Frizzy-Opening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.34K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

14,751

lifetime

Volume

$38.8M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.63K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 15:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

67% 100% +$2,336

Politics

25% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 378 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3,403	$5.17M	3,003,029	2,383,932	+619,097	open	—	03-17 09:19
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1,635	$3.54M	2,101,491	1,505,882	+595,609	open	—	01-28 22:50
netanyahu out by march 31 854	288	$2.23M	1,182,851	1,082,893	+99,958	open	—	04-01 04:44
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	132	$2.13M	1,367,993	765,036	+602,957	open	—	01-05 00:39
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	426	$1.92M	1,004,884	943,365	+61,519	open	—	03-04 16:38
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	74	$1.50M	749,747	750,983	-1,236	open	—	01-04 08:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	205	$1.08M	548,928	548,928	+0	open	—	04-26 15:08
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	99	$1.01M	917,313	102,332	+814,981	open	—	04-09 09:46
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	73	$977.9K	889,595	149,595	+740,000	open	—	06-03 05:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	275	$929.4K	473,203	472,474	+729	open	—	05-14 19:07
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	142	$919.6K	429,163	500,000	-70,837	open	—	03-04 16:47
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	69	$896.3K	800,000	100,000	+700,000	open	—	04-08 17:07
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	198	$854.0K	831,888	31,888	+800,000	open	—	07-08 09:47
maduro in us custody by january 31	82	$797.2K	798,000	0	+798,000	open	—	01-07 00:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	884	$736.9K	468,421	452,964	+15,458	open	—	01-30 13:14
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	474	$719.2K	756,939	3,389	+753,550	open	—	01-28 18:53
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	138	$713.0K	531,168	194,664	+336,504	open	—	04-30 20:55
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	9	$705.5K	706,175	0	+706,175	open	—	06-17 21:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	979	$690.7K	496,117	219,069	+277,048	open	—	04-28 08:50
will iran strike israel on march 6	38	$679.3K	680,000	0	+680,000	open	—	03-11 13:56
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	11	$653.2K	661,805	10,046	+651,759	open	—	04-30 20:16
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	43	$649.4K	650,000	0	+650,000	open	—	03-12 16:48
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	1	$599.4K	600,000	0	+600,000	Yes	+$600	05-04 17:24
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	160	$547.0K	65,055	482,537	-417,482	open	—	01-04 16:03
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	46	$528.8K	265,000	265,000	+0	open	—	04-17 06:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	363	$500.7K	294,940	221,167	+73,773	open	—	06-02 12:46
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	57	$483.0K	484,642	0	+484,642	Yes	+$1,635	05-03 11:33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	103	$467.5K	244,611	244,593	+18	open	—	05-26 13:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	225	$454.9K	217,579	243,145	-25,565	open	—	04-30 20:15
lighter market cap fdv 1b one day after launch	115	$443.1K	343,913	100,068	+243,845	open	—	01-01 20:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 15:38:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	27,561	100¢	$27,478	0xdae7e4…
07-21 15:36:06	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	33,333	100¢	$33,233	0xf1d02b…
07-21 15:36:04	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaab328…
07-21 15:36:00	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd6b0a4…
07-21 15:35:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	271	100¢	$270	0xf12e55…
07-21 15:35:01	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf65530…
07-21 15:29:19	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2,497	100¢	$2,489	0xeba38b…
07-21 15:27:45	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,037	100¢	$1,034	0xfe7126…
07-21 15:23:22	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	41,943	100¢	$41,818	0xb44844…
07-21 15:16:31	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x0b7cac…
07-21 15:16:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x849a0a…
07-21 15:13:04	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,667	100¢	$1,662	0x818097…
07-21 15:11:45	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x429670…
07-21 15:11:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	312	100¢	$311	0x829bfd…
07-21 15:11:00	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,985	0x0dbb66…
07-21 15:09:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,097	100¢	$1,093	0xdf5682…
07-21 15:05:39	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,235	100¢	$1,231	0x6cc0a8…
07-21 15:05:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,667	100¢	$1,662	0x4bc2c2…
07-21 15:04:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	6,884	100¢	$6,864	0x3895b7…
07-21 15:04:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xb839a4…
07-21 14:44:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3,333	100¢	$3,323	0x8b8b1e…
07-21 14:41:16	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc56916…
07-21 14:40:24	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,667	100¢	$1,662	0x36d6a3…
07-21 14:40:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3,333	100¢	$3,323	0x53bbe5…
07-21 14:35:18	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xfa662f…
07-21 14:31:28	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x3ddb2f…
07-21 14:31:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3,400	100¢	$3,390	0x08a0e8…
07-21 14:28:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,333	100¢	$1,329	0x381b6b…
07-21 14:25:03	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x5aea3b…
07-21 14:25:01	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x6a7e97…
07-21 14:23:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x5729ed…
07-21 14:21:34	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x8c7f11…
07-21 14:13:25	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x53b155…
07-21 14:13:10	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,770	100¢	$1,765	0xd8eae1…
07-21 14:12:39	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	631	100¢	$630	0x5082d5…
07-21 14:12:10	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,593	100¢	$1,589	0xdd18bf…
07-21 13:40:22	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,991	0x382fca…
07-21 13:39:36	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xfc12ad…
07-21 13:38:42	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x978699…
07-21 13:37:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	6,300	100¢	$6,281	0x9f8f6c…
07-21 13:37:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	6,667	100¢	$6,647	0xa6d3e8…
07-21 13:36:30	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xaf0855…
07-08 09:47:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	46,070	100¢	$46,023	0x03bcae…
07-08 09:46:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x02f6d6…
07-08 09:44:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xad0734…
07-08 09:44:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x72594c…
07-08 09:44:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	37,900	100¢	$37,862	0x847e10…
07-08 09:44:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf62d86…
07-08 09:44:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf356c0…
07-08 09:43:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x482101…
07-08 09:42:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xdbb079…
07-08 09:41:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7779e…
07-08 09:41:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	20,000	100¢	$19,980	0xf686e5…
07-08 09:40:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	337	100¢	$337	0xcfa177…
07-08 09:40:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9eef9a…
07-08 09:37:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xe623cc…
07-08 09:37:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xc4af2f…
07-08 09:37:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	19,000	100¢	$18,981	0x6ca8df…
07-08 09:35:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	20,000	100¢	$19,980	0x341d29…
07-08 09:35:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	20,000	100¢	$19,980	0x038419…
07-08 09:35:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	11,500	100¢	$11,488	0x22cc5f…
07-08 09:34:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7992e8…
07-08 09:34:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x23db62…
07-08 09:34:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8c565f…
07-08 09:33:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x7149ca…
07-08 09:32:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	23,940	100¢	$23,916	0x71d7da…
07-08 09:32:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xf54d64…
07-08 09:31:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	20,000	100¢	$19,980	0x21707d…
07-08 09:31:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe7cd2d…
07-08 09:31:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x2dd0ed…
07-08 09:30:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x8f9363…
07-08 09:30:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,996	0x111b31…
07-08 09:29:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x649385…
07-08 09:29:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c4508…
07-08 09:26:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xc4372f…
07-08 09:25:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0xb40772…
07-08 09:25:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfc7c34…
07-08 09:24:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x714643…
07-08 09:22:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6143a7…
07-08 09:21:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x722f1c…
07-08 09:19:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,790	100¢	$1,788	0x6afc2c…
07-08 09:18:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x93afb8…
07-08 09:18:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x872f20…
07-08 09:18:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xe70c94…
07-08 09:15:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	980	100¢	$979	0x459b78…
07-08 09:13:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xb0ff2a…
07-08 09:13:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5,700	100¢	$5,694	0xa814d0…
07-08 09:13:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0xa2488e…
07-08 09:13:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfccc0f…
07-08 09:12:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7301ae…
07-08 09:11:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,335	100¢	$1,333	0xcd6c1e…
07-08 09:10:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x90b125…
07-08 09:08:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9d5833…
07-08 09:07:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x0af4f9…
07-08 09:07:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x9db288…
07-08 09:06:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,830	100¢	$1,828	0xcd6fd5…
07-08 09:06:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,640	100¢	$1,638	0x08a1bd…
07-08 09:04:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x43a165…
07-08 09:04:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	14,850	100¢	$14,835	0x382241…
07-08 09:03:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x97401c…