Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on May 5?
open
Total volume
$1,055
$2,403 in 24h
Trades
41
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$541
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-05
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 12:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $0 | $993 | $993 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $164 | $164 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 12 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 3 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 8 | — | $829 | $829 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parched-Color 0x0d2e…f1a2 | No | +715 | $715 | $715 | 1 | 05-05 10:31 |
| Mature-Anise 0xe4f0…6450 | No | +170 | $164 | $164 | 1 | 05-05 02:00 |
| Potable-Clipboard 0xea8d…d40e | No | +90 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 05-05 08:40 |
| Relieved-Orchard 0xb28a…834b | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-05 06:05 |
| Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-04 21:14 |
| Scratchy-Banquette 0x530b…b3bc | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-05 01:49 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-04 21:14 |
| Willing-Begonia 0x64d1…89a1 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 06:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 12:45:28 | Glorious-Hammer 0x22be…ba43 | No | SELL | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x93d89a… |
| 05-05 10:31:34 | Parched-Color 0x0d2e…f1a2 | No | BUY | 715 | 100¢ | $715 | 0xe757ae… |
| 05-05 08:40:20 | Another-Journey 0xe752…2200 | Yes | SELL | 211 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbbcd44… |
| 05-05 08:40:04 | Potable-Clipboard 0xea8d…d40e | No | BUY | 90 | 100¢ | $90 | 0x7525a4… |
| 05-05 08:26:14 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1d2ca7… |
| 05-05 08:26:14 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x742e84… |
| 05-05 08:26:14 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3087de… |
| 05-05 08:26:14 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x51925b… |
| 05-05 08:26:14 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe7414c… |
| 05-05 08:26:14 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2959a5… |
| 05-05 08:26:14 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x007eba… |
| 05-05 08:26:14 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4bb219… |
| 05-05 08:26:14 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdf3f1c… |
| 05-05 08:26:14 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb59a55… |
| 05-05 08:26:14 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x41c385… |
| 05-05 08:26:14 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf60fd7… |
| 05-05 08:26:14 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe2ba99… |
| 05-05 08:26:14 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0f1f1a… |
| 05-05 08:26:14 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x95e3bd… |
| 05-05 08:26:14 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3b09f7… |
| 05-05 08:16:14 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1ec61d… |
| 05-05 08:16:14 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdb7509… |
| 05-05 08:16:14 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe6515c… |
| 05-05 08:16:14 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfeaf7c… |
| 05-05 08:16:14 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x266f4c… |
| 05-05 08:16:14 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19f94b… |
| 05-05 08:16:14 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x35d1b5… |
| 05-05 08:16:14 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x02125a… |
| 05-05 08:16:14 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x928904… |
| 05-05 08:16:14 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x70714a… |
| 05-05 08:16:14 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x98706c… |
| 05-05 08:16:14 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x17111e… |
| 05-05 08:16:14 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb68ae8… |
| 05-05 08:00:10 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb8426c… |
| 05-05 07:45:16 | Bleak-Perception 0x6c9f…8e7d | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x952fc8… |
| 05-05 06:45:44 | Willing-Begonia 0x64d1…89a1 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xed6067… |
| 05-05 06:05:06 | Relieved-Orchard 0xb28a…834b | No | BUY | 16 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x5c0b22… |
| 05-05 02:00:22 | Mature-Anise 0xe4f0…6450 | No | BUY | 170 | 96¢ | $164 | 0xb5e222… |
| 05-05 01:49:46 | Scratchy-Banquette 0x530b…b3bc | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x351a1d… |
| 05-04 21:14:46 | Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7cbbcd… |
| 05-04 21:14:46 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd2cbd4… |