Bustling-Raid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

+$1.25K

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

Trades

635

lifetime

Volume

$22.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$1.29K

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 06-10 17:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

83% — —

Crypto

12% — —

Tech

4% — —

Politics

1% 50% $-10

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+909	$550	94¢	$850	+$299	06-10 17:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+200	$134	76¢	$153	+$19	06-10 00:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	-2,200	$-1,050	6¢	$-143	+$907	05-29 15:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	-400	$-116	24¢	$-94	+$22	06-01 14:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	+591	$50	8¢	$50	+$0	06-11 13:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	51	$10.3K	5,295	5,745	-450	open	—	05-24 15:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	73	$5.6K	3,565	4,856	-1,291	open	—	06-10 17:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	22	$1.8K	1,400	1,600	-200	open	—	06-10 00:43
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	9	$984	1,103	828	+276	open	—	05-22 17:35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$364	200	200	+0	open	—	05-03 15:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$215	119	124	-5	open	—	04-29 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$205	227	0	+227	open	—	05-21 14:38
Kash Patel out by April 30?	5	$129	75	75	+0	open	—	04-28 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$125	154	0	+154	open	—	05-21 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	6	$114	137	78	+59	open	—	05-22 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	05-22 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$100	125	0	+125	open	—	05-22 07:09
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	4	$83	45	45	+0	open	—	04-28 15:49
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	2	$81	100	100	+0	open	—	04-30 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	6	$68	67	67	+0	open	—	06-03 08:11
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	2	$67	48	48	+0	open	—	05-19 12:06
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner	3	$65	100	0	+100	open	—	04-26 12:04
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	4	$56	88	0	+88	open	—	04-26 14:33
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$50	591	0	+591	open	—	06-11 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	8	$46	48	48	+0	open	—	05-27 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	9	$45	66	36	+30	open	—	05-27 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	10	$44	40	40	+0	open	—	06-01 17:09
btc updown 5m 1780580400	8	$43	32	32	+0	open	—	06-04 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	10	$43	53	33	+20	open	—	05-27 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	9	$42	61	48	+13	open	—	05-27 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	7	$41	32	32	+0	open	—	05-30 10:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$40	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	04-27 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$38	32	32	+0	open	—	05-22 16:39
Nothing Ever Happens: May	2	$37	26	26	+0	open	—	05-06 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	7	$37	34	34	+0	open	—	05-26 16:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 13:03:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	591	8¢	$50	0xa0298b…
06-10 17:50:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x6af5f5…
06-10 13:28:22	btc updown 5m 1781097900	Up	SELL	7	63¢	$5	0x3101ab…
06-10 13:28:13	btc updown 5m 1781097900	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbafa5a…
06-10 12:56:12	btc updown 5m 1781096100	Up	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x24f46b…
06-10 12:55:03	btc updown 5m 1781096100	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1845d0…
06-10 12:54:57	btc updown 5m 1781096100	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb920e9…
06-10 07:23:22	btc updown 5m 1781076000	Up	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x748a6b…
06-10 07:22:28	btc updown 5m 1781076000	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x55e842…
06-10 00:43:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x2874dd…
06-09 23:29:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	72¢	$144	0x8e131b…
06-09 14:10:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0x3eaf3d…
06-09 13:27:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x9e1fca…
06-09 13:09:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x475ed7…
06-06 06:45:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x14e2f7…
06-05 17:48:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0x38ac76…
06-05 13:33:22	btc updown 5m 1780666200	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x6cb8fc…
06-05 13:33:22	btc updown 5m 1780666200	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x527635…
06-05 13:28:43	btc updown 5m 1780665900	Up	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0xb6da15…
06-05 13:26:55	btc updown 5m 1780665900	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xa998ca…
06-05 13:26:25	btc updown 5m 1780665900	Up	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0x7832e0…
06-05 13:26:10	btc updown 5m 1780665900	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x65e2cd…
06-05 13:21:16	btc updown 5m 1780665600	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x1f7c0b…
06-05 13:21:12	btc updown 5m 1780665600	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x84a949…
06-05 12:56:40	btc updown 5m 1780664100	Down	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x97da71…
06-05 12:55:42	btc updown 5m 1780664100	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x43c927…
06-05 11:27:42	btc updown 5m 1780658700	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x2b51d9…
06-05 11:26:31	btc updown 5m 1780658700	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xeb5541…
06-05 11:16:25	btc updown 5m 1780658100	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x09bac9…
06-05 09:22:31	btc updown 5m 1780651200	Up	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0xa5f50e…
06-05 09:22:10	btc updown 5m 1780651200	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x266a3c…
06-05 08:21:22	btc updown 5m 1780647600	Down	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xdb378a…
06-05 08:21:10	btc updown 5m 1780647600	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xbc4bfb…
06-05 07:42:24	btc updown 5m 1780645200	Down	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x9cfb64…
06-05 07:40:52	btc updown 5m 1780645200	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x9eed91…
06-05 07:11:16	btc updown 5m 1780643400	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x027f30…
06-05 02:22:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0xdfe61e…
06-04 22:53:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xbc58eb…
06-04 21:35:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	29	84¢	$24	0xde87b2…
06-04 21:34:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xbff405…
06-04 21:31:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	31	84¢	$26	0x783741…
06-04 21:26:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x0cdbcb…
06-04 21:21:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	125	84¢	$105	0x4bc41f…
06-04 21:21:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x4015b8…
06-04 21:14:36	btc updown 5m 1780607400	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2e1945…
06-04 21:14:10	btc updown 5m 1780607400	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x453c7f…
06-04 21:13:58	btc updown 5m 1780607400	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x079261…
06-04 21:13:45	btc updown 5m 1780607400	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x6e0a28…
06-04 21:13:39	btc updown 5m 1780607400	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xcbab2d…
06-04 21:01:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xa1031d…
06-04 20:41:31	btc updown 5m 1780605600	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7a8c63…
06-04 20:41:25	btc updown 5m 1780605600	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x69beff…
06-04 19:07:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	206	84¢	$173	0x68e29e…
06-04 13:46:06	btc updown 5m 1780580700	Up	SELL	32	39¢	$13	0x8cb311…
06-04 13:45:21	btc updown 5m 1780580700	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xbf52e5…
06-04 13:45:00	btc updown 5m 1780580700	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb1d6dd…
06-04 13:44:46	btc updown 5m 1780580700	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x57c48d…
06-04 13:42:36	btc updown 5m 1780580400	Down	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x913d6e…
06-04 13:42:18	btc updown 5m 1780580400	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xae7bea…
06-04 13:41:55	btc updown 5m 1780580400	Down	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x27e49d…
06-04 13:41:31	btc updown 5m 1780580400	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb5db58…
06-04 13:41:18	btc updown 5m 1780580400	Down	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0xdddb67…
06-04 13:41:04	btc updown 5m 1780580400	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3a4d1b…
06-04 13:40:58	btc updown 5m 1780580400	Down	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x607ebe…
06-04 13:40:45	btc updown 5m 1780580400	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x933992…
06-04 11:57:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x30734e…
06-03 19:29:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	41	83¢	$34	0x575fe7…
06-03 19:29:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	181	83¢	$150	0xa28865…
06-03 19:23:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	79	83¢	$66	0xa2b01d…
06-03 13:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x7e3dfb…
06-03 13:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x86397a…
06-03 13:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xca77f9…
06-03 11:27:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0xc22922…
06-03 10:18:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x7a7b91…
06-03 10:14:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0x94ea39…
06-03 08:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	44	51¢	$22	0x1799ca…
06-03 08:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0xd61e19…
06-03 08:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xd41fd9…
06-03 08:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x579062…
06-03 08:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x0e1c3f…
06-03 08:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xaae1a8…
06-03 08:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0xa8fb15…
06-03 08:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x8f1527…
06-03 07:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x61b573…
06-03 07:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xba08dc…
06-03 07:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xee4808…
06-03 07:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x47d10d…
06-03 07:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xed66ae…
06-02 21:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xf7d5a8…
06-01 17:39:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	174	81¢	$141	0x768ebf…
06-01 17:38:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0xdbd171…
06-01 17:33:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	7	82¢	$5	0x674752…
06-01 17:33:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x319c00…
06-01 17:31:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	51	82¢	$42	0x8f0763…
06-01 17:31:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	19	82¢	$16	0x566341…
06-01 17:31:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	19	82¢	$15	0xdafea0…
06-01 17:30:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	35	82¢	$29	0xbb6b39…
06-01 17:30:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	69	82¢	$57	0x5e3291…
06-01 17:15:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0xbe7276…
06-01 17:15:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	43	82¢	$35	0xc05c92…