Pure-Silica — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.9%

Resolved

214

Trades

516

lifetime

Volume

$515

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-03 02:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Other

49% 4% -$2

Politics

27% 0% -$1

Crypto

10% 0% $0

Tech

8% 7% $0

Sports

4% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

1% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	10	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	01-16 07:57
will bayern mnchen reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	8	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	03-18 03:54
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	02-12 09:17
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	07-28 02:54
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	07-21 08:24
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	06-02 02:13
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-21 08:23
will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-13 07:10
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	07-13 02:49
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	03-27 03:18
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-08 02:19
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 0 39	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-11 01:14
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-08 02:13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-02 02:25
will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-26 04:01
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-14 01:25
nvda above 155 on march 6 2026	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-05 01:22
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-09 02:11
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	07-08 02:45
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-11 06:52
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-19 04:47
will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	07-10 02:31
rklb quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 26 2026 neg0pt1	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	02-20 02:12
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	2	$2	1	1	-0	Yes	$0	02-10 07:39
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	2	$2	1	1	-0	Yes	$0	06-01 03:15
Will Mark Warner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	06-05 02:52
will iraq recognize israel by december 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-04 02:02
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	04-15 01:37
Human moon landing in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-13 02:22
Will Jennifer Flett win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	07-16 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 02:50:02	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in August 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe411f5…
08-03 02:48:59	Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfe5e82…
08-03 02:33:44	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in August 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x90259f…
08-03 02:18:14	Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6108e4…
07-31 02:56:21	Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x76a1e3…
07-31 02:55:41	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbf3e92…
07-31 02:32:51	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9f5f47…
07-31 02:27:51	Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd1279c…
07-30 03:14:14	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 31 2026 20260714210303209	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb70d67…
07-30 03:13:35	bitcoin above 54k on august 4 2026	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x24ae43…
07-30 02:41:39	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 31 2026 20260714210303209	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2a366b…
07-30 02:34:47	bitcoin above 54k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4fcb07…
07-29 09:34:42	Will United Russia win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4339a5…
07-29 09:33:50	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x11c0c7…
07-29 09:15:08	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb44507…
07-29 09:07:51	Will United Russia win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa7427f…
07-28 02:54:54	will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x150314…
07-28 02:54:31	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x607544…
07-28 02:39:39	will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3bfde4…
07-28 02:37:28	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x70b010…
07-27 03:05:45	Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x193042…
07-27 03:05:04	Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x50a945…
07-27 02:21:57	Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in July?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0f6611…
07-27 02:10:43	Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x960e6e…
07-25 02:25:16	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7418d1…
07-25 02:24:31	Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x57b576…
07-25 02:10:13	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb03f0e…
07-25 01:57:36	Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7604cf…
07-24 07:55:58	Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2e1c62…
07-24 07:55:52	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5039e5…
07-24 07:32:55	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdc2249…
07-24 07:28:34	Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3c3298…
07-23 02:59:22	Will Sean McCann be the MI-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5296fb…
07-23 02:58:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x543e8f…
07-23 02:49:16	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x97d918…
07-23 02:35:15	Will Sean McCann be the MI-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb9526e…
07-22 03:20:45	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x72debe…
07-22 03:20:36	tony dunst 20260707142702030	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc88f47…
07-22 02:48:37	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0ad5a0…
07-22 02:41:06	tony dunst 20260707142702030	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8dbadb…
07-21 08:24:19	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xff8cac…
07-21 08:23:45	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb79c51…
07-21 08:11:04	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1c1380…
07-21 08:06:54	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x91a5e4…
07-20 03:20:24	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf2c599…
07-20 03:19:40	Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x71f732…
07-20 02:51:03	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2c65e6…
07-20 02:42:31	Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2cc123…
07-18 03:25:28	Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd0d4ed…
07-18 03:24:57	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7d0eec…
07-18 03:07:48	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7ed6be…
07-18 03:04:13	Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbd02db…
07-17 08:05:21	will polymarket mindshare hit 75 by december 31 20260630144203053	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7798b1…
07-17 08:04:21	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe93d98…
07-17 07:42:27	will polymarket mindshare hit 75 by december 31 20260630144203053	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x447cbd…
07-17 07:37:04	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x505080…
07-16 02:59:19	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6d3567…
07-16 02:58:44	Will Jennifer Flett win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x410717…
07-16 02:31:26	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9c7270…
07-16 02:18:20	Will Jennifer Flett win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdadfb7…
07-15 02:23:43	Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x44bb15…
07-15 02:22:55	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x12e00f…
07-15 02:13:32	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x11663c…
07-15 02:07:49	Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdfcf4a…
07-14 08:53:32	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8dc945…
07-14 08:52:58	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa4a42a…
07-14 08:33:04	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x41000c…
07-14 08:25:52	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5b7e7f…
07-13 02:50:46	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2cd069…
07-13 02:49:22	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x098479…
07-13 02:27:01	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xec12a4…
07-13 02:20:01	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x742a9a…
07-11 09:18:32	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x48d201…
07-11 09:17:55	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf41e22…
07-11 08:45:02	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa920e5…
07-11 08:40:52	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa13ac7…
07-10 02:31:53	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xeee866…
07-10 02:31:13	Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbf6235…
07-10 02:14:31	Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xefdb88…
07-10 02:02:46	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcfffbf…
07-09 07:43:07	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa4a06f…
07-09 07:41:47	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc4447b…
07-09 07:26:47	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x998eac…
07-09 07:21:43	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa7aa7c…
07-08 02:46:35	Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x72eabf…
07-08 02:45:49	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x06419b…
07-08 02:27:37	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x37e540…
07-08 02:24:37	Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7564a4…
07-07 08:02:55	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 26 be less than 80?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbc6c34…
07-07 08:02:08	Will Ann Wagner be the MO-02 Republican nominee?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7425bf…
07-07 07:34:08	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 26 be less than 80?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1360cd…
07-07 07:26:31	Will Ann Wagner be the MO-02 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x04ef32…
07-06 02:13:49	Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdeb1c0…
07-06 02:12:37	Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5a3e26…
07-06 01:53:56	Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xda4de7…
07-06 01:44:31	Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa72b70…
07-04 02:02:23	will iraq recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7684bc…
07-04 02:01:47	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xab6fd0…
07-04 01:51:01	will iraq recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1a4acc…
07-04 01:40:23	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x16784c…