Plain-Seal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$644

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,190

lifetime

Volume

$138.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$116

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 08-12 05:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

78% 60% $-644

Other

20% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	48	$12.9K	16,312	16,312	+0	open	—	04-07 22:33
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	25	$12.0K	55,274	55,274	+0	open	—	03-31 14:08
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	31	$10.5K	20,887	17,005	+3,882	open	—	04-16 16:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	51	$10.4K	19,302	19,302	+0	open	—	04-07 21:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	19	$6.2K	18,492	18,492	+0	Yes	+$17	04-16 00:13
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	4	$5.5K	3,278	3,278	+0	open	—	02-27 12:23
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	54	$5.4K	35,505	35,505	+0	open	—	04-07 16:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	33	$4.6K	14,461	19,352	-4,891	open	—	05-16 01:09
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	17	$4.5K	7,990	7,990	+0	open	—	07-10 12:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$4.5K	4,258	4,258	+0	open	—	04-22 05:24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	47	$3.8K	5,514	6,401	-888	open	—	05-31 03:40
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	26	$3.5K	9,736	9,736	+0	open	—	06-11 20:11
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	17	$3.4K	11,794	7,794	+4,000	open	—	07-05 16:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	9	$3.2K	4,062	4,058	+4	Yes	+$14	04-07 05:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	18	$3.2K	27,257	27,257	+0	open	—	03-30 15:58
will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	41	$2.9K	10,155	10,090	+65	open	—	06-23 04:17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	36	$2.6K	26,795	12,172	+14,623	No	$-1,120	05-08 11:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	20	$2.2K	17,255	17,255	+0	Yes	+$453	04-16 03:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	15	$1.9K	1,665	1,046	+619	open	—	05-25 12:24
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 12pt5	18	$1.5K	902	902	+0	open	—	06-29 23:13
will xauusd reach 4700 in june 2026	18	$1.2K	8,463	9,516	-1,053	open	—	06-23 10:45
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$1.0K	602	602	+0	open	—	02-26 14:21
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	3	$1.0K	1,531	1,531	+0	open	—	06-29 23:24
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	27	$1.0K	415,507	194,963	+220,544	open	—	04-21 00:01
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	5	$923	533	533	+0	open	—	06-23 00:25
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	8	$768	2,233	0	+2,233	open	—	08-02 06:42
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	14	$765	2,339	2,339	+0	open	—	04-19 08:54
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	10	$718	6,104	0	+6,104	open	—	05-29 16:01
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals kai havertz gte1	2	$702	505	505	+0	open	—	06-29 22:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	27	$660	1,521	1,521	+0	open	—	04-25 14:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 09:49:22	will karim benzema attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630270	Yes	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0x094086…
08-12 09:49:00	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x65f909…
08-12 09:48:45	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x800cd7…
08-12 09:48:36	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	Yes	BUY	67	9¢	$6	0x0d80e0…
08-12 09:48:24	will sergio ramos attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630257	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xe60077…
08-12 09:48:13	will diogo dalot attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000827858	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xcc21ca…
08-12 09:35:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0x7449a1…
08-12 09:35:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	64	37¢	$24	0x69212a…
08-12 05:51:15	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	133	11¢	$15	0x787f66…
08-11 09:22:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xbe782d…
08-08 09:00:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0x271c45…
08-06 08:14:08	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	133	6¢	$8	0x360e07…
08-06 08:13:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$18	0x7cd99a…
08-06 08:09:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x18891d…
08-06 08:08:47	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x4ffc8a…
08-03 07:54:15	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	2,400	0¢	$12	0x0ca50b…
08-03 07:51:12	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	147	0¢	$1	0xc0a87f…
08-02 21:47:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	17	63¢	$11	0xa3ba32…
08-02 06:42:17	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	250	37¢	$94	0xf4ad92…
08-02 03:42:23	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xec3047…
08-02 02:45:29	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x900cf5…
08-02 02:42:45	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x1309f0…
08-02 02:41:45	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	143	34¢	$49	0x4a543a…
08-02 02:41:30	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	148	34¢	$50	0xeb6e9e…
08-02 02:41:02	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0xced4ca…
08-02 02:40:35	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	306	32¢	$99	0x42a3be…
08-01 23:16:09	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	1,111	34¢	$380	0xfc0692…
08-01 18:42:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xfd5a5d…
08-01 18:42:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x707cdd…
07-22 16:28:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	SELL	74	11¢	$8	0x94d77c…
07-22 16:26:31	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	SELL	13	35¢	$4	0xc7fea9…
07-19 16:49:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	Yes	BUY	90	10¢	$9	0x787cf0…
07-17 16:35:22	btc updown 5m 1784306100	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xac7a38…
07-16 11:14:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	BUY	74	19¢	$14	0xb7cb20…
07-14 16:22:11	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	SELL	104	23¢	$24	0x2cb62e…
07-14 16:18:11	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	213	2¢	$5	0x4bc461…
07-13 08:29:40	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	SELL	102	29¢	$30	0xfda33f…
07-13 08:23:58	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0xba52cd…
07-10 12:02:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	666	0¢	$1	0x99b642…
07-09 12:00:11	iran successfully targets shipping on july 9 20260625225210250	Yes	SELL	137	29¢	$40	0xae5ec7…
07-08 13:03:05	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x485beb…
07-08 13:01:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$2	0xe921e9…
07-07 14:51:40	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners first half total 4pt5	Under	SELL	82	55¢	$45	0x2f07fe…
07-07 08:12:46	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners first half total 4pt5	Under	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xa40834…
07-07 08:09:02	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x803232…
07-07 07:42:22	iran successfully targets shipping on july 9 20260625225210250	Yes	BUY	137	15¢	$20	0x78b19c…
07-07 07:41:49	iran successfully targets shipping on july 7 20260625225210248	No	BUY	128	8¢	$10	0x3f6bd7…
07-07 07:40:11	will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x48cab8…
07-07 07:39:28	epstein client list released by july 31 20260626153134218	Yes	BUY	335	1¢	$5	0xd4ab84…
07-07 07:03:56	epstein client list released by july 31 20260626153134218	Yes	BUY	601	1¢	$9	0x4cf112…
07-07 01:47:17	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 corners total 7pt5	Over	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0x281705…
07-07 01:24:52	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	145	79¢	$114	0x05d522…
07-07 01:22:14	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x911b75…
07-07 01:15:52	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	115	83¢	$96	0x8346f4…
07-06 23:05:19	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	SELL	506	0¢	$1	0xcbaaeb…
07-06 20:40:53	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x2ddf36…
07-06 17:50:40	world cup ronaldo to score a free kick 20260605004640793	Yes	BUY	248	10¢	$25	0x03ffc8…
07-06 17:47:08	will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	560	5¢	$28	0x71d20a…
07-06 16:43:37	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x89a24c…
07-06 16:42:20	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	297	6¢	$19	0x789f2a…
07-06 13:36:40	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	BUY	207	14¢	$29	0xfbf464…
07-06 13:19:07	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	209	7¢	$15	0x9a6f5c…
07-06 09:49:22	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x762e56…
07-06 03:09:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	231	3¢	$6	0x53d248…
07-06 02:54:02	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0x2025b5…
07-06 00:29:16	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$100	0x78538a…
07-05 23:08:01	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	SELL	250	88¢	$220	0x1e3ff7…
07-05 21:37:08	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	SELL	150	45¢	$67	0x84080f…
07-05 16:53:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0x0b4323…
07-05 16:52:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	436	3¢	$15	0x967fde…
07-05 14:49:29	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	SELL	124	34¢	$42	0xbc700d…
07-05 06:29:58	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	118	19¢	$23	0x63ad6b…
07-05 02:21:25	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	124	20¢	$24	0xf2cf2c…
07-05 01:12:20	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x3d9318…
07-05 01:12:07	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	92	22¢	$20	0xda7239…
07-04 19:41:11	england mexico game rescheduled to a different date 20260703195026173	Yes	BUY	262	2¢	$5	0x6a3632…
07-04 19:40:47	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	101	7¢	$7	0x10f88b…
07-04 15:39:38	england mexico game rescheduled to a different date 20260703195026173	Yes	BUY	157	2¢	$3	0x48084d…
07-04 15:39:25	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	168	6¢	$10	0x6e2d0c…
07-01 20:26:23	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	215	92¢	$198	0x74dc93…
07-01 19:58:13	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	588	85¢	$500	0xc9d57b…
07-01 19:56:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	299	0¢	$0	0x6195d5…
07-01 19:48:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x251e5b…
07-01 19:36:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	1,048	5¢	$53	0x3d6cc3…
07-01 19:36:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	5,024	16¢	$780	0x6ff417…
07-01 19:34:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 3	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x5bde26…
07-01 19:34:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xbc151a…
07-01 19:34:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 3	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x3ddb4b…
07-01 19:33:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb71b79…
07-01 19:33:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	1,510	0¢	$2	0x45aa2e…
07-01 19:33:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x2d9a4d…
07-01 19:32:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	2,899	0¢	$6	0x8da7cb…
07-01 19:18:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	1,859	5¢	$98	0x161965…
07-01 19:16:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	559	17¢	$95	0x01d986…
07-01 19:13:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	631	16¢	$101	0x66f2c9…
07-01 18:09:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 3	No	BUY	429	4¢	$17	0x21c9ec…
07-01 18:04:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	560	5¢	$30	0x771375…
07-01 17:57:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	348	14¢	$48	0xabf7c8…
07-01 17:47:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	369	19¢	$69	0xc00339…
07-01 17:47:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	765	4¢	$27	0xf33561…