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bot 12L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$500
Unrealized P&L
+$116
Hit rate
8.8%
Resolved (30d)
442
Trades (30d)
1,685
2,071 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$13.8K
$16.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$646
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-20
last 11-01 00:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 36 days
Categories
Other
79% 14% -$441
Politics
9% 19% -$24
Tech
8% 19% -$18
Pop-Culture
2% 0% -$13
Sports
2% 0% -$5
Crypto
1% 22% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +60 $33 66¢ $40 +$7 10-16 18:30
Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026? No +40 $34 99¢ $40 +$6 10-29 05:42
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +40 $27 98¢ $39 +$12 10-26 09:52
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? Yes — +40 $29 90¢ $36 +$7 10-29 07:24
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November? No +40 $24 58¢ $23 -$1 10-27 11:44
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? Yes — +30 $17 76¢ $23 +$6 10-17 15:15
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? No +40 $32 52¢ $21 -$11 10-22 23:35
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? No +60 $28 34¢ $20 -$8 10-16 18:30
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026? No +20 $14 100¢ $20 +$6 10-28 07:11
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +35 $19 57¢ $20 +$1 10-12 15:36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +20 $17 99¢ $20 +$3 10-25 16:32
Will South Korea win Group E at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? No +20 $7 99¢ $20 +$13 10-25 11:40
Will Anthropic raise between $105B and $115B in its IPO? No — +20 $14 98¢ $20 +$5 10-27 17:01
Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026? No +20 $15 98¢ $20 +$4 10-29 07:13
Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026? Yes +20 $18 97¢ $19 +$1 10-23 20:33
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +20 $18 96¢ $19 +$1 10-21 20:46
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? Yes +40 $9 48¢ $19 +$10 10-22 23:35
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? No — +20 $16 96¢ $19 +$3 10-21 18:42
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? No +20 $11 95¢ $19 +$8 10-26 02:37
Will Anthropic IPO on November 18, 2026? No — +20 $17 94¢ $19 +$2 10-27 04:51
Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by June 30, 2027? Yes +20 $15 91¢ $18 +$3 10-28 02:23
kimberly guilfoyle federally charged by december 31 2026 No +20 $16 90¢ $18 +$2 10-13 22:07
ssi public model released by december 31 2026 No — +20 $14 90¢ $18 +$4 09-23 05:31
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30? No +19 $13 94¢ $18 +$4 10-27 23:50
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +20 $12 87¢ $17 +$5 10-25 12:02
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +20 $11 85¢ $17 +$6 10-19 16:17
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November? Yes +40 $16 42¢ $17 +$0 10-27 11:44
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? No — +20 $7 82¢ $16 +$10 10-12 02:21
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? Yes +20 $11 81¢ $16 +$5 10-27 03:42
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30? No +20 $16 80¢ $16 $0 10-26 13:10