Silent-Reject — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$660

Unrealized P&L

-$186

Hit rate

88.8%

Resolved

Trades

721

lifetime

Volume

$266.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$369

Open exposure

$1.58K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 09-04 20:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

94% 94% -$818

Politics

6% 67% +$157

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No		+1,000	$750	99¢	$994	+$244	09-04 20:32
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+2,000	$1,020	30¢	$590	-$430	05-19 20:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 520 539	16	$18.5K	11,797	6,842	+4,955	No	+$150	01-13 08:41
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	5	$11.5K	11,536	0	+11,536	No	+$31	05-11 14:41
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 300 319	1	$10.5K	10,495	0	+10,495	No	+$10	01-14 01:23
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	42	$9.5K	15,065	15,065	+0	No	-$179	01-09 03:33
elon musk of tweets january 2026 1400plus	42	$8.8K	9,055	0	+9,055	Yes	+$280	01-16 23:23
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 340 359	9	$8.4K	4,196	4,196	+0	No	+$25	01-14 07:31
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	45	$8.1K	6,853	1,511	+5,342	No	+$157	04-21 03:25
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	22	$7.8K	7,888	0	+7,888	No	+$73	04-18 19:17
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	17	$7.4K	3,704	3,704	+0	No	+$4	05-13 14:42
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	37	$7.2K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	-$1,898	05-11 18:24
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 500 519	5	$7.0K	7,000	0	+7,000	No	+$37	01-12 06:35
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 460 479	6	$6.5K	5,750	750	+5,000	No	+$28	01-16 04:58
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	7	$6.2K	6,206	0	+6,206	No	+$53	05-12 07:25
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	38	$6.0K	4,713	4,713	+0	No	-$566	05-14 02:14
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	5	$6.0K	4,000	2,000	+2,000	No	+$2	05-14 03:09
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	25	$5.4K	3,461	3,456	+5	No	-$1,018	04-24 14:20
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	05-06 06:44
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 220 239	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	02-04 00:30
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 120 139	6	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$10	01-22 08:45
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 260 279	4	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$15	01-05 19:11
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 320 339	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$20	01-14 01:33
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 300 319	1	$4.7K	4,700	0	+4,700	No	+$23	01-21 07:57
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	25	$4.5K	4,000	1,000	+3,000	No	+$73	04-30 23:29
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	13	$4.5K	4,500	0	+4,500	No	+$44	05-02 21:05
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 140 159	9	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$27	04-22 00:19
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	31	$3.8K	2,385	1,695	+691	No	+$212	07-15 13:59
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 480 499	7	$3.6K	1,852	1,852	+0	No	+$26	01-08 16:27
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	30	$3.5K	2,703	1,000	+1,703	No	+$218	05-03 15:26
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	20	$3.4K	2,500	1,000	+1,500	No	+$82	04-22 14:43
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 340 359	12	$3.0K	2,407	646	+1,760	No	+$42	01-22 08:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 20:32:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	933	75¢	$700	0xab2ee4…
09-04 20:32:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xb87973…
07-16 22:23:08	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1,745	99¢	$1,727	0xa30e8c…
07-16 17:31:58	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0x5737d5…
07-16 17:31:50	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	369	98¢	$362	0xb946a3…
07-16 17:31:35	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0xfc5f23…
07-16 17:13:23	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	631	98¢	$619	0x091e9c…
07-15 19:16:20	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0xc494df…
07-15 19:13:53	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	108	88¢	$95	0x555452…
07-15 19:01:28	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	63	88¢	$56	0xb5d549…
07-15 18:39:07	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	126	88¢	$111	0x204e88…
07-15 15:41:59	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x5a670e…
07-15 15:41:52	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	394	99¢	$391	0xc98109…
07-15 15:41:50	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	493	99¢	$489	0x57b4bb…
07-15 15:26:58	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x89303c…
07-15 15:25:04	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	108	88¢	$95	0x33aec8…
07-15 15:24:52	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xf18f82…
07-15 15:24:52	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x4aa736…
07-15 15:24:31	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xdb5b09…
07-15 15:24:31	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xa431b0…
07-15 15:24:10	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	109	88¢	$96	0x1e1115…
07-15 15:23:49	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x527981…
07-15 15:19:17	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	498	83¢	$413	0xc81f5e…
07-15 13:59:28	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	230	99¢	$228	0x221b4e…
07-15 13:58:13	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0x51c2d7…
07-15 13:52:13	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xc958b6…
07-15 13:51:02	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$493	0x24f5a1…
07-15 13:46:11	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0592d0…
07-15 13:45:07	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xed4445…
07-15 13:44:40	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x6500af…
07-15 13:43:44	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0xbd7b4b…
07-15 13:43:41	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf52e56…
07-15 13:42:14	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xbe8cf1…
07-15 13:42:14	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	83	98¢	$81	0x45d684…
07-15 13:41:44	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	110	98¢	$107	0x67fcf0…
07-15 13:41:34	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xf5527f…
07-15 11:36:40	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,800	90¢	$1,620	0x78cfbb…
07-15 06:36:34	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	447	88¢	$394	0x5fc251…
07-15 06:34:29	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	21	88¢	$19	0x33122a…
07-15 06:30:28	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	21	88¢	$19	0xac86bc…
07-15 06:29:26	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$9	0xab2ae2…
07-15 05:43:19	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	305	89¢	$272	0xb86563…
07-15 05:14:35	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	195	89¢	$174	0x293fa8…
07-15 02:49:38	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	128	90¢	$115	0x69bc1e…
07-15 02:49:16	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x1d7cff…
07-15 02:49:07	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x5c51cf…
07-15 02:47:29	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0x5e4c73…
07-15 02:45:28	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xde0978…
07-15 01:51:40	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x28f1a2…
07-14 21:24:25	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	150	90¢	$135	0x4cd0ac…
07-14 19:04:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	642	99¢	$636	0x5684d8…
07-14 17:12:20	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1,338	99¢	$1,324	0x8b10d9…
07-14 16:02:19	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	209	95¢	$198	0x72527f…
07-14 16:02:08	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xd3d434…
07-14 15:58:47	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x1f73ec…
07-14 15:54:52	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x0b19cb…
07-14 15:50:38	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x34fdbb…
07-14 15:46:26	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xb1c695…
07-14 14:56:26	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	134	95¢	$128	0xef582d…
07-14 14:48:14	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1,134	90¢	$1,022	0xd105a9…
07-14 14:47:04	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	418	100¢	$417	0x72399f…
07-14 14:33:50	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$81	0x064995…
05-19 20:52:03	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,000	51¢	$1,020	0x5f2da8…
05-16 18:33:36	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$987	0x86eee1…
05-15 10:34:40	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	236	99¢	$233	0xd8f7dd…
05-15 07:37:08	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x41a646…
05-15 05:49:52	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	499	98¢	$490	0x9d8deb…
05-15 05:45:43	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xcc00b9…
05-15 05:45:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x9d0c38…
05-15 05:37:03	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	120	98¢	$118	0xdaa90c…
05-15 04:15:57	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	338	98¢	$332	0xc03fd2…
05-15 04:15:44	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	205	99¢	$203	0xfc24bd…
05-14 12:45:39	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	245	100¢	$244	0x6b42fb…
05-14 03:09:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,994	0x56eaf9…
05-14 02:14:34	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	974	1¢	$12	0xebd0fc…
05-14 02:01:54	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x281f12…
05-14 02:01:12	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	399	1¢	$5	0xd9028f…
05-13 15:09:27	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	150	98¢	$147	0xd9f22d…
05-13 14:50:54	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,377	21¢	$289	0x28aecf…
05-13 14:49:18	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	37	79¢	$30	0xe0db06…
05-13 14:49:04	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	40	79¢	$32	0x6daefa…
05-13 14:48:48	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	49	79¢	$39	0xe54fb2…
05-13 14:48:13	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	107	80¢	$85	0x92d1e1…
05-13 14:44:46	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	137	80¢	$110	0xa70cb3…
05-13 14:43:01	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	60	81¢	$48	0xfd3f37…
05-13 14:42:54	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	60	81¢	$48	0x23e0ee…
05-13 14:42:51	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2,510	81¢	$2,026	0x7af952…
05-13 14:42:25	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	850	98¢	$834	0xb3c972…
05-13 14:42:09	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	3,704	100¢	$3,697	0x765bb9…
05-13 14:41:53	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,988	0x43cba0…
05-13 11:35:48	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x14e5b3…
05-13 11:19:18	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$70	0x0955d4…
05-13 08:02:23	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2,819	100¢	$2,811	0xcfb847…
05-13 06:38:08	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	433	90¢	$390	0x256e46…
05-13 06:37:13	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	51	90¢	$46	0x484dc7…
05-13 06:37:06	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	16	90¢	$15	0x4f9183…
05-13 06:32:18	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x538836…
05-13 06:31:27	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	215	91¢	$195	0xe20cbd…
05-13 06:28:55	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xb774e8…
05-13 06:28:30	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	248	91¢	$225	0x7e06ae…