Intent-Living — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

91.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$53

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 11-04 08:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

42% 100% +$2

Politics

39% 75% -$3

Sports

10% 100% +$2

Tech

9% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+5	$3	61¢	$3	+$1	07-25 02:40
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	08-31 03:36
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	+2	$1	99¢	$2	+$0	11-04 08:34
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	98¢	$2	+$0	10-19 08:07
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+2	$2	81¢	$1	$0	06-24 03:13
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	+2	$1	74¢	$1	$0	09-29 02:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 08:34:30	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xc787f3…
10-28 03:05:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf75b7f…
10-19 08:07:27	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xf9de46…
10-10 03:42:44	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x8b1978…
09-29 02:52:27	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x986060…
09-21 07:29:03	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4f28a2…
09-16 02:40:27	Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9ed156…
09-05 02:26:00	Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa77800…
08-31 03:36:27	Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x90a198…
08-24 07:44:01	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xafa588…
08-14 03:00:22	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xdc864b…
08-07 07:24:57	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in august 2026 20260731154202611	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x154919…
07-25 02:40:00	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xef6876…
07-20 02:51:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcf7de1…
06-27 06:49:58	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5cd2e5…
06-24 03:13:59	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x6d8927…
06-15 06:16:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xfd123a…
06-02 02:48:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe9caa5…
05-25 06:35:46	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0254bf…
05-19 03:42:46	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x82d4f8…
05-12 06:18:41	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xb49f36…
05-08 12:31:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1404cb…
05-07 06:22:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2a5f52…
04-11 07:18:25	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa68c62…
04-01 08:45:29	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xc02ef9…
03-18 08:42:23	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x56b478…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-08 12:31
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-18 08:42
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	07-25 02:40
will wti reach 85 in august 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	08-14 03:00
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$2	05-25 06:35
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	06-15 06:16
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	08-31 03:36
will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in august 2026 20260731154202611	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	08-07 07:24
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	05-19 03:42
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	09-16 02:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	10-28 03:05
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	10-10 03:42
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-24 03:13
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	09-21 07:29
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	11-04 08:34
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	10-19 08:07
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$0	08-24 07:44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:45
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	09-29 02:52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	04-11 07:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	07-20 02:51
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$0	05-12 06:18
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	09-05 02:26
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-27 06:49
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-02 02:48