Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
93.4%
Resolved
16
Trades
37
lifetime
Volume
$77
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$23
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-02 16:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
41% 100% +$0
Other
37% 70% +$1
Sports
22% 100% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 11-02 16:48
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-02 16:49
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -5 -$4 99¢ $-5 $0 07-09 21:34
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -2 -$2 97¢ $-2 +$0 07-09 21:35
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 11-02 16:47
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 11-02 16:45
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 11-02 16:45
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -22 -$2 5¢ $-1 +$1 04-29 00:36
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $0 07-10 19:13
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1 $1 60¢ $1 $0 07-10 19:13