:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:55 UTC	4	$299	399	199	+200	Up	-$101	08-28 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 13:20 UTC	3	$297	395	198	+196	Up	+$94	09-07 06:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 13:30 UTC	3	$297	392	196	+196	Down	-$103	08-27 08:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 14:25 UTC	3	$256	328	188	+140	Up	-$72	08-07 11:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:05 UTC	3	$256	326	188	+138	Down	+$66	08-07 11:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:10 UTC	3	$256	326	188	+138	Down	+$66	08-07 11:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:00 UTC	3	$256	324	187	+137	Down	+$65	08-07 11:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:40 UTC	4	$240	344	137	+207	Down	+$101	08-24 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 15:05 UTC	2	$220	218	218	+0	Down	-$2	07-22 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$200	394	0	+394	Up	-$200	10-07 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$177	347	0	+347	Down	-$177	04-30 14:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:40 UTC	4	$159	316	0	+316	Up	-$159	08-21 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:20 UTC	2	$159	312	0	+312	Down	-$159	08-21 08:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:05 UTC	2	$159	312	0	+312	Up	+$153	08-21 08:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:40 UTC	2	$159	308	0	+308	Up	+$149	08-21 08:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:30 UTC	1	$158	312	0	+312	Up	-$158	08-21 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:15 UTC	1	$158	310	0	+310	Down	-$158	08-21 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 14:30 UTC	1	$143	284	0	+284	Up	-$143	08-20 08:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 14:40 UTC	1	$143	280	0	+280	Down	-$143	08-20 08:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 14:35 UTC	1	$143	284	0	+284	Down	+$141	08-20 08:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 14:15 UTC	1	$143	280	0	+280	Down	-$143	08-20 08:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 13:40 UTC	1	$143	284	0	+284	Up	-$143	08-20 08:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	5	$138	192	84	+108	Up	-$56	10-06 14:26
XRP Up or Down - October 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$132	158	105	+53	Down	+$23	10-21 09:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 12:05:45	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x3544cb…
11-02 12:05:40	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xb235ec…
11-02 12:03:28	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x3b5f75…
11-02 12:02:43	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x11b9fd…
11-02 11:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x28dc41…
11-02 10:52:09	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x6ddd7b…
11-02 10:51:57	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xd1876e…
11-02 10:51:42	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x0c8cac…
11-02 10:51:22	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x71c13f…
11-02 10:50:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x047675…
11-02 10:50:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xdd70a7…
11-02 10:50:10	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x774c25…
11-02 10:49:58	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x26c734…
11-02 10:49:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x98fd93…
11-02 10:49:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x955af3…
11-02 10:48:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x3dac61…
11-02 10:47:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x84bf29…
11-02 10:47:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x76a9bb…
11-02 10:47:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xe4893e…
11-02 10:47:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x1f8b13…
11-02 10:46:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x40e2c3…
11-02 10:44:40	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x6178b0…
11-02 10:44:16	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x05ea4e…
11-02 10:42:57	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xf876c5…
11-02 10:42:40	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x875b5d…
11-02 10:41:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x336821…
11-02 10:41:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x491c7c…
11-02 10:41:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xbc66cf…
11-02 10:40:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x14b9dd…
11-02 10:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x697823…
11-02 10:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xe6aa32…
11-02 10:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x7173c9…
11-02 10:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x04fca8…
11-02 06:38:55	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-02 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x273cce…
11-02 06:38:43	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-02 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfb9142…
11-02 06:38:25	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-02 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x631b5c…
11-02 06:38:12	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-02 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x571069…
11-02 06:37:48	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-02 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x08b098…
11-02 06:33:22	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-02 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9c7d87…
11-02 06:32:57	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-02 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc22d92…
11-02 06:32:40	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-02 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbf7fde…
11-02 06:29:54	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-02 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0a1fd8…
11-02 06:29:27	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-02 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdd7c86…
11-02 06:29:07	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x43e9e9…
11-02 06:28:19	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-02 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9b1c6d…
11-02 06:27:43	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-02 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe5a747…
11-02 06:26:46	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-02 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb51e94…
11-02 06:26:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-02 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xedd943…
11-02 06:26:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-02 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5a16e8…
11-02 06:25:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-02 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x54861e…
11-02 06:24:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-02 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x36a2e1…
11-02 06:23:42	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-02 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa0718d…
11-02 06:22:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-02 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xafb0e3…
11-02 06:17:55	HYPE Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa9a23f…
11-02 06:17:39	HYPE Up or Down - November 2, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1adac3…
11-02 06:16:48	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x208220…
11-02 06:16:28	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xeb756f…
11-02 06:12:34	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xfece6c…
11-02 05:33:57	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x8c652d…
11-02 05:31:36	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x3fd51b…
11-02 05:30:31	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x5546a0…
11-02 05:30:10	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x710e0f…
11-02 05:29:51	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x6f6a25…
11-02 05:29:31	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x0da3f4…
11-02 05:29:16	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x65ca81…
11-02 05:27:52	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xfabc5e…
11-02 05:26:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x13c02a…
11-02 05:25:46	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x74ac53…
11-02 05:24:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x7a53e2…
11-02 05:24:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x7707a5…
11-02 05:23:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x4c1ff1…
11-01 14:33:52	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xf868d3…
11-01 14:33:22	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x8549d7…
11-01 14:32:52	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x9c7065…
11-01 14:32:27	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x6cf84b…
11-01 14:31:06	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x24f111…
11-01 14:30:48	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x9e38cc…
11-01 14:29:42	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x320b58…
11-01 14:29:28	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x8da364…
11-01 14:26:34	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xf30371…
11-01 14:26:22	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xaee052…
11-01 14:24:19	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xb6806f…
11-01 14:24:04	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x4806db…
11-01 14:21:58	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xebc908…
11-01 14:21:19	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xede74c…
11-01 14:20:52	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xf40d6a…
11-01 14:20:31	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x3c37d5…
11-01 14:19:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xbfe72d…
11-01 14:17:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x21f824…
11-01 14:17:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x04a10a…
11-01 14:16:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x55d273…
11-01 14:16:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x87d362…
11-01 14:15:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xa0d7ac…
11-01 10:33:55	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xf30fea…
11-01 10:33:39	BNB Up or Down - November 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x51d8e7…
11-01 10:32:57	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x878009…
11-01 10:32:31	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xfa1e30…
11-01 10:30:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x79477a…
11-01 10:30:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x85f719…
11-01 10:28:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xa14a18…