Bubbly-Visual — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.01K

Unrealized P&L

-$4.23K

Hit rate

78.4%

Resolved

Trades

507

lifetime

Volume

$186.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$368

Open exposure

$9.51K

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-24

last 10-28 01:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Politics

82% 63% +$3,785

Other

15% 50% -$3,763

Tech

1% 0% -$307

Crypto

1% 100% +$59

Sports

0% 0% -$788

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+9,000	$2,310	99¢	$8.9K	+$6,600	10-27 16:33
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+487	$255	98¢	$475	+$220	10-25 18:31
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+9,000	$8,480	1¢	$90	-$8,390	10-27 21:14
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	+400	$310	6¢	$26	-$284	10-28 01:28
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+487	$2,387	2¢	$12	-$2,374	10-27 16:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	101	$47.4K	26,438	26,438	+0	Yes	+$2,251	06-15 21:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$22.7K	14,000	14,000	+0	open	—	10-27 19:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	16	$16.9K	9,908	9,908	+0	Yes	+$1,899	06-15 22:36
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	29	$13.9K	18,674	11,407	+7,267	Yes	-$5,144	08-12 17:56
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	16	$12.5K	23,000	5,000	+18,000	open	—	10-27 21:14
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	13	$8.5K	16,500	0	+16,500	Yes	+$1,510	10-25 19:55
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	29	$6.9K	6,987	6,013	+974	open	—	10-27 16:15
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	7	$5.0K	6,500	0	+6,500	No	+$1,534	10-26 22:20
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	6	$4.0K	4,089	0	+4,089	Yes	+$82	09-20 20:15
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$346	06-15 06:07
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	7	$3.0K	61,625	0	+61,625	No	-$2,952	06-15 06:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$2.8K	3,703	3,703	+0	No	-$1,093	05-27 17:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	38	$2.8K	4,062	2,062	+2,000	No	+$132	05-28 14:24
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	5	$2.6K	2,747	0	+2,747	Yes	+$118	06-20 21:40
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	5	$2.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$459	06-23 21:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	30	$2.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$553	05-28 14:14
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	4	$2.2K	4,079	147	+3,932	Yes	-$129	06-09 15:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	45	$2.1K	4,505	4,495	+10	No	-$737	05-24 18:26
No one announced as next James Bond?	1	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$120	06-28 17:30
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	1	$1.7K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$320	10-26 18:16
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	3	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$56	05-26 15:57
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	1	$1.3K	1,359	0	+1,359	No	+$27	10-24 23:22
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	5	$1.3K	725	725	+0	Yes	+$122	09-22 05:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.1K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	-$45	05-27 17:42
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	11	$980	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$680	05-31 21:59
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?	5	$890	1,783	450	+1,333	Yes	+$6	06-13 02:04
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	21	$840	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$800	05-31 22:05
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	1	$788	1,050	0	+1,050	Yes	-$788	07-07 02:45
Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	3	$710	1,365	0	+1,365	No	+$114	10-20 01:20
Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	2	$630	1,263	0	+1,263	No	+$632	10-20 22:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:28:12	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	400	78¢	$310	0x6332b2…
10-27 21:14:47	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1,000	17¢	$170	0x0c0a7c…
10-27 21:10:05	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	239	17¢	$41	0xea23aa…
10-27 21:10:05	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	3,761	17¢	$639	0x0895fb…
10-27 20:07:08	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0xfc1123…
10-27 20:07:08	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	610	20¢	$122	0x969469…
10-27 20:07:08	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	167	20¢	$33	0x6ad7a5…
10-27 20:07:06	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x37df0d…
10-27 20:07:06	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x22ded7…
10-27 20:06:59	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x668f02…
10-27 19:51:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	14,000	89¢	$12,460	0x98e24b…
10-27 19:39:29	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0xce4417…
10-27 19:22:42	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	986	64¢	$631	0xe48f8a…
10-27 19:16:23	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x4e6fb8…
10-27 19:14:26	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x5744c0…
10-27 19:02:11	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,500	64¢	$960	0x7635ba…
10-27 19:01:50	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,500	64¢	$960	0x5b1d68…
10-27 18:22:06	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	630	75¢	$472	0xcee931…
10-27 16:33:08	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3,000	27¢	$810	0x410b5a…
10-27 16:15:57	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	2,428	2¢	$49	0xb5ac7d…
10-27 15:51:42	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	6,000	25¢	$1,500	0x34fbe3…
10-27 04:35:24	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	9,000	73¢	$6,570	0xc2f65c…
10-26 23:32:12	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	147	97¢	$143	0xa4c374…
10-26 22:47:02	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	167	97¢	$162	0xb8c803…
10-26 22:37:57	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x683af3…
10-26 22:20:03	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,000	67¢	$670	0x186b68…
10-26 21:14:11	Will Luis Enrique win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Coach of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x2599c3…
10-26 21:10:00	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,000	76¢	$760	0xd9e174…
10-26 21:05:59	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	2,000	79¢	$1,580	0x9784e0…
10-26 18:16:59	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	84¢	$1,680	0x8e93fc…
10-26 18:12:45	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,480	78¢	$1,160	0x877a58…
10-26 18:11:45	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xdd2113…
10-26 18:06:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,000	28¢	$277	0xeb2a46…
10-26 17:44:35	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	675	78¢	$526	0x525c6a…
10-26 17:44:08	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	325	78¢	$254	0xd0e6f7…
10-25 19:55:21	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	500	61¢	$305	0xd9d160…
10-25 19:52:33	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,000	60¢	$600	0x270ce9…
10-25 19:49:12	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2,000	59¢	$1,180	0x30e431…
10-25 19:47:45	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0xc74ba8…
10-25 19:47:45	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	35	58¢	$20	0xac7b22…
10-25 19:47:27	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	172	59¢	$101	0x35f8bf…
10-25 19:47:27	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	1,328	58¢	$770	0x01b39a…
10-25 19:46:50	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	3,000	60¢	$1,800	0xe9d978…
10-25 19:46:00	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	1,381	59¢	$815	0xaf1731…
10-25 19:46:00	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	619	59¢	$365	0x0f8469…
10-25 18:41:50	Will Trump say "Marxist" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	526	57¢	$297	0xe5c998…
10-25 18:38:48	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	410	54¢	$222	0xb6f169…
10-25 18:37:45	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	535	53¢	$284	0xab7ea5…
10-25 18:32:51	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,888	46¢	$869	0x50731f…
10-25 18:32:45	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	112	46¢	$51	0x32b46e…
10-25 18:32:29	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	189	46¢	$87	0x586ece…
10-25 18:32:03	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	350	46¢	$161	0x2ab7ca…
10-25 18:32:02	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	250	46¢	$115	0xf692f3…
10-25 18:32:02	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	732	46¢	$337	0xeb3344…
10-25 18:32:02	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0xc982b5…
10-25 18:31:06	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xe836d3…
10-25 18:31:05	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xdd0930…
10-25 18:31:05	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x129d05…
10-25 18:31:05	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	462	52¢	$241	0x04fb6e…
10-25 18:30:47	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6,000	46¢	$2,765	0xfde1fe…
10-24 23:22:44	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	1,359	98¢	$1,332	0x4a2dcb…
10-24 22:57:00	Will Trump say "Laken Riley Act" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	26	72¢	$19	0x9d3abd…
10-24 22:22:03	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x08a75c…
10-24 22:01:12	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	205	53¢	$109	0xab2aa7…
10-24 21:59:26	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	250	67¢	$167	0x2bcd18…
10-24 21:57:06	Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	821	70¢	$571	0x7c544c…
10-23 18:46:36	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	204	50¢	$102	0xbee6c3…
10-23 18:46:30	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	157	45¢	$72	0x7c6b52…
10-23 14:36:18	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	1,709	69¢	$1,179	0x8fde5b…
10-23 13:39:53	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xb5459f…
10-23 13:39:53	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0x38bad7…
10-23 13:39:38	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	60	69¢	$41	0x9e952e…
10-23 13:39:38	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	110	69¢	$76	0x0a7b9d…
10-23 13:38:51	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	70	69¢	$48	0x973dcd…
10-23 13:38:51	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x65a965…
10-23 13:38:09	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	31	69¢	$21	0x7fa29e…
10-23 13:38:08	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	97	69¢	$67	0xe97d5f…
10-23 13:38:08	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xd8ad9b…
10-23 13:35:41	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	164	69¢	$113	0x869817…
10-23 13:35:41	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x6c1ca7…
10-23 13:35:23	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x814a5a…
10-23 13:35:14	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	15	69¢	$11	0x1619c0…
10-23 13:34:57	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	77	69¢	$53	0xc54ed2…
10-23 09:34:30	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	2,000	70¢	$1,400	0x0275ee…
10-23 08:53:24	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	644	70¢	$454	0x9362b2…
10-23 08:53:24	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	1,356	71¢	$956	0x617b6e…
10-23 00:15:15	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x31c6c7…
10-23 00:06:30	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	302	53¢	$160	0xc61b2c…
10-23 00:05:38	Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x1327e0…
10-22 23:32:51	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xa3c924…
10-22 22:46:45	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	269	54¢	$146	0x7f6ec9…
10-22 22:46:20	Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	336	70¢	$236	0xa76225…
10-21 23:02:33	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	713	47¢	$334	0xce8c7b…
10-21 23:00:44	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	500	45¢	$223	0xffa7f1…
10-21 22:59:33	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x5193f5…
10-21 22:59:18	Will Trump say "Border" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	442	46¢	$203	0x19b9d2…
10-21 22:58:42	Will Trump say "Tax" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	632	10¢	$63	0xcb4393…
10-21 17:49:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10,000	73¢	$7,300	0xebfe6f…
10-21 17:29:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4,000	74¢	$2,960	0x0ce41e…
10-21 01:50:17	Will Trump say "Job" 18+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	71	94¢	$67	0xa8c29d…