Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

37.8%

Resolved

Trades

116

lifetime

Volume

$391

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-29

last 07-09 14:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Politics

63% 33% -$29

Other

37% 57% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-09).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		-154	-$3	2¢	$-3	+$0	07-09 14:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	8	$59	33	32	+1	No	$0	03-26 02:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	16	$53	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	03-01 18:36
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	12	$37	31	31	+0	No	-$19	03-31 15:29
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	4	$27	1	26	-25	No	$0	02-05 18:54
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$26	30	2	+29	No	+$6	03-26 06:26
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$26	0	31	-31	Yes	-$5	07-09 14:02
another us government shutdown by february 14	7	$25	31	31	+0	No	-$13	02-13 06:21
will the department of homeland security receive full year funding by february 28 2026	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$1	02-28 06:52
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	5	$16	0	21	-21	No	-$5	02-08 17:17
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by june 30	8	$12	0	12	-12	Yes	$0	02-21 21:15
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	3	$10	0	10	-10	No	$0	01-31 15:05
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-13 12:58
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	3	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	03-01 21:22
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	03-04 17:26
will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	03-05 18:38
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$5	15	15	+0	Yes	-$1	04-03 18:00
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	02-22 17:07
will the dhs shutdown last 14 days or more	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$1	02-17 20:39
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-05 14:55
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-13 13:04
will brazil join the board of peace	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-05 15:33
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$3	0	154	-154	open	—	07-09 14:02
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	15	$3	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-20 22:16
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	3	$3	2	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 06:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	04-10 18:05
will sinners win best sound at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	9	0	+9	No	-$1	03-16 01:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$1	0	1	-1	No	$0	06-17 17:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 14:02:19	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	154	2¢	$3	0x465461…
07-09 14:02:14	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	31	83¢	$26	0xfb9e68…
06-17 17:33:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2447df…
05-13 13:04:23	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdc877b…
05-13 12:58:10	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe53ba6…
05-13 06:10:25	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7449b6…
04-20 22:16:44	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0xdd68ee…
04-20 22:08:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x5a8210…
04-20 20:18:26	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xb0b13a…
04-20 20:01:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x134451…
04-20 19:20:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x2449b6…
04-13 08:29:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x290696…
04-12 18:53:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$0	0x70bc71…
04-12 13:20:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xefa096…
04-12 13:15:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xf476b8…
04-12 13:12:05	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xcfcd66…
04-12 12:55:23	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xff79bb…
04-12 04:11:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xcff8cd…
04-12 04:11:35	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x16175d…
04-12 04:10:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x5522c6…
04-10 18:05:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x13499e…
04-10 14:07:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x784aa5…
04-08 00:13:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf0ca9f…
04-03 18:00:05	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x0533fc…
04-03 17:59:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x99b262…
04-03 17:43:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x95bbee…
04-03 14:57:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x8da981…
03-31 15:29:31	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	21	30¢	$6	0x8492bf…
03-31 14:28:33	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0xc6d95f…
03-31 14:27:05	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0xb835fc…
03-30 06:06:02	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xf0c28d…
03-29 03:15:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xc19d27…
03-28 20:39:26	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x48376f…
03-26 06:26:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd9af29…
03-26 02:27:17	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3615ee…
03-23 06:33:57	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0b97c9…
03-23 00:08:05	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xb3c89c…
03-16 14:37:25	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x11ba72…
03-16 01:17:43	will sinners win best sound at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x28452b…
03-05 19:06:43	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x98ed37…
03-05 18:38:39	will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x2fd95d…
03-05 15:33:25	will brazil join the board of peace	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb0a303…
03-05 15:18:01	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7f428f…
03-05 14:55:25	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xba0ec5…
03-05 14:45:41	will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8fa149…
03-04 19:59:03	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8438ee…
03-04 19:58:55	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0x226a8d…
03-04 19:58:01	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc3a0da…
03-04 19:57:57	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x31bd14…
03-04 19:57:15	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x59ed04…
03-04 19:57:15	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x16e2f5…
03-04 17:26:49	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4e2a2b…
03-04 17:24:07	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	SELL	32	89¢	$29	0x9cc79d…
03-03 03:57:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf51bc4…
03-01 21:22:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x19e7df…
03-01 21:22:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x1b10f6…
03-01 18:37:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xbd6f98…
03-01 18:37:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x8dceaa…
03-01 18:36:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6e30da…
03-01 18:18:07	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xd0ad38…
03-01 16:28:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x18c022…
03-01 16:10:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7f9770…
03-01 16:09:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x239361…
03-01 16:07:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x58f2cb…
03-01 16:05:51	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xe9ec3d…
03-01 16:05:49	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x04f62d…
03-01 16:05:33	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xf49790…
03-01 16:05:33	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x212dfd…
03-01 15:32:25	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x78dca2…
03-01 15:32:25	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x07807c…
03-01 15:32:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2e93a7…
03-01 15:24:09	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xfc5a11…
03-01 01:36:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x343842…
03-01 01:36:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdb4b8f…
03-01 01:36:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x290aa8…
03-01 01:36:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa6f52f…
03-01 01:36:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6b31bc…
02-28 15:39:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x406ff8…
02-28 15:35:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0x575f18…
02-28 15:34:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xf235cd…
02-28 15:10:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x793f74…
02-28 14:56:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	4	68¢	$2	0xd12601…
02-28 14:42:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x981f62…
02-28 06:52:47	will the department of homeland security receive full year funding by february 28 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9f1f81…
02-22 17:07:38	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x47e929…
02-21 21:15:10	will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xbf4197…
02-21 21:11:10	will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfb73c7…
02-21 21:11:04	will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by june 30	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xec22c2…
02-21 21:08:20	will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf33f79…
02-21 20:59:24	will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by june 30	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x02f193…
02-21 20:57:10	will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x458aec…
02-21 20:55:42	will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x872350…
02-21 20:55:38	will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by june 30	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9b5bb3…
02-19 07:56:06	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x67c622…
02-19 07:22:00	will the department of homeland security receive full year funding by february 28 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x50401f…
02-17 20:58:37	will the department of homeland security receive full year funding by february 28 2026	No	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x2d14b1…
02-17 20:39:19	will the dhs shutdown last 14 days or more	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x26742a…
02-13 06:21:23	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	SELL	29	19¢	$6	0x693325…
02-13 06:19:15	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xdb7d87…
02-13 06:19:07	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x04083d…