Qualified-Facelift — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.00K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.6%

Resolved

Trades

2,520

lifetime

Volume

$116.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-29 03:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

66% 46% $-103

Politics

20% 25% $-198

Sports

11% 0% $-702

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	65	$2.8K	2,707	2,707	+0	open	—	03-15 01:10
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	49	$2.8K	1,951	1,951	+0	open	—	03-20 10:55
cbb uk iowast 2026 03 22	19	$2.7K	1,990	1,990	+0	open	—	03-22 19:41
cbb ucla uconn 2026 03 22	18	$2.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-22 23:54
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	41	$2.5K	1,572	1,572	+0	open	—	03-14 05:01
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	45	$2.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-21 16:31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	28	$2.3K	1,770	1,770	+0	open	—	03-23 17:32
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	95	$2.1K	1,989	1,989	+0	open	—	03-06 22:37
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	20	$2.0K	1,550	1,550	+0	open	—	03-18 09:18
cs2 mouz aur1 2026 02 02	4	$2.0K	2,102	0	+2,102	open	—	02-02 14:41
cbb vcu ill 2026 03 21	12	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-22 01:29
cbb stlou mich 2026 03 21	2	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-21 16:44
cbb utahst arz 2026 03 22	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-22 14:17
cbb akron txtech 2026 03 20	7	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-20 18:07
will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	53	$1.7K	1,335	1,335	+0	open	—	03-21 11:27
will teyana taylor win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	54	$1.6K	1,118	1,112	+6	open	—	03-14 04:33
cbb stjohn kan 2026 03 22	8	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-22 22:50
cbb txam hou 2026 03 21	6	$1.6K	1,000	941	+59	open	—	03-21 21:59
cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	9	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-22 05:03
will plc win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	23	$1.4K	784	784	+0	open	—	03-07 15:32
cbb ill iowa 2026 03 28	2	$1.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-28 22:17
cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	8	$1.4K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	open	—	03-28 03:07
will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	18	$1.2K	2,270	2,270	+0	open	—	03-22 19:16
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28	6	$1.2K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-28 18:13
cbb ala mich 2026 03 27	11	$1.1K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	03-27 23:22
cbb stjohn duke 2026 03 27	12	$1.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-27 23:06
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	31	$1.1K	650	650	+0	open	—	03-08 13:06
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	23	$1.0K	943	943	+0	open	—	03-14 11:22
will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	8	$1.0K	600	600	+0	open	—	03-15 15:07
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	9	$975	850	850	+0	open	—	03-05 14:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 03:26:07	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	37¢	$48	0x5572da…
05-28 23:54:02	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	121	73¢	$89	0xf5989a…
05-28 23:53:48	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x48a1c1…
05-28 23:48:18	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xcd137b…
05-26 22:01:41	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x12e017…
05-25 18:11:04	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	160	61¢	$98	0x3ee78f…
05-24 14:57:25	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.8B?	No	BUY	180	33¢	$59	0x0421f6…
05-24 12:36:27	Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?	No	BUY	44	41¢	$18	0x5d172f…
05-24 02:03:37	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $23.5B?	No	BUY	32	35¢	$11	0x36cd7b…
05-24 01:03:08	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	SELL	140	70¢	$98	0xd1256e…
05-24 00:05:37	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xc02a11…
05-23 17:03:08	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	60	71¢	$43	0x32bd01…
05-23 16:31:45	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xbc6a60…
05-23 16:12:26	Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?	No	BUY	80	29¢	$23	0x77f5f0…
05-23 15:52:56	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	82	82¢	$67	0x97d8b4…
05-23 15:46:15	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	60	71¢	$43	0xf0bfbe…
05-23 15:28:59	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	4	82¢	$4	0x4cd17c…
05-23 15:28:27	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0x779827…
05-23 15:28:26	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xecec17…
05-23 15:28:26	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x4bda4d…
05-13 18:41:12	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	180	54¢	$97	0x6a926d…
05-13 11:42:46	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0xd60861…
05-12 19:05:04	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0xbae162…
05-09 22:29:11	Will Applied Materials' Semiconductor Systems revenue be above $6.0B in Q2?	No	BUY	142	53¢	$75	0x59c68e…
05-09 17:24:11	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	77	54¢	$42	0x33c7ff…
05-09 17:22:56	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xd85fa3…
05-09 17:11:09	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xce80db…
05-08 19:48:56	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	170	60¢	$102	0x3ad654…
05-08 13:39:58	Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x2133d3…
05-08 13:39:50	Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0xbd58d3…
05-08 13:27:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x0764a7…
05-08 11:01:43	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	BUY	185	46¢	$85	0x7ccce0…
05-08 10:46:18	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0xbb99b4…
05-08 10:43:33	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x7240a7…
05-07 10:45:03	Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x0bdbb3…
05-07 04:38:01	Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x37df0b…
05-06 19:00:14	Will News Corp (NWSA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	94	18¢	$17	0xac989e…
05-06 18:56:33	Will Yelp (YELP) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	114	15¢	$17	0x68778c…
05-06 18:35:38	Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xcac4d5…
05-06 16:29:37	Will Yelp (YELP) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x8a39ca…
05-06 10:26:26	Will Yelp (YELP) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x24376a…
05-06 08:39:08	Will Yelp (YELP) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xb28b9f…
05-06 08:38:54	Will News Corp (NWSA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x593bd3…
05-06 08:27:26	Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x1c8cfe…
05-06 07:53:36	Will News Corp (NWSA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x88c82f…
05-06 07:53:08	Will Yelp (YELP) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x905ae0…
05-06 07:49:44	Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x283627…
05-06 02:53:24	Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xb547ef…
05-05 21:08:02	Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xf90a74…
05-05 15:59:10	Will Yelp (YELP) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x7d8f99…
05-05 15:57:08	Will News Corp (NWSA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x7d41d6…
05-05 15:56:14	Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8f303c…
05-05 13:20:10	Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	68	27¢	$18	0xc7537a…
05-05 08:42:58	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x578884…
05-05 00:50:28	Will Bhavitha Mandava be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x3abc73…
05-05 00:48:20	Will Bhavitha Mandava be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	140	74¢	$104	0xe39c39…
05-04 18:06:24	Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	90	38¢	$34	0x69f064…
05-04 15:16:46	Will Bhavitha Mandava be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	140	75¢	$105	0x25dfa9…
05-03 16:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa5015a…
05-03 16:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	71	49¢	$35	0x41b16d…
05-03 16:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe42f07…
05-03 16:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x18239a…
05-03 16:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x31f91b…
05-03 16:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xf0dc67…
05-03 16:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xda3b14…
05-03 16:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe16485…
05-03 16:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x50bbe1…
05-03 16:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	88	49¢	$43	0xa62726…
05-03 16:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x49aca5…
05-03 16:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x48be7a…
05-03 16:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2e0f9d…
05-03 15:20:18	Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x918fcb…
05-03 14:32:28	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	220	45¢	$99	0xbb614e…
05-03 13:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc47375…
05-03 13:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	95	49¢	$47	0x170560…
05-03 13:13:06	Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	210	34¢	$71	0x1aa5bb…
05-03 12:35:08	Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x56e12f…
05-03 06:48:14	Will News Corp (NWSA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x971a9e…
05-03 05:46:38	Will News Corp (NWSA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x51b969…
05-02 21:50:08	Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9e2910…
05-02 11:58:40	Will Anyone's Legend qualify for EWC 2026?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xf6c675…
05-01 15:16:50	Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x45b516…
04-30 09:53:14	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	BUY	140	62¢	$87	0x46c6c6…
04-30 08:30:30	Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xe7e476…
04-30 07:50:12	Will "Russia" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	104	26¢	$27	0x2b5fd6…
04-30 07:49:56	Will "Russia" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x981776…
04-30 07:49:34	Will "Russia" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x96a5d1…
04-30 06:18:14	Will Anyone's Legend qualify for EWC 2026?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xc96cb5…
04-29 17:55:20	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	10¢	$40	0x19f128…
04-29 11:13:08	Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	68	59¢	$40	0xa50fdb…
04-29 11:13:00	Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	102	59¢	$60	0x5e0320…
04-28 17:54:02	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0x818f87…
04-28 15:06:30	Will Trump say "Windsor" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xbde491…
04-28 14:43:14	Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x9de2b8…
04-28 13:53:50	Will Trump say "Muslim" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xa79299…
04-28 13:51:22	Will Trump say "Muslim" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x342130…
04-28 13:44:16	Will Trump say "Muslim" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x62a69e…
04-28 13:42:38	Will Trump say "Muslim" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xc23d2c…
04-28 13:42:24	Will Trump say "Muslim" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xe1ab5d…
04-28 13:41:44	Will Trump say "Muslim" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x5c6ef2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	249	$368.4K	30,678	06-01 04:11
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	231	$13.6M	29,783	06-02 12:57
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	215	$26.9K	4,493	05-30 08:13
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	214	$885.4K	21,258	06-01 04:11
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	200	$109.4K	11,028	06-02 17:45
(anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8	187	$33.8K	1,652	06-02 04:14
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	186	$282.8K	23,101	06-01 13:24
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	161	$39.9K	9,486	05-13 22:59