Uncommon-Recognition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$188

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

146

Trades

153

lifetime

Volume

$45.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$297

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-04 06:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Other

59% 99% +$162

Crypto

41% 100% +$26

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	2	$1.2K	596	596	+0	No	+$5	11-04 02:10
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	3	$1.0K	513	513	+0	No	+$11	08-04 19:22
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	1	$600	622	0	+622	No	+$22	11-04 06:01
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$590	593	0	+593	No	+$3	09-15 04:48
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$590	594	0	+594	No	+$4	09-24 04:46
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1	$590	591	0	+591	No	+$1	10-12 15:42
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	1	$588	589	0	+589	No	+$1	08-07 07:27
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	1	$580	581	0	+581	No	+$1	09-11 09:26
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	1	$570	571	0	+571	No	+$1	07-21 07:57
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	1	$570	572	0	+572	No	+$2	07-16 05:26
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	1	$570	571	0	+571	No	+$1	07-31 10:20
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$570	571	0	+571	No	+$1	07-23 06:59
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	1	$570	571	0	+571	No	+$1	07-11 08:11
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$570	571	0	+571	No	+$1	06-24 13:17
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	1	$570	571	0	+571	No	+$1	06-22 06:45
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$569	571	0	+571	No	+$1	07-27 07:18
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$560	561	0	+561	No	+$1	06-16 08:37
ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	1	$560	562	0	+562	No	+$2	06-12 10:17
ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	1	$560	561	0	+561	No	+$1	06-09 07:33
bitcoin above 56k on june 8 2026	1	$560	561	0	+561	Yes	+$1	06-08 07:44
ethereum above 1900 on june 14 2026	1	$560	561	0	+561	No	+$1	06-14 07:09
ethereum above 2000 on june 15 2026	1	$560	561	0	+561	No	+$1	06-15 07:35
bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	1	$550	551	0	+551	No	+$1	06-05 11:35
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	05-20 06:10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 1?	1	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	06-01 07:15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	1	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	05-27 11:36
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	1	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	05-24 08:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	1	$500	501	0	+501	Yes	+$1	05-16 09:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	1	$500	501	0	+501	Yes	+$1	04-27 07:01
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	1	$500	506	0	+506	No	+$6	06-06 06:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 06:01:07	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	622	96¢	$600	0x5c6505…
11-04 02:10:25	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	596	100¢	$595	0x2b459b…
11-03 04:40:24	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	596	99¢	$590	0x775de1…
10-15 04:01:47	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xd9ac00…
10-15 04:01:32	will ethereum dip to 1800 in october 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x929cc8…
10-15 04:00:46	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3b0772…
10-12 15:42:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	591	100¢	$590	0x1573b6…
09-24 04:46:41	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	594	99¢	$590	0xdfa47c…
09-15 04:48:39	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	593	100¢	$590	0x8425aa…
09-11 09:26:25	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	581	100¢	$580	0xf32362…
08-07 07:27:45	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	589	100¢	$588	0x937e84…
08-04 19:22:41	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	SELL	503	100¢	$501	0x30400f…
08-04 16:19:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x816c10…
08-04 05:07:51	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xc943cc…
08-04 05:07:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	BUY	513	97¢	$500	0xc4bb74…
08-02 07:41:26	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfa5217…
08-01 05:48:39	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	470	100¢	$470	0x2956e8…
08-01 05:48:20	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3d84b1…
07-31 10:20:29	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	571	100¢	$570	0x3ef719…
07-27 07:18:09	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	571	100¢	$569	0x4039e9…
07-23 06:59:07	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	571	100¢	$570	0x6443e2…
07-21 07:57:04	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	571	100¢	$570	0x7ee816…
07-16 05:26:22	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	572	100¢	$570	0x9c85b1…
07-11 08:11:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	571	100¢	$570	0x585f7b…
06-24 13:17:59	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	571	100¢	$570	0xc87103…
06-22 06:45:31	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	571	100¢	$570	0x43eca1…
06-16 08:37:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	561	100¢	$560	0x7249fb…
06-15 07:35:46	ethereum above 2000 on june 15 2026	No	BUY	561	100¢	$560	0x03d5bb…
06-14 07:09:06	ethereum above 1900 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	561	100¢	$560	0x6f9978…
06-12 10:18:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xedd955…
06-12 10:17:46	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	562	100¢	$560	0x4b35c0…
06-09 07:33:09	ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	561	100¢	$560	0x058cfb…
06-08 07:44:52	bitcoin above 56k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	561	100¢	$560	0x30054b…
06-06 06:31:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0x6bdd43…
06-05 11:35:51	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	551	100¢	$550	0x61b3ab…
06-03 07:25:16	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xd71d97…
06-03 07:24:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	No	SELL	244	98¢	$239	0x5b87ab…
06-03 07:21:50	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x7638e1…
06-03 07:20:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0x03d331…
06-02 05:06:39	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	503	100¢	$500	0x63b918…
06-01 07:15:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 1?	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0xeb168d…
05-27 11:36:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0xb300ce…
05-24 08:57:33	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x4db4d4…
05-20 06:10:48	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0xdaf594…
05-18 14:50:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x6f9e61…
05-16 09:51:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x6db288…
05-14 11:05:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x0ec813…
05-11 06:53:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 11?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8493c1…
05-11 06:53:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on May 11?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x204bba…
05-11 06:52:53	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x42bfeb…
05-06 07:28:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2ee83c…
05-06 07:27:44	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xb7de02…
04-29 08:17:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xda2788…
04-27 07:01:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0xa9ccbd…
04-20 07:47:06	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x79281b…
04-19 09:38:42	highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 18c	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf39e73…
04-19 09:36:46	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	No	BUY	313	96¢	$300	0x40970e…
04-17 09:36:02	highest temperature in nyc on april 17 2026 80 81f	No	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xb44c5d…
04-17 09:33:56	ethereum above 2700 on april 17	No	BUY	490	100¢	$490	0x6d0e66…
04-16 09:05:14	ethereum above 2100 on april 16	Yes	BUY	497	100¢	$497	0x4474f7…
04-13 03:20:25	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 480 499	No	BUY	496	100¢	$495	0x75a903…
04-10 10:38:17	ethereum above 1900 on april 10	Yes	BUY	495	100¢	$495	0x1b5bdc…
04-09 03:32:15	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 180 199	No	BUY	490	100¢	$490	0x28d02f…
04-08 08:19:57	bitcoin above 66k on april 8	Yes	BUY	491	100¢	$490	0x30fbaf…
04-07 06:12:27	atp su cook 2026 04 07	Fajing Sun	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x1ff894…
04-06 08:59:17	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 380 399	No	BUY	491	100¢	$490	0x4f81d8…
04-02 07:30:49	ethereum above 1700 on april 2	Yes	BUY	490	100¢	$490	0x325b8a…
04-01 07:19:43	bitcoin above 76k on april 1	No	BUY	480	100¢	$480	0x225ea4…
03-30 07:19:30	ethereum above 1700 on march 30	Yes	BUY	460	100¢	$460	0x1612d2…
03-28 11:25:15	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 140 159	No	BUY	460	100¢	$460	0x92aa39…
03-26 10:02:49	ethereum above 1800 on march 26	Yes	BUY	460	100¢	$460	0xb05807…
03-26 10:02:17	will moonshot have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2c8cff…
03-26 10:01:59	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x558573…
03-26 10:01:49	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb30fee…
03-23 10:19:29	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xf9d1c2…
03-23 10:17:59	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1c371b…
03-23 10:17:43	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xfc45d6…
03-19 08:44:19	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	No	BUY	480	100¢	$480	0x10f563…
03-17 09:43:23	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 140 164	No	BUY	363	99¢	$360	0x0af5bc…
03-17 09:42:59	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 0 39	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x8137d1…
03-15 05:55:57	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa73f4b…
03-15 05:55:33	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 115 139	No	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0xcb6d86…
03-13 05:40:15	will hoppers opening weekend box office be between 42m and 46m	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x415e62…
03-13 05:39:53	bitcoin above 60k on march 13	Yes	BUY	455	100¢	$455	0x23bb85…
03-12 07:56:59	dota2 heroic bb4 2026 03 12 game handicap home 1pt5	Heroic	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xdcc071…
03-12 07:56:39	will threads be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf0e50f…
03-12 07:56:19	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	455	100¢	$455	0xcf3be6…
03-11 11:01:07	elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 190 214	No	BUY	461	100¢	$460	0xe6db8c…
03-10 08:35:43	bitcoin above 64k on march 10	Yes	BUY	460	100¢	$460	0x72a765…
03-07 08:08:17	bitcoin above 74k on march 7	No	BUY	461	100¢	$460	0x9d69fe…
03-06 08:22:15	bitcoin above 62k on march 6	Yes	BUY	455	100¢	$455	0xd6c8d0…
03-04 12:37:33	bitcoin above 78k on march 4	No	BUY	455	100¢	$455	0x643967…
03-03 10:28:25	bitcoin above 60k on march 3	Yes	BUY	452	100¢	$450	0xb80a65…
03-02 08:14:39	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 160 179	No	BUY	455	100¢	$455	0x3160e9…
03-01 04:55:05	bitcoin above 74k on march 1	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6ccadd…
03-01 04:54:47	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 20 39	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x068446…
03-01 04:54:35	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 140 159	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x52444f…
02-27 06:40:24	elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 0 39	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbc0d09…
02-27 06:40:10	will israel strike lebanon on february 25 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc05822…
02-27 06:40:00	highest temperature in nyc on february 27 2026 52 53f	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbe9874…