Periodic-Tune-Teapot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$74

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

36.0%

Resolved

127

Trades

255

lifetime

Volume

$283

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 07-29 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

54% 11% -$32

Politics

38% 24% -$30

Crypto

3% 14% -$4

Sports

3% 25% -$2

Tech

2% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-29).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	-1	-$1	99¢	$-1	$0	05-15 22:40
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	-3	-$1	15¢	$-0	+$0	05-29 20:55
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	+53	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	05-13 16:16
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+80	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	04-28 18:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	2	$18	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	06-06 05:50
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	4	$17	149	149	+0	Yes	+$12	06-09 10:17
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$16	17	16	+1	No	+$15	04-29 19:02
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	7	$13	1,290	1,290	+0	No	+$9	06-28 06:09
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	6	$8	3,571	800	+2,771	Yes	-$5	05-04 21:07
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	9	$8	2,492	0	+2,492	Yes	-$8	05-04 21:03
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	3	$5	12	12	+0	No	+$1	06-08 21:25
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	6	$5	402	0	+402	No	-$5	04-30 22:45
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?	2	$5	11	11	+0	open	—	06-22 15:18
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	2	$4	11	11	+0	open	—	05-04 21:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$4	1,247	1	+1,246	Yes	-$3	04-29 18:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$4	272	0	+272	Yes	-$4	06-13 09:13
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 20:58
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	2	$3	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	06-16 03:00
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	2	$3	11	11	+0	No	+$1	06-17 21:03
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	2	$3	526	526	+0	No	+$1	06-11 03:36
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	06-08 16:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$3	1,017	17	+1,000	Yes	-$1	07-29 18:00
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	05-22 22:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	3	$3	2,056	0	+2,056	No	-$3	05-30 13:22
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$3	87	87	+0	No	+$0	05-01 11:26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$2	6	6	+0	No	+$0	05-03 22:14
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-04 21:04
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	14	14	+0	No	+$0	05-16 03:23
Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-28 07:10
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	2	$2	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 20:56
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	05-06 09:08
Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	05-01 14:54
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?	2	$2	100	100	+0	No	-$2	06-11 18:04
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1,042	1,042	+0	Yes	$0	06-02 06:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 18:00:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	113	0¢	$0	0x035ca6…
07-29 18:00:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	887	0¢	$1	0x2986d2…
07-09 01:33:10	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	No	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x898a28…
07-09 01:32:46	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	No	BUY	960	0¢	$1	0x414122…
06-28 06:09:26	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x0aa9e5…
06-27 16:41:25	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	1,042	0¢	$1	0x688897…
06-27 14:27:37	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe572dc…
06-27 14:27:17	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x7c561e…
06-27 14:27:17	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	102	0¢	$0	0x5872d6…
06-27 14:27:17	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0x0da230…
06-26 12:57:08	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x559d1d…
06-22 15:18:16	ai data center in space by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x233d87…
06-22 10:23:56	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x76afcf…
06-22 03:51:22	Will Haiti concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xa29e6e…
06-21 20:55:10	Will Haiti concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x814afe…
06-21 18:10:47	Will Haiti concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	BUY	87	0¢	$0	0x6bd2d5…
06-21 15:50:53	Will Panama concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0xd2e98e…
06-21 15:40:26	Will Panama concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7f3ce4…
06-21 15:38:01	Will Panama concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x72a7b2…
06-21 12:14:28	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 8 and 10 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0x41fd93…
06-21 12:02:14	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x262836…
06-21 05:38:23	Will Jordan concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	BUY	36	2¢	$1	0xfa2e26…
06-17 21:03:16	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0x019c46…
06-17 10:20:59	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x45dcd2…
06-17 10:08:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x968703…
06-16 21:29:38	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xffcf9d…
06-16 13:23:07	Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1e9bd1…
06-16 03:04:33	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xb87699…
06-16 03:00:43	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x95d7d0…
06-13 17:23:25	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x15ea04…
06-13 09:13:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xbb268b…
06-11 18:04:01	Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xae860c…
06-11 17:18:15	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x67d151…
06-11 17:17:54	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x225ff8…
06-11 14:44:30	cs2 vit fut 2026 06 11	FUT Esports	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc43992…
06-11 12:56:36	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xa36c12…
06-11 03:36:33	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	SELL	526	0¢	$2	0x189ac3…
06-10 21:44:45	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	Yes	BUY	109	0¢	$0	0xd4e9aa…
06-10 21:42:45	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xcbbed0…
06-10 21:42:45	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xa9f11b…
06-10 21:40:51	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x06c976…
06-10 21:40:25	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	Yes	BUY	343	0¢	$1	0x94187e…
06-10 21:39:54	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	Yes	BUY	1,042	0¢	$1	0x6ef427…
06-10 21:39:04	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?	Yes	BUY	1,042	0¢	$1	0xd99901…
06-10 21:18:18	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x4c2678…
06-10 16:15:18	Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?	Yes	BUY	93	2¢	$2	0x1492a9…
06-10 16:15:15	Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xdfa877…
06-10 16:15:15	Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x0d1b01…
06-09 17:15:00	Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	Yes	BUY	220	0¢	$0	0xda4fa9…
06-09 17:13:43	Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be greater than 85%?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x1b4f4a…
06-09 15:42:10	Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xa606ba…
06-09 12:46:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,054	0¢	$1	0xade0ad…
06-09 12:20:03	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd13bba…
06-09 12:05:19	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	126	1¢	$1	0xddd9eb…
06-09 10:17:37	FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	No	SELL	149	10¢	$15	0x50722a…
06-09 09:03:03	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x5c09ae…
06-09 06:25:06	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x57e535…
06-09 05:05:42	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x343aae…
06-09 01:22:21	Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xafceda…
06-08 21:25:15	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	28¢	$3	0x6389c0…
06-08 21:23:03	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	526	0¢	$1	0xe37ffb…
06-08 16:21:52	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd0a539…
06-08 11:49:40	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0xbc781e…
06-08 09:09:48	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0x17dc71…
06-08 04:12:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9fd133…
06-07 20:10:46	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xaaa967…
06-07 19:51:10	Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?	No	SELL	62	1¢	$0	0xe45b81…
06-07 19:46:52	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x671592…
06-06 09:03:06	Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?	No	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x02308f…
06-06 08:56:49	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xafeb65…
06-06 08:49:15	Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xb88983…
06-06 08:35:55	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?	Yes	BUY	196	0¢	$0	0x4d647c…
06-06 08:35:31	Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x357c4b…
06-06 08:34:30	Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xba3d16…
06-06 05:56:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf14484…
06-06 05:50:06	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x24a22e…
06-06 05:35:49	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x79b7fd…
06-05 10:21:22	ai data center in space by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x364c2b…
06-04 19:19:58	tea fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xa820f6…
06-04 19:08:12	tea fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x235050…
06-04 18:55:06	Will Ghana be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xaf7b1f…
06-02 12:37:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa299d5…
06-02 07:45:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	372	0¢	$0	0xca9586…
06-02 07:23:41	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	196	0¢	$0	0xfd040a…
06-02 06:00:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,042	0¢	$1	0xe61b97…
06-02 05:59:39	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x76f794…
06-02 05:51:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xb34386…
06-02 05:33:03	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x72b709…
06-02 05:27:43	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xeb4c82…
06-02 05:10:11	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x541b95…
06-02 04:43:37	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xf773ea…
06-02 04:43:37	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xe4dbbe…
06-02 04:38:25	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xf4663f…
06-02 04:38:25	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x304f06…
06-02 04:36:30	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	221	0¢	$0	0x52a414…
06-01 18:32:15	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xb94df9…
06-01 17:15:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2ae579…
06-01 17:04:26	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,042	0¢	$1	0xbe99d8…
05-31 15:00:26	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xedafd0…
05-31 06:53:52	Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xf95dbf…