Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$185

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

56.9%

Resolved

2,159

Trades

8,899

lifetime

Volume

$61.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$1.65K

27 positions

First seen

2026-08-11

last 10-26 21:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Other

64% 53% -$21

Politics

18% 44% +$37

Sports

14% 50% -$201

Crypto

2% 0% -$5

Pop-Culture

1% 50% +$5

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 746 trades/day

Open positions (27) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?	No	+410	$313	77¢	$316	+$3	10-17 04:21
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+285	$144	62¢	$178	+$34	10-17 04:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+183	$147	88¢	$162	+$14	10-17 04:10
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	+345	$152	46¢	$160	+$8	10-17 04:21
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	+516	$136	28¢	$142	+$5	10-22 15:12
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?	No	+194	$106	62¢	$122	+$15	10-17 04:22
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	No	+284	$71	30¢	$87	+$15	10-17 04:21
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?	Yes	+85	$31	86¢	$74	+$43	10-17 04:21
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	+96	$54	70¢	$68	+$14	10-17 04:21
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	+439	$122	12¢	$50	-$71	10-17 04:21
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	+246	$56	20¢	$48	-$9	10-17 04:21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+150	$67	29¢	$43	-$25	10-17 04:21
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	No	+64	$26	62¢	$40	+$14	10-17 04:11
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	No	+78	$52	37¢	$29	-$24	10-17 04:21
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	+21	$20	94¢	$19	-$1	10-17 04:21
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+20	$13	96¢	$19	+$6	10-17 04:21
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes	+188	$17	8¢	$14	-$3	10-17 04:21
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	+46	$18	26¢	$12	-$6	10-17 04:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	+38	$18	32¢	$12	-$6	10-17 04:21
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?	No	+75	$19	15¢	$11	-$7	10-17 04:21
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	No	+63	$14	16¢	$10	-$5	10-22 13:36
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?	No	+9	$5	92¢	$8	+$3	10-17 04:21
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	+10	$7	76¢	$8	+$1	10-17 04:10
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	+40	$21	18¢	$7	-$14	10-17 04:21
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	+25	$6	26¢	$7	+$0	09-03 09:28
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	+6	$3	68¢	$4	+$1	10-25 12:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+38	$14	7¢	$3	-$12	10-17 04:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	91	$1.9K	1,491	1,491	+0	open	—	09-24 01:47
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	81	$1.9K	1,233	1,233	+0	open	—	09-26 16:46
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	156	$1.2K	1,236	720	+516	open	—	10-22 15:12
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?	92	$1.0K	877	558	+319	open	—	10-17 04:21
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	78	$925	1,206	767	+439	open	—	10-17 04:21
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	50	$909	1,032	1,032	+0	open	—	09-26 16:47
Will Portugal win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	18	$536	337	269	+68	open	—	10-17 04:42
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?	25	$496	387	242	+145	open	—	10-17 04:21
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?	14	$462	517	323	+194	open	—	10-17 04:22
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	21	$457	669	324	+345	open	—	10-17 04:21
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?	9	$447	494	84	+410	open	—	10-17 04:21
Will Miley Cyrus perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	84	$388	522	300	+221	open	—	10-23 05:05
Will Georgia Tech have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	12	$387	390	262	+128	open	—	10-17 04:21
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?	15	$384	293	207	+85	open	—	10-17 04:21
Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?	18	$381	496	0	+496	open	—	10-17 04:30
Will SMU have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	9	$342	329	179	+150	open	—	10-17 04:21
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	44	$324	734	449	+284	open	—	10-17 04:21
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	57	$315	1,083	462	+621	open	—	10-17 04:23
Will the Indianapolis Colts have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	10	$312	391	204	+187	open	—	10-17 04:22
GTA VI released by November 30?	14	$308	178	178	+0	open	—	10-17 05:20
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	38	$297	236	236	-0	open	—	10-20 07:24
Will Alabama have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	11	$293	310	186	+125	open	—	10-17 04:22
Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	28	$269	517	175	+341	open	—	10-17 04:22
Will Oklahoma State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	13	$266	260	172	+88	open	—	10-17 04:22
W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq: Amandine Monnot vs Oceane Dodin	12	$262	325	171	+154	Amandine Monnot	+$24	10-09 16:55
Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	30	$256	303	39	+263	open	—	09-28 18:58
will the black ball be nominated for best international feature film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	14	$240	196	74	+122	open	—	10-17 05:25
Will Barcelona finish first in UCL league phase?	17	$239	639	324	+316	open	—	10-17 04:22
Will Luke Combs perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	15	$237	211	62	+149	open	—	10-17 04:21
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	14	$234	182	92	+90	open	—	10-17 04:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:44:02	Will "Wicker" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x36dc5f…
10-26 20:27:11	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner	Team Secret Whales	SELL	18	64¢	$11	0x3f2a5d…
10-26 20:27:02	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner	Team Secret Whales	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0x4a546b…
10-26 19:28:23	Will Edward Norton be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x78a373…
10-26 19:28:23	Will Edward Norton be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x17f5a5…
10-26 19:11:00	Will Kaden Honeycutt win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x520c52…
10-26 19:10:53	Will Kaden Honeycutt win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x043201…
10-26 17:14:38	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x5823df…
10-26 16:42:03	Will the Miami Dolphins have more than 2.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xc485aa…
10-26 16:42:03	Will the Miami Dolphins have more than 2.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xb2025a…
10-26 14:23:00	M25 Sheffield: Conor Brady vs William Nolan	Conor Brady	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb9b63d…
10-26 13:19:48	Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x8b7272…
10-26 11:37:03	Will "Club Kid" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x43cf8d…
10-26 06:27:20	Will "Ray Gunn" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x034bc3…
10-26 05:59:48	Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x6b767f…
10-26 05:59:48	Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x280ee2…
10-26 05:21:26	Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5a86b6…
10-26 05:16:32	Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa9927c…
10-26 05:11:57	Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xefc219…
10-26 05:11:56	Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xd58fe4…
10-26 05:02:27	Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0x577453…
10-26 05:02:21	Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0xc8505b…
10-26 04:56:12	Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0xc533fe…
10-26 04:56:00	Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x86d95d…
10-26 03:30:17	Will Minnesota have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x339ad6…
10-26 01:30:15	Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 211.5	Under	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x5624c4…
10-26 00:55:12	Will the Houston Texans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xaa7061…
10-26 00:48:11	Clippers vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x1e3430…
10-26 00:48:03	Clippers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x15fb00…
10-26 00:33:05	Will Samantha Morton be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xb569df…
10-26 00:30:26	Will the Houston Texans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xd64d4d…
10-26 00:30:18	Will the Houston Texans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$3	0x2f6fcd…
10-26 00:07:14	Will "Being Heumann" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0xa968ed…
10-26 00:03:09	Will the Seattle Seahawks have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x690ebb…
10-25 23:24:30	Lakers vs. Jazz	Lakers	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf10c7a…
10-25 22:56:27	Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xd0cdf0…
10-25 22:35:14	Will "Possible Love" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xf76f4d…
10-25 22:03:08	Will the Los Angeles Rams make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x62fab7…
10-25 21:56:12	Will "Possible Love" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xe7f21b…
10-25 21:28:38	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xffd773…
10-25 21:28:38	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	LYON	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x891856…
10-25 21:28:18	Will the Houston Texans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x3695ec…
10-25 21:27:03	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x38ae79…
10-25 20:35:59	Will the Baltimore Ravens have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xe9561d…
10-25 20:29:44	Will the Cleveland Browns make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x869897…
10-25 20:27:41	Will the San Francisco 49ers have more than 11.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xeb8e0e…
10-25 18:37:23	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xefc748…
10-25 18:37:15	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x28e911…
10-25 17:58:06	Will Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf34c44…
10-25 16:35:53	Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x259c1e…
10-25 16:08:06	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xab9dd0…
10-25 16:07:38	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x95170d…
10-25 15:20:32	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xcaacf8…
10-25 12:54:51	FC Internazionale Milano vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x2c4f56…
10-25 12:11:17	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xc378f0…
10-25 12:11:15	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0xaf2f84…
10-25 12:11:09	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x4435c8…
10-25 12:11:09	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x3aa7a2…
10-25 11:46:03	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x8bd2da…
10-25 11:45:57	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x2eb87a…
10-25 11:43:30	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xc2d62e…
10-25 11:43:24	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xc20410…
10-25 06:09:08	Will Utah have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x0012a6…
10-25 06:05:02	Will Utah have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xf748c2…
10-25 06:03:50	Will Utah have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$0	0xbe0d6f…
10-25 02:21:02	Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5	Over	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xfacfe1…
10-25 02:00:12	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	BUY	26	48¢	$12	0x87ec5c…
10-25 02:00:05	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	BUY	34	48¢	$16	0xb6893e…
10-25 01:53:44	Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x3a3fef…
10-24 22:46:45	Will BYU have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xfc0f6e…
10-24 22:28:56	South Carolina vs. Oklahoma	South Carolina	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xf6e202…
10-24 22:22:57	South Carolina vs. Oklahoma	South Carolina	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xf1eabc…
10-24 20:30:03	Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x95a768…
10-24 20:11:20	Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	25	46¢	$12	0x61d195…
10-24 20:07:48	Will California have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xd285b4…
10-24 20:07:39	Will "Rose" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xda281a…
10-24 20:07:33	Will "Rose" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6238e0…
10-24 20:06:33	Will "Rose" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x40db05…
10-24 20:06:26	Will "Rose" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x3164d8…
10-24 19:37:32	Will Indiana have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x2dac52…
10-24 19:37:30	Will Indiana have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xcf3655…
10-24 19:32:02	Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0xdafbd4…
10-24 18:46:33	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xad8873…
10-24 18:09:35	BC Vienna vs. Mega Mozzart	Mega Mozzart	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x29a507…
10-24 17:52:47	BC Vienna vs. Mega Mozzart	Mega Mozzart	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0x8517fb…
10-24 17:52:41	BC Vienna vs. Mega Mozzart	Mega Mozzart	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x374bd7…
10-24 17:52:32	BC Vienna vs. Mega Mozzart	Mega Mozzart	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x64edba…
10-24 17:44:30	Will Edward Norton be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xfc46d4…
10-24 17:44:30	Will Edward Norton be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x9595d8…
10-24 17:36:33	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd7a260…
10-24 17:33:54	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x96ccf4…
10-24 17:33:54	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x5792b8…
10-24 17:33:18	SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0x2dc66c…
10-24 16:33:08	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x66953a…
10-24 16:06:17	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe0e7f1…
10-24 13:06:26	Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0x4839f2…
10-24 04:47:33	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xad610e…
10-24 04:47:33	Spread: Warriors (-2.5)	Warriors	BUY	11	41¢	$4	0x6e5808…
10-24 03:48:00	Rockets vs. Spurs	Rockets	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x75f892…
10-24 03:24:54	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5	Over	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xc3637b…