Periodic-Tune-Teapot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

118

lifetime

Volume

$144

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-24

last 06-27 16:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

49% 0% $-2

Other

43% 0% $-17

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes		-3	$-1	16¢	$-0	+$0	05-29 20:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	06-06 05:50
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	1	$15	0	149	-149	open	—	06-09 10:17
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	6	$8	3,571	800	+2,771	Yes	$-5	05-04 21:07
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	9	$8	2,492	0	+2,492	Yes	$-8	05-04 21:03
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	6	$5	402	0	+402	open	—	04-30 22:45
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	2	$4	5	12	-7	open	—	06-08 21:25
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	2	$3	6	6	+0	open	—	06-16 03:00
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	2	$3	11	11	+0	open	—	06-17 21:03
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-22 22:29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 22:14
ai data center in space by december 31 2027	1	$2	0	11	-11	open	—	06-22 15:18
Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 07:10
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	06-08 16:21
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1,042	1,042	+0	open	—	06-02 06:00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	12	$2	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-02 07:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	2	$2	1,056	0	+1,056	open	—	05-29 22:45
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2	1,035	0	+1,035	open	—	05-21 21:31
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$2	502	0	+502	open	—	04-28 13:03
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2	1,034	0	+1,034	open	—	05-21 21:31
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?	3	$2	100	0	+100	open	—	06-10 16:15
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	06-21 12:02
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	2	$2	8	8	+0	open	—	06-13 17:23
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	2	$2	45	0	+45	open	—	05-16 03:39
israel closes its airspace by june 8	1	$2	26	0	+26	open	—	06-08 11:49
Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 300.0k by May 31?	1	$1	31	0	+31	open	—	05-28 13:31
Will Trump say "Epstein" during WHCA Dinner events?	1	$1	15	0	+15	open	—	04-25 20:14
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	2	$1	11	11	+0	open	—	05-29 15:01
will trump restart project freedom by june 30	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	06-10 21:18
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$1	87	0	+87	No	$-1	04-28 07:31
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	1	$1	40	0	+40	Yes	$-1	05-07 13:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 16:41:25	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	1,042	0¢	$1	0x688897…
06-22 15:18:16	ai data center in space by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x233d87…
06-21 12:02:14	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x262836…
06-17 21:03:16	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0x019c46…
06-16 21:29:38	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xffcf9d…
06-16 03:04:33	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xb87699…
06-16 03:00:43	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x95d7d0…
06-13 17:23:25	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x15ea04…
06-11 14:44:30	cs2 vit fut 2026 06 11	FUT Esports	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc43992…
06-10 21:18:18	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x4c2678…
06-10 16:15:18	Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?	Yes	BUY	93	2¢	$2	0x1492a9…
06-10 16:15:15	Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xdfa877…
06-10 16:15:15	Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x0d1b01…
06-09 12:20:03	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd13bba…
06-09 10:17:37	FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	No	SELL	149	10¢	$15	0x50722a…
06-09 06:25:06	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x57e535…
06-09 05:05:42	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x343aae…
06-08 21:25:15	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	28¢	$3	0x6389c0…
06-08 16:21:52	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd0a539…
06-08 11:49:40	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0xbc781e…
06-07 20:10:46	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xaaa967…
06-07 19:46:52	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x671592…
06-06 08:56:49	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xafeb65…
06-06 05:50:06	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x24a22e…
06-06 05:35:49	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x79b7fd…
06-05 10:21:22	ai data center in space by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x364c2b…
06-04 19:19:58	tea fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xa820f6…
06-04 19:08:12	tea fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x235050…
06-02 12:37:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa299d5…
06-02 07:45:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	372	0¢	$0	0xca9586…
06-02 07:23:41	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	196	0¢	$0	0xfd040a…
06-02 06:00:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,042	0¢	$1	0xe61b97…
06-02 05:59:39	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x76f794…
06-02 05:51:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xb34386…
06-02 05:27:43	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xeb4c82…
06-02 05:10:11	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x541b95…
06-02 04:43:37	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xf773ea…
06-02 04:43:37	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xe4dbbe…
06-02 04:38:25	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xf4663f…
06-02 04:38:25	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x304f06…
06-02 04:36:30	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	221	0¢	$0	0x52a414…
06-01 17:15:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2ae579…
06-01 17:04:26	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,042	0¢	$1	0xbe99d8…
05-29 22:45:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x69ee45…
05-29 20:55:33	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xbf1ebf…
05-29 15:01:28	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xe3075c…
05-28 13:31:32	Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 300.0k by May 31?	Yes	BUY	31	5¢	$1	0xb0f59d…
05-27 17:05:20	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xd15acb…
05-27 13:00:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xf9c0fd…
05-22 22:29:17	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x0c1bce…
05-22 12:25:13	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb025f8…
05-22 10:34:35	Will Trump say "Good afternoon" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb3cac3…
05-22 07:25:53	Will Trump say "Cut rate" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x01c3f6…
05-22 07:22:17	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x250c93…
05-22 07:07:21	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x092dec…
05-21 21:31:49	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xeabeb0…
05-21 21:31:38	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x631b72…
05-16 03:39:53	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	4¢	$2	0x4a860e…
05-16 03:24:43	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x388e31…
05-15 22:42:28	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xd28786…
05-15 22:42:02	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x0c388a…
05-13 23:14:14	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x74a5d0…
05-13 23:11:57	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe74a53…
05-13 23:11:33	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x56f3cd…
05-08 21:41:11	Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	47	0¢	$0	0x93c335…
05-08 21:41:06	Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	78	0¢	$0	0x09c260…
05-08 21:31:16	Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa8cc6e…
05-08 21:01:28	Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	119	0¢	$0	0x990862…
05-07 13:58:03	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xf6cedf…
05-04 21:07:40	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7be21a…
05-04 21:03:04	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3e3cd6…
05-04 16:24:36	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa36a83…
05-03 22:14:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x9968a3…
05-03 12:44:10	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8cdd90…
05-02 15:54:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x463141…
05-02 14:19:04	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x6fcdb6…
05-02 11:42:04	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	521	0¢	$1	0x7e5b60…
05-02 03:37:44	Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	521	0¢	$1	0x422ac5…
05-02 00:10:42	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0x9c3253…
05-01 23:42:04	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x065e8e…
05-01 23:42:02	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x8e9730…
05-01 17:40:42	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xfbccb4…
05-01 17:35:16	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	82	2¢	$2	0x6dbb7b…
05-01 17:32:50	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	800	0¢	$2	0x0c0593…
05-01 16:45:48	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	800	0¢	$2	0x855a2e…
05-01 15:21:44	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x891b7a…
05-01 15:00:50	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x2f48bb…
04-30 22:45:48	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	138	1¢	$1	0x6f6afb…
04-30 16:42:08	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x62b666…
04-30 06:44:18	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	334	0¢	$1	0x2802ad…
04-29 22:50:56	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd15ff6…
04-29 22:49:32	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x68a666…
04-29 19:08:16	James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x582677…
04-29 19:01:20	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x792ecc…
04-29 13:23:22	Will there be at least 1850 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe8ca3b…
04-29 07:52:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3f0c63…
04-29 06:42:38	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x6593b3…
04-29 04:51:30	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x3f23d4…
04-28 13:03:52	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x5c8e77…
04-28 07:31:06	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	87	1¢	$1	0x1d02af…