Novel-Injustice — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$478

Unrealized P&L

+$170

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

273

582 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$9.80K

$20.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$592

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 11-05 14:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

49% 46% +$230

Politics

28% 33% -$15

Sports

19% 25% -$652

Crypto

4% 54% -$88

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+500	$292	70¢	$350	+$57	11-02 19:01
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+4,483	-$246	5¢	$238	+$484	11-01 12:14
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+146	$376	3¢	$5	-$371	10-16 10:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	78	$2.6K	49,466	44,984	+4,483	open	—	11-01 12:14
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	30	$1.9K	5,942	5,796	+146	open	—	10-16 10:10
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	33	$1.7K	34,856	28,706	+6,150	No	-$44	07-11 23:17
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	17	$1.6K	4,579	2,771	+1,809	No	-$288	07-19 21:44
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik	16	$919	829	829	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$59	10-13 12:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	12	$884	1,007	507	+500	open	—	11-02 19:01
Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-10-12?	9	$790	579	579	+0	Yes	+$230	10-12 19:36
atp augeral djokovi 2026 07 07	14	$631	524	524	+0	Novak Djokovic	+$71	07-07 21:54
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	7	$592	615	615	+0	Yes	+$212	07-15 21:12
Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-10-17?	5	$523	367	367	+0	Yes	+$123	10-17 19:21
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	8	$443	1,063	758	+305	No	-$57	07-11 22:45
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	7	$355	670	335	+335	Yes	+$402	07-05 21:43
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-10-15?	5	$334	248	185	+63	No	-$6	10-15 18:31
Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-10-26?	13	$279	667	0	+667	No	-$279	10-26 17:57
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	7	$268	804	804	+0	No	-$135	07-19 21:04
atp fery zverev 2026 07 10	9	$266	1,449	582	+867	Alexander Zverev	-$114	07-10 13:44
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	5	$255	178	178	+0	Yes	+$75	07-07 17:59
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?	4	$242	400	192	+208	No	-$138	08-29 13:14
atp fritz zverev 2026 07 08	8	$224	165	165	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$64	07-08 16:20
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	7	$202	137	137	-0	Yes	-$8	06-21 17:07
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	5	$201	154	154	+0	Yes	+$1	11-03 14:38
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	7	$201	260	206	+54	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	+$55	10-13 14:30
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-10-15?	3	$191	122	122	+0	Yes	+$31	10-15 17:41
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	6	$185	1,598	0	+1,598	No	-$185	07-08 18:31
atp lehecka zverev 2026 07 06	3	$180	204	0	+204	Alexander Zverev	+$24	07-07 15:29
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	2	$140	333	0	+333	Yes	+$193	06-17 08:56
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-10-16?	3	$130	300	0	+300	No	-$130	10-16 15:57
atp sinner djokovi 2026 07 08	5	$130	638	0	+638	Jannik Sinner	-$130	07-08 16:54
atp cobolli fery 2026 07 08	3	$115	85	85	+0	Arthur Fery	+$55	07-08 16:28
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$114	204	100	+104	No	+$14	05-31 09:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 14:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x1b4f61…
11-05 14:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x39238c…
11-05 14:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0x4dd877…
11-05 14:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6ab292…
11-05 14:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x5e0925…
11-04 22:16:40	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x41b841…
11-04 20:15:18	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	38	91¢	$35	0x6801b7…
11-04 20:13:12	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xa7f2c6…
11-04 20:11:06	Will Viking FK vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xb4c786…
11-04 20:10:24	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xdf59f1…
11-04 20:08:25	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x21501f…
11-04 20:08:01	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x2d9513…
11-04 20:07:07	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x48f2dd…
11-03 19:44:04	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x5b0a8e…
11-03 19:43:46	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xaaa7f3…
11-03 19:43:34	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xdafb1e…
11-03 19:43:21	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0x1630a5…
11-03 19:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xff886f…
11-03 19:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	17	68¢	$12	0xd0f4c7…
11-03 19:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf57cb3…
11-03 14:38:54	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	19	77¢	$15	0x8572a3…
11-02 19:15:52	Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xab5fd5…
11-02 19:01:58	Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0x9aafb6…
11-02 19:01:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	194	68¢	$132	0xc31e7e…
11-01 12:14:07	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	255	11¢	$28	0xde6b53…
10-27 22:54:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x443e41…
10-27 22:53:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	105	57¢	$60	0xa2d70c…
10-27 22:14:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xb50878…
10-27 22:09:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x917a90…
10-27 21:30:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x3c65c9…
10-27 21:30:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xd7d1ea…
10-27 16:33:23	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	6,480	3¢	$207	0x72b82e…
10-27 10:29:41	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,462	2¢	$55	0xa56321…
10-27 09:26:38	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0x2ed295…
10-27 09:23:09	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	514	3¢	$16	0xaab33e…
10-26 19:02:30	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0xf4b3f3…
10-26 17:57:42	Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xb5f605…
10-26 17:42:26	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	120	3¢	$4	0x06bb02…
10-26 17:42:15	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x8acccf…
10-26 17:37:33	Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x8de8d6…
10-26 17:36:53	Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xe38588…
10-26 17:36:05	Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xe1d37a…
10-26 17:35:59	Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xd689c3…
10-26 17:35:47	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	19	64¢	$12	0x49b2ab…
10-26 17:35:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	39	73¢	$29	0xb756e5…
10-26 17:19:30	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5,620	3¢	$180	0x1fb2ee…
10-26 16:01:23	Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	69	42¢	$29	0x89e3ee…
10-26 16:01:09	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	39	64¢	$25	0x5d7a6d…
10-26 15:59:21	Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x565fd4…
10-26 15:59:14	Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x9bf48a…
10-26 15:58:59	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	77	64¢	$49	0x1e263a…
10-26 15:58:00	Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0xb5bff7…
10-26 15:57:47	Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x9965da…
10-26 15:57:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	78	73¢	$57	0x059130…
10-26 15:56:59	Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xe19618…
10-26 15:56:53	Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xd09013…
10-26 15:56:45	Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x03a9d5…
10-26 13:11:26	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$10	0x558493…
10-26 12:51:26	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	769	1¢	$10	0x65a920…
10-26 12:51:09	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	769	1¢	$10	0x54ce23…
10-26 09:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc6fc5a…
10-26 09:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x309efa…
10-26 09:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x80de89…
10-26 09:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa3eb02…
10-26 09:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x027bd5…
10-26 07:44:23	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,127	2¢	$26	0xa82721…
10-25 13:04:21	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	667	2¢	$10	0xb44968…
10-25 13:04:08	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$10	0xa0787d…
10-25 13:04:00	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$10	0x68ec97…
10-25 12:55:35	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	630	2¢	$10	0xbaa9b1…
10-25 12:55:27	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0xa785b8…
10-25 12:55:17	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0x3fa604…
10-25 12:55:08	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	651	2¢	$10	0x47b5b8…
10-25 12:55:00	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$10	0x0588c4…
10-25 12:54:50	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$10	0x65ba93…
10-25 10:28:44	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	556	2¢	$10	0xdf418c…
10-25 10:28:35	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	556	2¢	$10	0x2f167c…
10-25 10:28:24	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	560	2¢	$10	0x5bd7c2…
10-25 09:52:32	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	456	2¢	$10	0x309cd3…
10-25 07:02:48	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	476	2¢	$10	0x731f6a…
10-24 19:35:05	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5,665	3¢	$170	0x094937…
10-24 08:10:26	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	516	2¢	$10	0xab5a85…
10-24 08:10:17	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0xf57209…
10-24 08:10:11	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0x36c8a7…
10-24 08:10:02	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0xd091e3…
10-23 13:31:17	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,237	2¢	$30	0x7ea8d3…
10-22 15:33:26	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,310	3¢	$39	0xcea5b9…
10-22 14:30:44	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3,636	2¢	$80	0xd62d5f…
10-22 14:30:00	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4,545	2¢	$100	0x854265…
10-22 12:51:26	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	455	2¢	$10	0x780735…
10-22 12:51:18	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	455	2¢	$10	0x761818…
10-22 12:51:09	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	455	2¢	$10	0xef59b2…
10-22 12:50:42	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	455	2¢	$10	0x337284…
10-22 12:50:35	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	455	2¢	$10	0x0f669e…
10-22 12:50:27	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	455	2¢	$10	0x9efc8d…
10-22 12:50:18	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	455	2¢	$10	0xd90b43…
10-22 12:50:08	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	455	2¢	$10	0xae063b…
10-22 12:49:56	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	455	2¢	$10	0xf86fce…
10-22 12:49:45	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	909	2¢	$20	0x338600…
10-21 21:33:44	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	226	3¢	$8	0x9569f8…