Frizzy-Opening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.34K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

14,511

lifetime

Volume

$37.8M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.60K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-17 21:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

69% 100% +$2,336

Politics

26% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 378 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3,403	$5.17M	3,003,029	2,383,932	+619,097	open	—	03-17 09:19
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1,635	$3.54M	2,101,491	1,505,882	+595,609	open	—	01-28 22:50
netanyahu out by march 31 854	288	$2.23M	1,182,851	1,082,893	+99,958	open	—	04-01 04:44
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	132	$2.13M	1,367,993	765,036	+602,957	open	—	01-05 00:39
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	426	$1.92M	1,004,884	943,365	+61,519	open	—	03-04 16:38
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	74	$1.50M	749,747	750,983	-1,236	open	—	01-04 08:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	205	$1.08M	548,928	548,928	+0	open	—	04-26 15:08
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	99	$1.01M	917,313	102,332	+814,981	open	—	04-09 09:46
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	73	$977.9K	889,595	149,595	+740,000	open	—	06-03 05:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	275	$929.4K	473,203	472,474	+729	open	—	05-14 19:07
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	142	$919.6K	429,163	500,000	-70,837	open	—	03-04 16:47
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	69	$896.3K	800,000	100,000	+700,000	open	—	04-08 17:07
maduro in us custody by january 31	82	$797.2K	798,000	0	+798,000	open	—	01-07 00:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	884	$736.9K	468,421	452,964	+15,458	open	—	01-30 13:14
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	474	$719.2K	756,939	3,389	+753,550	open	—	01-28 18:53
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	138	$713.0K	531,168	194,664	+336,504	open	—	04-30 20:55
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	9	$705.5K	706,175	0	+706,175	open	—	06-17 21:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	979	$690.7K	496,117	219,069	+277,048	open	—	04-28 08:50
will iran strike israel on march 6	38	$679.3K	680,000	0	+680,000	open	—	03-11 13:56
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	11	$653.2K	661,805	10,046	+651,759	open	—	04-30 20:16
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	43	$649.4K	650,000	0	+650,000	open	—	03-12 16:48
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	1	$599.4K	600,000	0	+600,000	Yes	+$600	05-04 17:24
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	160	$547.0K	65,055	482,537	-417,482	open	—	01-04 16:03
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	46	$528.8K	265,000	265,000	+0	open	—	04-17 06:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	363	$500.7K	294,940	221,167	+73,773	open	—	06-02 12:46
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	57	$483.0K	484,642	0	+484,642	Yes	+$1,635	05-03 11:33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	103	$467.5K	244,611	244,593	+18	open	—	05-26 13:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	225	$454.9K	217,579	243,145	-25,565	open	—	04-30 20:15
lighter market cap fdv 1b one day after launch	115	$443.1K	343,913	100,068	+243,845	open	—	01-01 20:54
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	4	$396.9K	399,998	0	+399,998	open	—	06-15 09:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 21:21:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	37,650	100¢	$37,612	0xa521f1…
06-17 21:21:02	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x9dca12…
06-17 21:20:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	9,300	100¢	$9,291	0xe7a902…
06-17 21:19:56	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xa5770b…
06-17 21:19:26	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x658fcf…
06-17 21:19:17	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,400	100¢	$1,399	0x5f601b…
06-17 21:19:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9740c9…
06-17 21:19:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,630	100¢	$1,629	0xd449c5…
06-17 21:17:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	643,175	100¢	$642,532	0x3f3c09…
06-15 09:09:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	13,248	100¢	$13,195	0xff52b9…
06-15 08:22:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x4bceae…
06-15 08:10:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	86,250	100¢	$85,905	0xbfd054…
06-14 22:16:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7c1d0e…
06-14 22:16:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	11,401	99¢	$11,321	0x6389ca…
06-14 22:15:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	2,034	99¢	$2,020	0x789833…
06-14 22:13:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	Yes	BUY	2,722	99¢	$2,700	0x630d6f…
06-14 22:13:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	24,000	99¢	$23,856	0xeeee8d…
06-14 22:13:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	3,000	99¢	$2,982	0xdf1f19…
06-14 22:12:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	BUY	1,748	99¢	$1,731	0xcce990…
06-14 22:11:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xea62cf…
06-14 22:11:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	1,506	100¢	$1,499	0xd681f1…
06-14 22:11:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,975	0x91da63…
06-14 22:06:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	5,748	99¢	$5,668	0x233d18…
06-14 22:05:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	Yes	BUY	193	99¢	$191	0xb96346…
06-14 22:05:27	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0x50ffe2…
06-14 21:58:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	1,386	99¢	$1,367	0xe36653…
06-14 21:58:15	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc99b55…
06-14 21:57:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	3,966	99¢	$3,911	0x90da9f…
06-14 21:57:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	317	99¢	$313	0x4a78f1…
06-14 21:57:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x4752a9…
06-13 10:04:12	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	35,431	99¢	$35,147	0xd3bbeb…
06-13 08:47:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0xf609f9…
06-13 08:42:24	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	600	99¢	$595	0x2e71ae…
06-13 08:24:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0x7c9bbc…
06-13 04:55:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0x5dadc5…
06-13 03:10:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	2,600	99¢	$2,579	0xe50cd6…
06-13 03:10:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	990	99¢	$982	0xe99059…
06-13 03:09:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x5ed4f0…
06-13 03:03:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc9e3c2…
06-13 01:07:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,984	0xfa08db…
06-13 00:49:12	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,984	0x4aba47…
06-13 00:48:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf4047e…
06-13 00:29:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$38	0x7a24a0…
06-12 23:56:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x01357e…
06-12 22:57:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$992	0x29f8ba…
06-12 19:20:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	3,097	99¢	$3,072	0x91b8a1…
06-11 21:26:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	530	99¢	$522	0x2e9de7…
06-11 21:20:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xee8d38…
06-11 21:17:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	613	99¢	$605	0x626949…
06-11 20:58:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1,423	99¢	$1,403	0x4a0b02…
06-11 20:47:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc983f8…
06-11 20:46:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	700	99¢	$690	0x53f4a8…
06-11 20:32:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	139,444	99¢	$137,492	0x858d7f…
06-11 20:14:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7320df…
06-11 20:12:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0x38451b…
06-11 20:01:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x7f5551…
06-11 19:36:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	6,115	99¢	$6,030	0xfda034…
06-11 18:09:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	885	99¢	$872	0xce3771…
06-10 08:13:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	300,000	99¢	$297,300	0xfb348e…
06-06 19:36:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	177	99¢	$175	0x2b9354…
06-06 15:43:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	163	99¢	$162	0xc2e71d…
06-06 13:12:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$494	0x8d5c17…
06-06 12:43:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$494	0xe023ab…
06-06 11:54:36	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	253	99¢	$250	0x089434…
06-06 10:29:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	148	99¢	$146	0x890f86…
06-06 10:14:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6ca464…
06-06 10:13:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5e2246…
06-06 10:05:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4a786e…
06-06 10:03:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7b6406…
06-06 10:02:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x63cb36…
06-06 09:57:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x53dae6…
06-06 08:47:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$494	0x50afb8…
06-06 08:13:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	129	99¢	$127	0xf691c1…
06-06 04:25:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	271	99¢	$268	0x0f1a48…
06-06 04:23:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,181	99¢	$1,167	0x31ce99…
06-06 04:08:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	275	99¢	$271	0x535085…
06-06 03:00:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$494	0xdae4db…
06-06 01:03:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$988	0xeebd7a…
06-06 00:44:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$988	0x86a571…
06-05 19:14:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe9f6d9…
06-05 18:09:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	SELL	37,547	99¢	$37,021	0x09c7e6…
06-05 17:53:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,160	99¢	$1,146	0x7ddaad…
06-05 17:49:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	113	99¢	$111	0x6bf35f…
06-05 17:48:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	135	99¢	$133	0x25c289…
06-05 17:45:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	78	99¢	$77	0x5b1867…
06-05 17:27:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	65	99¢	$65	0xb07bf4…
06-05 16:27:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$988	0x689550…
06-05 16:04:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,976	0x1a8b80…
06-05 15:52:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	11,019	99¢	$10,887	0xb98eee…
06-05 15:22:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0xbc45fb…
06-05 15:13:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$988	0x4f8ece…
06-05 14:41:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$494	0x922f15…
06-05 14:02:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0xfbfc45…
06-05 14:02:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	127	99¢	$126	0xecad4d…
06-05 14:00:57	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	119	99¢	$117	0x28804a…
06-05 14:00:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	308	99¢	$304	0x9325a7…
06-05 13:59:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	147	99¢	$145	0x35a55c…
06-05 13:57:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	134	99¢	$133	0x1d65e4…
06-05 13:56:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	122	99¢	$120	0x13868b…
06-05 13:44:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	780	99¢	$771	0xd0bb82…