Plain-Seal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$644

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

81.1%

Resolved

Trades

872

lifetime

Volume

$107.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$123

Open exposure

$19

1 position

First seen

2026-02-18

last 06-09 16:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

90% 60% $-644

Other

9% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-1,138	$-23	2¢	$-19	+$4	05-28 12:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	48	$12.9K	16,312	16,312	+0	open	—	04-07 22:33
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	25	$12.0K	55,274	55,274	+0	open	—	03-31 14:08
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	31	$10.5K	20,887	17,005	+3,882	open	—	04-16 16:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	51	$10.4K	19,302	19,302	+0	open	—	04-07 21:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	19	$6.2K	18,492	18,492	+0	Yes	+$17	04-16 00:13
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	4	$5.5K	3,278	3,278	+0	open	—	02-27 12:23
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	54	$5.4K	35,505	35,505	+0	open	—	04-07 16:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	33	$4.6K	14,461	19,352	-4,891	open	—	05-16 01:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$4.5K	4,258	4,258	+0	open	—	04-22 05:24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	47	$3.8K	5,514	6,401	-888	open	—	05-31 03:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	9	$3.2K	4,062	4,058	+4	Yes	+$14	04-07 05:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	18	$3.2K	27,257	27,257	+0	open	—	03-30 15:58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	36	$2.6K	26,795	12,172	+14,623	No	$-1,120	05-08 11:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	20	$2.2K	17,255	17,255	+0	Yes	+$453	04-16 03:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	15	$1.9K	1,665	1,046	+619	open	—	05-25 12:24
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$1.0K	602	602	+0	open	—	02-26 14:21
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	27	$1.0K	415,507	194,963	+220,544	open	—	04-21 00:01
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	14	$765	2,339	2,339	+0	open	—	04-19 08:54
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	13	$736	5,265	0	+5,265	open	—	06-09 16:17
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	10	$718	6,104	0	+6,104	open	—	05-29 16:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	27	$660	1,521	1,521	+0	open	—	04-25 14:33
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	3	$613	1,312	1,093	+219	open	—	03-08 19:30
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?	4	$593	437	437	+0	open	—	04-07 23:07
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	9	$578	723	723	+0	open	—	04-19 12:17
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	5	$528	27,037	0	+27,037	open	—	04-12 15:31
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	4	$525	9,327	9,327	+0	open	—	03-19 15:03
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	8	$511	974	974	+0	open	—	03-04 02:34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	20	$491	4,457	3,020	+1,437	open	—	05-23 00:50
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	3	$485	810	810	+0	open	—	03-26 23:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$465	974	974	+0	open	—	05-01 10:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:17:33	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	1,053	18¢	$194	0xb114be…
06-09 16:14:18	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	1,880	15¢	$282	0xc3715e…
06-09 16:11:52	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	47	15¢	$7	0x793617…
06-09 16:09:22	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	38	15¢	$6	0xee2ac4…
06-09 16:08:31	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	70	15¢	$10	0x661e48…
06-09 06:59:01	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x402f44…
06-09 06:42:42	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0xa9f54a…
06-08 15:01:42	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	350	14¢	$49	0xa5ab52…
06-08 13:14:43	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x0794a1…
06-08 13:14:37	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	318	11¢	$35	0xaf3ed5…
06-08 13:04:25	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	95	10¢	$10	0xcc3f3b…
06-08 00:30:12	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	129	14¢	$18	0x7fa618…
06-07 21:10:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	48¢	$18	0xe37928…
06-07 15:18:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	34¢	$13	0xfae0c0…
06-07 14:41:42	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0x2369a2…
06-04 04:00:21	mlb col laa 2026 06 03	Colorado Rockies	BUY	754	1¢	$4	0x642a22…
06-04 03:50:10	mlb lad ari 2026 06 03	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0x159030…
06-03 18:55:46	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x90aa2e…
06-03 17:06:27	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xad7ab5…
06-03 17:06:25	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x327f10…
06-03 10:22:19	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x3a4b9d…
06-03 10:14:12	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa8505b…
06-03 10:09:13	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7e1258…
06-03 10:06:58	Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska	Anna Kalinskaya	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x179fac…
06-02 01:56:52	Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	Chicago White Sox	BUY	454	2¢	$9	0xf2900b…
06-02 01:30:04	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	24	16¢	$4	0xe482e2…
06-02 01:28:19	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0xcb250d…
06-02 01:18:43	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	52	10¢	$5	0x9a56f1…
06-02 01:16:49	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	46	7¢	$3	0xc49889…
06-02 01:16:14	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x15f4cf…
06-02 00:59:47	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0x4ff85a…
06-02 00:48:06	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	220	5¢	$11	0xfa59fa…
06-01 22:44:08	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	16	90¢	$15	0x60c2ab…
06-01 22:22:58	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x85dd48…
06-01 22:21:07	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	24	58¢	$14	0x11a6e8…
06-01 22:00:51	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xcfb7fd…
06-01 21:40:16	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	125	6¢	$8	0x2fa0bb…
06-01 21:36:35	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xc3f8f2…
06-01 17:36:36	Prostejov: Alexander Shevchenko vs Raul Brancaccio	Alexander Shevchenko	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x58708f…
06-01 17:28:49	Prostejov: Alexander Shevchenko vs Raul Brancaccio	Alexander Shevchenko	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xa373ca…
06-01 17:28:02	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo	Felix Auger-Aliassime	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6d5626…
06-01 17:27:51	Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini	Matteo Berrettini	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x465022…
06-01 17:18:52	LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	GIANTX	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x6c4184…
06-01 16:53:02	Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x57b410…
06-01 16:08:12	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x83b161…
06-01 16:04:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	10¢	$12	0x228dab…
06-01 15:25:42	LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	GIANTX	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x0f04b8…
06-01 15:25:32	LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	GIANTX	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x8d51bc…
06-01 15:19:49	Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd719d2…
06-01 14:38:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xbc6c3d…
06-01 14:37:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x2de6b0…
06-01 14:07:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x50bc2a…
06-01 14:07:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x817fe5…
06-01 14:07:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x11daa0…
06-01 14:07:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	10¢	$7	0x03f479…
06-01 14:00:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x1cee73…
06-01 13:51:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x1862a4…
06-01 12:18:41	Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya	Anna Kalinskaya	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2a1a27…
06-01 12:17:08	Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	Zachary Svajda	BUY	101	20¢	$20	0xefdaf8…
06-01 12:12:23	Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	Zachary Svajda	SELL	102	10¢	$10	0xb5fe71…
06-01 12:08:30	Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	Zachary Svajda	SELL	98	5¢	$5	0x035792…
06-01 12:05:51	Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	Zachary Svajda	SELL	450	3¢	$13	0xb97d2f…
06-01 12:00:19	Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya	Anna Kalinskaya	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xd77144…
06-01 11:57:38	Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya	Anna Kalinskaya	SELL	27	28¢	$8	0xb9fe84…
06-01 11:54:18	Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya	Anna Kalinskaya	BUY	47	19¢	$9	0x989b77…
06-01 11:50:03	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Team WE	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9d15b6…
06-01 11:39:54	Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	Zachary Svajda	BUY	593	1¢	$6	0xabf086…
06-01 11:33:51	Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	Zachary Svajda	BUY	209	4¢	$9	0xc82860…
06-01 11:31:26	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Team WE	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x143f50…
06-01 10:47:57	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Team WE	BUY	26	68¢	$18	0x3349ad…
05-31 18:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x273afd…
05-31 16:57:13	Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann	Jil Teichmann	SELL	238	1¢	$2	0x464647…
05-31 16:13:35	LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Team Vitality	BUY	70	47¢	$33	0xcace8c…
05-31 15:58:00	Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann	Jil Teichmann	SELL	103	28¢	$29	0x56273f…
05-31 15:58:00	Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann	Jil Teichmann	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x2ea44c…
05-31 15:57:50	Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann	Jil Teichmann	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xf4ad5b…
05-31 15:57:48	Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann	Jil Teichmann	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x5b7fc8…
05-31 15:57:48	Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann	Jil Teichmann	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x24f515…
05-31 13:51:20	LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs	Team Secret Whales	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xe7f605…
05-31 11:53:18	LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs	Team Secret Whales	BUY	41	64¢	$26	0x89d0d4…
05-31 11:39:00	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	591	8¢	$50	0x284ad6…
05-31 05:18:09	Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2	Leviatán Esports	BUY	160	16¢	$26	0x7e001c…
05-31 04:55:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	376	24¢	$90	0xdad662…
05-31 04:52:08	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0x7e8060…
05-31 04:47:03	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	SELL	156	3¢	$5	0x1f9eba…
05-31 04:46:54	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	SELL	67	3¢	$2	0x0d7f15…
05-31 04:45:50	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	SELL	578	3¢	$17	0xeb704c…
05-31 04:43:35	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	800	1¢	$8	0xa392b5…
05-31 04:40:38	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x8815a3…
05-31 04:36:35	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	106	25¢	$27	0xd2efb7…
05-31 04:29:35	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	85	17¢	$14	0xbb5978…
05-31 04:25:54	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0xabec2a…
05-31 04:25:54	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	57	17¢	$10	0xa5c008…
05-31 04:07:37	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	160	17¢	$27	0x0fe94f…
05-31 03:40:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	689	4¢	$28	0x6c9ed9…
05-30 21:57:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2ea836…
05-30 21:57:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	35¢	$29	0x3fe769…
05-30 21:56:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	595	8¢	$49	0xbee4b4…
05-30 17:32:43	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xfcf405…
05-30 12:41:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	14¢	$7	0x79baaa…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	84	$405.0K	32,089	06-10 01:28
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	80	$316.5K	1,885	06-05 09:35
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	78	$895.9K	14,968	06-09 22:59
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	69	$22.0M	39,553	06-10 01:45
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	62	$149.6K	1,006	06-08 20:15
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	58	$231.9K	16,801	06-01 04:10
(anonymous) 0x5449…992b	57	$22.3K	6,632	06-08 02:15
(anonymous) 0x22f1…6415	56	$86.9K	10,129	06-08 10:40