Realized P&L (7d)
-$212
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
4.5%
Resolved (7d)
174
Trades (7d)
440
2,071 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$3.48K
$16.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$291
21 positions
First seen
2026-09-20
last 11-01 00:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Other
79% 13% -$356
Politics
9% 10% -$12
Tech
8% 17% -$18
Pop-Culture
2% 0% -$5
Sports
2% 0% -$5
Crypto
1% 22% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +60 $33 68¢ $40 +$8 10-16 18:30
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +41 $23 98¢ $40 +$17 10-28 21:25
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +40 $27 80¢ $32 +$5 10-26 09:52
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +35 $19 81¢ $28 +$10 10-12 15:36
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? Yes +20 $6 100¢ $20 +$14 10-21 03:44
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +20 $7 100¢ $20 +$13 10-27 11:07
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? No +60 $28 32¢ $20 -$9 10-16 18:30
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +20 $18 96¢ $19 +$1 10-21 20:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +20 $17 80¢ $16 -$1 10-25 16:32
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +15 $3 93¢ $14 +$11 10-21 18:17
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? Yes +20 $9 61¢ $12 +$3 10-19 16:17
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +40 $16 20¢ $8 -$8 10-26 11:39
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +20 $11 39¢ $8 -$3 10-19 16:17
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? No +34 $16 19¢ $7 -$9 10-12 15:36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +20 $4 20¢ $4 +$0 10-25 16:32
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +15 $12 7¢ $1 -$11 10-21 18:17
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +20 $3 4¢ $1 -$2 10-21 20:46
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +40 $18 2¢ $1 -$17 10-28 21:24
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? Yes +0 $2 72¢ $0 -$2 10-15 19:01
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +20 $13 0¢ $0 -$13 10-27 11:06
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +20 $14 0¢ $0 -$14 10-21 03:44