(anonymous) 0x0dfd73…952df8 Create alert
bot 12L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$525
Unrealized P&L
+$126
Hit rate
8.8%
Resolved (90d)
468
Trades (90d)
2,071
2,071 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$16.6K
$16.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$647
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-20
last 11-01 00:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Other
79% 14% -$456
Politics
9% 19% -$24
Tech
8% 19% -$18
Pop-Culture
2% 0% -$13
Sports
2% 0% -$5
Crypto
1% 22% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +60 $33 66¢ $40 +$7 10-16 18:30
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +40 $27 99¢ $39 +$12 10-26 09:52
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? Yes +40 $29 85¢ $34 +$5 10-29 07:24
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November? No +40 $24 76¢ $31 +$6 10-27 11:44
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +35 $19 77¢ $27 +$8 10-12 15:36
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? Yes +30 $17 74¢ $22 +$6 10-17 15:15
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? No +40 $32 53¢ $21 -$11 10-22 23:35
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat? Yes — +21 $17 100¢ $20 +$4 10-17 15:41
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? No +60 $28 34¢ $20 -$8 10-16 18:30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +20 $17 99¢ $20 +$3 10-25 16:32
Will South Korea win Group E at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? No +20 $7 99¢ $20 +$13 10-25 11:40
Will Anthropic raise between $105B and $115B in its IPO? No +20 $14 98¢ $20 +$6 10-27 17:01
Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026? No +20 $15 97¢ $19 +$4 10-29 07:13
Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026? Yes +20 $18 97¢ $19 +$1 10-23 20:33
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +20 $18 96¢ $19 +$1 10-21 20:46
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? Yes +20 $17 96¢ $19 +$3 10-29 00:25
Will Amy Hunt win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award? No +20 $15 96¢ $19 +$4 10-28 02:03
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $18 96¢ $19 +$1 10-25 05:30
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? No +20 $16 96¢ $19 +$3 10-21 18:42
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? No +20 $11 95¢ $19 +$8 10-26 02:37
Will Anthropic IPO on November 18, 2026? No +20 $17 94¢ $19 +$2 10-27 04:51
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? Yes +40 $9 47¢ $19 +$10 10-22 23:35
Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany? Yes +20 $7 94¢ $19 +$12 10-13 21:58
kimberly guilfoyle federally charged by december 31 2026 No +20 $16 93¢ $19 +$2 10-13 22:07
Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by June 30, 2027? Yes +20 $15 91¢ $18 +$3 10-28 02:23
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30? No +19 $13 97¢ $18 +$5 10-27 23:50
ssi public model released by december 31 2026 No +20 $14 90¢ $18 +$4 09-23 05:31
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +20 $11 86¢ $17 +$6 10-19 16:17
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record? Yes +20 $17 84¢ $17 +$0 10-08 19:10
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? Yes +20 $11 82¢ $16 +$5 10-27 03:42