Homely-Front-Thought 0x0cda9c…f9afef
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$262
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
79.5%
Resolved
101
Trades
135
lifetime
Volume
$3.28K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$295
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-26
last 10-08 20:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Other
48% 75% -$67
Politics
42% 54% -$182
Sports
6% 67% -$13
Tech
4% 100% +$10
Crypto
0% 0% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +110 $100 98¢ $108 +$8 06-16 12:42
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +27 $20 91¢ $25 +$5 09-27 09:23
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +27 $20 84¢ $23 +$3 10-01 00:13
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +39 $10 43¢ $17 +$7 07-09 09:42
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +15 $10 96¢ $15 +$5 08-10 19:30
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date No +15 $10 90¢ $13 +$3 07-22 11:35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +15 $10 88¢ $13 +$3 10-01 00:20
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +13 $10 98¢ $13 +$3 09-13 09:35
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +12 $10 99¢ $12 +$2 10-01 17:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +12 $10 88¢ $11 +$1 09-23 15:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +13 $10 84¢ $11 +$1 09-27 09:23
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $10 26¢ $10 +$0 09-27 09:21
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +12 $10 82¢ $10 $0 10-06 13:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +33 $10 18¢ $6 -$4 07-22 11:33
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +45 $10 14¢ $6 -$4 07-18 11:36
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10 $5 25¢ $2 -$3 09-07 18:07
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +22 $10 1¢ $0 -$10 08-10 10:21