Distant-Yeast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

78.0%

Resolved

318

Trades

591

lifetime

Volume

$7.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$11

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-17 09:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

80% 84% +$3

Crypto

12% 92% +$1

Politics

5% 62% $0

Sports

2% 60% $0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No		+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	10-17 09:34
Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No		+1	$1	100¢	$1	$0	08-28 06:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C or below on April 25?	4	$95	48	48	+0	No	+$0	04-25 06:34
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on May 1?	7	$92	46	46	+0	No	$0	04-30 21:36
Will ByteDance have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	5	$79	40	40	+0	No	$0	04-30 17:03
Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	3	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	05-05 14:11
ethereum above 2400 on april 11	1	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$0	04-11 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 11?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-10 20:09
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on May 5?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-04 22:25
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-09 19:46
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 86°F or higher on May 7?	4	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-07 06:38
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C or below on May 5?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-05 01:12
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on May 14?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-13 15:27
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 5?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-04 16:30
highest temperature in hong kong on april 7 2026 27c	1	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	04-07 03:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 10?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-10 13:05
Will Nasheedah Singleton win the Newark mayoral election?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	05-11 03:13
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on May 6?	4	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	05-05 22:32
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on May 4?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-04 02:25
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 68°F or higher on May 4?	2	$50	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	05-04 11:02
Will Gary L. Rogge win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-12 14:29
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C or below on May 9?	3	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	05-08 19:23
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 3?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-03 05:59
highest temperature in miami on april 24 2026 90forhigher	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-24 05:44
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on May 3?	2	$49	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-03 01:20
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on May 6?	3	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-06 06:53
highest temperature in shanghai on april 21 2026 20c	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	04-21 09:08
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on May 5?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-05 10:31
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on May 2?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-02 06:23
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	$0	02-02 04:31
Will Brett Lindstrom be the Republican nominee for NE-02?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-13 01:34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 11?	2	$47	23	23	+0	No	+$0	05-10 21:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 09:34:48	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x27d899…
10-03 12:19:33	Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x3d3588…
10-03 12:18:38	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x541401…
10-03 12:17:42	Will Chris Cenac Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x275593…
10-03 07:08:18	Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x67e8cc…
09-12 20:43:30	Will Chris Cenac Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4d29e2…
09-06 18:02:07	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x11996d…
09-05 10:59:21	Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x37d4bb…
09-05 10:58:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2a0790…
09-05 10:56:55	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdde1ce…
09-05 10:55:43	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xbf5861…
08-28 06:07:13	Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9aabf9…
08-25 02:39:43	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x22f143…
08-11 09:51:19	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x28ad70…
08-03 05:36:30	Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd20119…
07-30 06:10:51	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe3cacc…
07-28 00:16:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd6d7d1…
07-22 20:16:07	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xeca5f0…
07-17 01:24:51	Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x565301…
07-12 02:54:20	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$6	0xf87cf3…
07-12 02:53:25	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1b23f9…
07-12 02:52:29	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xdfc2dd…
07-04 13:54:04	Will Karen Khachanov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x190ffd…
06-30 16:41:13	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9ee72b…
06-29 15:30:38	Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9ab8bb…
06-27 11:19:02	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x1be65e…
06-20 08:22:34	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbce288…
06-18 09:36:04	Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1a2206…
05-21 18:14:49	Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2d5eba…
05-16 21:41:00	Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xaf3955…
05-15 06:53:02	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xba2071…
05-15 05:49:55	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd45475…
05-15 04:16:49	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x2aaaac…
05-15 01:56:30	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 15?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xea71ed…
05-15 01:19:43	Will Australia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x08ee00…
05-14 23:36:23	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 15?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9eee1f…
05-14 22:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 15?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x3c3900…
05-14 21:47:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 15?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xbabdc7…
05-14 21:47:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 15?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc31268…
05-14 21:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x24a5e0…
05-14 21:28:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x034a34…
05-14 21:24:03	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C or higher on May 15?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc6cb1e…
05-14 21:22:29	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on May 15?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xcf8701…
05-14 21:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 15?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x0f76de…
05-14 20:59:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 15?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x45e4d3…
05-14 18:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x558451…
05-14 17:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb57f74…
05-14 14:56:50	Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x79bc16…
05-14 14:22:50	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf411fc…
05-14 12:12:17	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C or higher on May 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xddc8cc…
05-14 11:26:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x606158…
05-14 07:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c3858…
05-14 04:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfe4e22…
05-14 03:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C or below on May 14?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa5de0b…
05-14 02:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C or below on May 14?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0f32bd…
05-13 23:25:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0x8eaf00…
05-13 22:22:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$22	0xe0892b…
05-13 22:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on May 14?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x3dcb2f…
05-13 21:22:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0x47cd7b…
05-13 20:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee144b…
05-13 18:17:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xed8bf6…
05-13 17:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on May 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb7df80…
05-13 15:37:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 14?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x207410…
05-13 15:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 14?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf38355…
05-13 15:27:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on May 14?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4fdac7…
05-13 15:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 14?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xaafd85…
05-13 15:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on May 14?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x7bc775…
05-13 15:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 13?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x9ee36c…
05-13 09:35:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 14?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc8cc31…
05-13 08:18:47	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 13?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x224462…
05-13 06:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on May 14?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x65f8c4…
05-13 01:34:20	Will Brett Lindstrom be the Republican nominee for NE-02?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0xea3921…
05-12 14:29:20	Will Gary L. Rogge win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x20becc…
05-11 20:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on May 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaa3dfa…
05-11 20:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 12?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xefeb95…
05-11 16:56:10	Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 12?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcad5e5…
05-11 15:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C or higher on May 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6d2b79…
05-11 15:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on May 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbb2180…
05-11 14:44:23	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C or higher on May 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x998085…
05-11 14:38:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 12?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xec06dd…
05-11 14:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C or higher on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x223a4e…
05-11 14:25:19	Will Asha Coates-Hamlet win the Newark mayoral election?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0xc8fde3…
05-11 14:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on May 12?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x8fafac…
05-11 12:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 12?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x482524…
05-11 10:48:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb98472…
05-11 09:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 11?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb751fd…
05-11 06:57:14	Will Gary L. Rogge win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3454ac…
05-11 05:32:47	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x17102d…
05-11 04:56:48	Will Asha Coates-Hamlet win the Newark mayoral election?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x308889…
05-11 03:13:43	Will Nasheedah Singleton win the Newark mayoral election?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xe8b4ba…
05-10 21:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 11?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x233e67…
05-10 20:41:24	Will Nasheedah Singleton win the Newark mayoral election?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x834250…
05-10 20:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on May 11?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x970595…
05-10 20:15:32	Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.25–3.50 in April?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb7fced…
05-10 20:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 11?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x2b0405…
05-10 18:43:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 11?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc75f4a…
05-10 18:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x12b443…
05-10 17:45:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 11?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x22ac66…
05-10 15:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad971b…
05-10 14:35:41	Will Brett Lindstrom be the Republican nominee for NE-02?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0xc7f1e2…