Leading-Chandelier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$75

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

18.2%

Resolved

530

Trades

953

lifetime

Volume

$20.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-09

last 10-26 08:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Sports

46% 0% -$10

Other

40% 49% +$85

Politics

13% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+10	$4	45¢	$5	+$0	10-26 08:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$1.3K	1,020	1,020	+0	No	-$1	05-21 22:11
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$757	590	590	+0	No	-$1	05-21 14:25
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$713	360	360	+0	open	—	05-19 19:42
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$640	670	670	+0	No	-$1	05-22 01:30
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$580	940	940	+0	No	-$1	06-01 12:12
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$559	280	280	+0	No	+$0	04-13 18:59
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$539	270	270	+0	No	$0	05-19 15:02
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$519	260	260	+0	No	$0	05-15 04:38
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$498	250	250	+0	open	—	05-14 18:04
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$480	460	460	+0	open	—	05-25 03:53
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$479	240	240	+0	No	$0	05-17 10:05
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$441	660	660	+0	No	-$1	05-21 17:54
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$419	210	210	+0	No	$0	05-17 13:04
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$410	250	250	+0	No	$0	05-22 00:47
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$403	540	540	+0	No	-$1	06-01 13:28
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$402	210	210	+0	No	$0	04-11 23:02
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$400	380	380	+0	No	$0	05-31 19:20
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$390	220	220	+0	No	$0	05-20 11:08
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$379	190	190	+0	No	$0	05-21 17:21
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$377	360	360	+0	No	$0	05-20 07:29
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$377	190	190	+0	open	—	05-14 15:22
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$375	190	190	+0	open	—	05-21 13:53
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$367	190	190	+0	No	$0	05-19 23:58
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$358	180	180	+0	open	—	05-14 13:10
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$357	180	180	+0	open	—	05-15 04:57
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$339	170	170	+0	No	$0	04-15 07:34
Will Ayoze Perez be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	2	$320	160	160	+0	No	$0	04-10 07:25
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$320	160	160	+0	No	$0	05-14 17:16
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 6?	4	$101	230	0	+230	Yes	-$101	06-06 02:38
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 3?	5	$91	198	0	+198	Yes	-$91	07-03 02:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 08:36:38	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x07cb8e…
07-15 06:10:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15?	No	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0xc00b3c…
07-15 06:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 15?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x130e0f…
07-15 06:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 15?	No	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0x11ba41…
07-15 06:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 15?	No	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x85473f…
07-15 06:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 15?	No	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xca8eea…
07-15 06:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x4f9ad1…
07-15 06:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 15?	No	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xb8011f…
07-15 06:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 15?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x383294…
07-15 06:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 15?	No	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x5129c3…
07-15 05:58:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 15?	No	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x9e831f…
07-15 05:58:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 15?	No	BUY	34	43¢	$15	0x68599e…
07-15 05:58:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 15?	No	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x5924ca…
07-15 05:58:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 15?	No	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x3a9965…
07-15 05:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 15?	No	BUY	71	39¢	$28	0x73f176…
07-15 05:36:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 15?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4fd9c7…
07-15 05:36:05	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 15?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb7c7df…
07-15 05:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 15?	No	BUY	80	32¢	$26	0x9e514c…
07-15 04:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 15?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x925135…
07-15 03:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x11a3fb…
07-15 02:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 15?	No	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x5eb43f…
07-15 02:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 15?	No	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x471f48…
07-15 02:31:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 15?	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x7cc730…
07-15 01:09:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 15?	No	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x4abd7b…
07-15 01:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 15?	No	BUY	53	48¢	$26	0x504482…
07-15 00:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 15?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7c72a1…
07-14 20:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 14?	No	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0xeb1aaa…
07-14 18:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on July 14?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf8046b…
07-14 18:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on July 14?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd26b7f…
07-14 16:56:47	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xb4cf36…
07-14 10:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 14?	No	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x084a45…
07-14 08:12:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	49	49¢	$24	0xaff1e3…
07-14 07:59:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa23290…
07-14 07:59:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x820649…
07-14 06:47:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 14?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x11e107…
07-14 05:59:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd23ba2…
07-14 05:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x174eac…
07-14 05:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x95bbb3…
07-14 05:49:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x97ab5b…
07-14 05:47:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	54	35¢	$19	0xa17575…
07-14 05:47:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x3d5cfa…
07-14 05:30:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xcb0cfa…
07-14 05:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x335971…
07-14 01:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x421f94…
07-13 22:36:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 14?	No	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xc1c72d…
07-13 17:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 13?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x011de7…
07-13 17:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 13?	No	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x38769e…
07-13 16:36:14	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 13?	No	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x87f27b…
07-13 15:40:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 13?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4dec69…
07-13 14:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 13?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb4acc4…
07-13 12:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 13?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x50cf8e…
07-13 11:42:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 13?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x02aa4e…
07-13 11:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 13?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x2a147a…
07-13 11:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 13?	No	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0xb2b8eb…
07-13 11:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 13?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9122ed…
07-13 10:49:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 13?	No	BUY	80	46¢	$37	0x38eb7f…
07-13 08:26:41	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 13?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x01d677…
07-13 07:48:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 13?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfff2af…
07-13 07:14:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 13?	No	BUY	56	47¢	$26	0xa99c08…
07-13 07:14:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 13?	No	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x0d7969…
07-13 07:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 13?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x38d8fd…
07-13 06:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 13?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xcd43c0…
07-13 05:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 13?	No	BUY	36	48¢	$17	0x2dec3f…
07-13 04:40:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 13?	No	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x9defe5…
07-13 02:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2364c1…
07-13 01:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 13?	No	BUY	38	43¢	$16	0x0a1ae0…
07-13 01:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 13?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6847d7…
07-13 01:32:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 13?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x09a71f…
07-13 01:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?	No	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x13236f…
07-13 01:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 13?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4cd25d…
07-12 21:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 12?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x07b2a7…
07-12 17:13:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 12?	No	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x991ef0…
07-12 17:13:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 12?	No	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xff4b9d…
07-12 16:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 12?	No	BUY	1	41¢	$1	0xdfb633…
07-12 15:44:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 12?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0ea32d…
07-12 15:18:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 12?	No	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x1a589d…
07-12 15:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 12?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1e594e…
07-12 12:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 12?	No	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x39c360…
07-12 11:42:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 12?	No	BUY	38	46¢	$18	0x37c50b…
07-12 08:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 12?	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x1c0a52…
07-12 08:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1352b7…
07-12 04:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 12?	No	BUY	61	48¢	$30	0x4a1273…
07-12 04:40:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 12?	No	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0xd671e3…
07-12 04:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 12?	No	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xac2fd9…
07-12 04:24:50	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 12?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2492f7…
07-12 04:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x32a2df…
07-12 04:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 12?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe090de…
07-12 04:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd4b5c1…
07-12 03:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc4323b…
07-12 03:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa4c776…
07-12 03:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 12?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe885c3…
07-12 03:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 12?	No	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x91afeb…
07-12 03:39:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x403160…
07-12 01:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x56298b…
07-11 23:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 12?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xcc185a…
07-11 23:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9e880e…
07-11 22:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 12?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x975992…
07-11 17:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 11?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x327242…
07-11 16:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 11?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x472d73…
07-11 13:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 11?	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xb388dc…