Plain-Seal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$644

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,119

lifetime

Volume

$135.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$121

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 07-01 20:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

80% 60% $-644

Other

19% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	48	$12.9K	16,312	16,312	+0	open	—	04-07 22:33
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	25	$12.0K	55,274	55,274	+0	open	—	03-31 14:08
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	31	$10.5K	20,887	17,005	+3,882	open	—	04-16 16:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	51	$10.4K	19,302	19,302	+0	open	—	04-07 21:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	19	$6.2K	18,492	18,492	+0	Yes	+$17	04-16 00:13
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	4	$5.5K	3,278	3,278	+0	open	—	02-27 12:23
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	54	$5.4K	35,505	35,505	+0	open	—	04-07 16:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	33	$4.6K	14,461	19,352	-4,891	open	—	05-16 01:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$4.5K	4,258	4,258	+0	open	—	04-22 05:24
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	14	$4.4K	7,324	7,324	+0	open	—	07-01 19:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	47	$3.8K	5,514	6,401	-888	open	—	05-31 03:40
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	26	$3.5K	9,736	9,736	+0	open	—	06-11 20:11
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	16	$3.4K	7,794	7,794	+0	open	—	07-01 19:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	9	$3.2K	4,062	4,058	+4	Yes	+$14	04-07 05:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	18	$3.2K	27,257	27,257	+0	open	—	03-30 15:58
will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	41	$2.9K	10,155	10,090	+65	open	—	06-23 04:17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	36	$2.6K	26,795	12,172	+14,623	No	$-1,120	05-08 11:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	20	$2.2K	17,255	17,255	+0	Yes	+$453	04-16 03:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	15	$1.9K	1,665	1,046	+619	open	—	05-25 12:24
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 12pt5	18	$1.5K	902	902	+0	open	—	06-29 23:13
will xauusd reach 4700 in june 2026	18	$1.2K	8,463	9,516	-1,053	open	—	06-23 10:45
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$1.0K	602	602	+0	open	—	02-26 14:21
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	3	$1.0K	1,531	1,531	+0	open	—	06-29 23:24
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	27	$1.0K	415,507	194,963	+220,544	open	—	04-21 00:01
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	5	$923	533	533	+0	open	—	06-23 00:25
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	14	$765	2,339	2,339	+0	open	—	04-19 08:54
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	10	$718	6,104	0	+6,104	open	—	05-29 16:01
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals kai havertz gte1	2	$702	505	505	+0	open	—	06-29 22:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	27	$660	1,521	1,521	+0	open	—	04-25 14:33
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	3	$613	1,312	1,093	+219	open	—	03-08 19:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 20:26:23	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	215	92¢	$198	0x74dc93…
07-01 19:58:13	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	588	85¢	$500	0xc9d57b…
07-01 19:56:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	299	0¢	$0	0x6195d5…
07-01 19:48:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x251e5b…
07-01 19:36:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	1,048	5¢	$53	0x3d6cc3…
07-01 19:36:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	5,024	16¢	$780	0x6ff417…
07-01 19:34:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 3	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x5bde26…
07-01 19:34:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xbc151a…
07-01 19:34:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 3	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x3ddb4b…
07-01 19:33:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb71b79…
07-01 19:33:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	1,510	0¢	$2	0x45aa2e…
07-01 19:33:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x2d9a4d…
07-01 19:32:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	2,899	0¢	$6	0x8da7cb…
07-01 19:18:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	1,859	5¢	$98	0x161965…
07-01 19:16:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	559	17¢	$95	0x01d986…
07-01 19:13:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	631	16¢	$101	0x66f2c9…
07-01 18:09:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 3	No	BUY	429	4¢	$17	0x21c9ec…
07-01 18:04:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	560	5¢	$30	0x771375…
07-01 17:57:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	348	14¢	$48	0xabf7c8…
07-01 17:47:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	369	19¢	$69	0xc00339…
07-01 17:47:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	765	4¢	$27	0xf33561…
07-01 17:46:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	2,300	18¢	$418	0xf352bb…
07-01 17:45:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	636	3¢	$19	0x521a14…
07-01 16:48:53	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	DR Congo	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x2c459a…
07-01 16:15:41	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	Yes	BUY	47	3¢	$1	0xf0f033…
07-01 16:04:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	535	7¢	$40	0x8dfe4d…
07-01 15:57:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	2,400	7¢	$163	0xf45ec0…
07-01 11:28:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	160	10¢	$16	0x5180ab…
07-01 10:35:17	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	352	71¢	$250	0x742c1c…
07-01 10:33:31	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	Yes	BUY	1,300	2¢	$29	0x65a0a7…
07-01 10:30:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	456	6¢	$26	0x20e420…
07-01 10:27:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	3,000	11¢	$325	0x814a72…
07-01 08:54:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	769	26¢	$200	0xd73f37…
07-01 08:54:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	2,035	13¢	$263	0x122efe…
07-01 00:16:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	971	31¢	$300	0x70105b…
07-01 00:15:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	1,000	15¢	$150	0xa1542e…
06-30 23:57:11	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 shots julian quinones gte2	Yes	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x731878…
06-30 19:23:07	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0x1660fe…
06-30 19:21:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	156	34¢	$53	0x63ff58…
06-30 19:21:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x811098…
06-30 19:21:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	786	21¢	$165	0x0a9f03…
06-30 18:59:13	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	SELL	362	100¢	$362	0x5339d6…
06-30 17:35:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	742	27¢	$200	0xfeb617…
06-30 16:16:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	74	39¢	$29	0x68667e…
06-30 16:15:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	99	39¢	$38	0x27380c…
06-30 16:00:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	849	39¢	$333	0xb5feab…
06-30 16:00:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	374	26¢	$99	0x5bf25d…
06-30 15:16:11	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	BUY	516	19¢	$98	0xfbab2c…
06-30 15:15:44	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x2c7f87…
06-30 15:14:32	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	358	53¢	$190	0xfe77c2…
06-30 15:14:11	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	856	64¢	$548	0xff381a…
06-30 11:53:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	984	54¢	$528	0x86818a…
06-30 11:53:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	1,031	39¢	$402	0xc5ee8b…
06-30 11:53:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	315	40¢	$126	0x3bc23e…
06-30 06:18:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xc9fe79…
06-29 23:31:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	329	46¢	$153	0xa24539…
06-29 23:24:52	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	SELL	1,219	12¢	$146	0xb2e349…
06-29 23:24:29	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	SELL	312	3¢	$9	0x2d9bd3…
06-29 23:15:19	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	1,531	58¢	$888	0xc24ac4…
06-29 23:13:40	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 12pt5	Over	SELL	902	100¢	$901	0xb76840…
06-29 22:47:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	384	45¢	$174	0x20237d…
06-29 22:27:14	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	213	10¢	$21	0x577b17…
06-29 22:21:56	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	145	60¢	$87	0xe02b4d…
06-29 22:21:56	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd1dfca…
06-29 22:21:56	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xbaf773…
06-29 22:21:56	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x900272…
06-29 22:21:56	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6d46e0…
06-29 22:21:56	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x445579…
06-29 22:21:55	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x7837fa…
06-29 22:21:55	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x72bc9f…
06-29 22:21:55	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x43dfa6…
06-29 22:21:55	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x04e148…
06-29 22:21:19	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x9680df…
06-29 22:21:19	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x8272fd…
06-29 22:21:19	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x821030…
06-29 22:18:35	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	129	81¢	$105	0x7340e3…
06-29 22:17:44	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals kai havertz gte1	Yes	SELL	505	100¢	$505	0xfd4a52…
06-29 22:15:59	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	180	55¢	$99	0x81e86b…
06-29 22:15:14	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x739834…
06-29 22:05:58	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x39af98…
06-29 22:05:32	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	90	59¢	$53	0xbe6a03…
06-29 22:02:31	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Germany	SELL	111	12¢	$13	0x3998df…
06-29 22:01:59	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Germany	SELL	306	12¢	$38	0xb03bb3…
06-29 21:56:46	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 8pt5	Under	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0x847299…
06-29 21:56:25	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 8pt5	Under	SELL	150	2¢	$3	0x6a9180…
06-29 21:55:02	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 8pt5	Under	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xf6526c…
06-29 21:14:58	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	166	59¢	$98	0xc4170c…
06-29 19:40:32	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	242	40¢	$97	0x3a679b…
06-29 19:39:29	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals kai havertz gte1	Yes	BUY	505	39¢	$197	0xc97de1…
06-29 19:38:40	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0x6d36a2…
06-29 19:37:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	726	50¢	$364	0x43aae2…
06-29 15:12:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	1,269	39¢	$500	0x621df1…
06-29 13:04:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	725	79¢	$569	0xe1c032…
06-29 13:03:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	1,154	69¢	$800	0xf4aa6a…
06-29 11:39:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	1,258	40¢	$500	0xb7ddc4…
06-29 11:39:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	262	38¢	$100	0x927809…
06-29 09:21:52	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals matheus cunha gte1	Yes	BUY	320	30¢	$96	0xc4151f…
06-29 09:21:43	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals vinicius junior gte1	Yes	BUY	526	38¢	$200	0x4fcd07…
06-29 09:18:22	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	799	74¢	$591	0x664afc…
06-25 20:59:17	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0xb7bd20…