Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$562

Unrealized P&L

-$31

Hit rate

90.3%

Resolved

575

Trades

1,519

lifetime

Volume

$43.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$2.50K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-27 11:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 72% -$175

Other

12% 60% -$54

Politics

12% 89% -$15

Tech

3% 0% -$317

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+1,634	$1,597	98¢	$1.6K	+$2	10-16 01:59
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	+464	$432	90¢	$420	-$12	10-17 19:02
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+412	$398	97¢	$400	+$2	10-26 14:17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+140	$100	56¢	$78	-$22	10-14 20:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	5	$1.9K	1,074	1,074	+0	No	+$56	01-27 01:31
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	3	$1.6K	1,634	0	+1,634	open	—	10-16 01:59
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	4	$1.1K	1,167	0	+1,167	open	—	10-16 01:34
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	17	$987	736	368	+368	No	-$317	10-27 11:52
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-23 13:00 UTC	4	$980	511	511	+0	Up	+$20	01-23 16:36
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	2	$912	464	464	+0	No	+$12	01-25 03:48
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	3	$822	415	415	+0	No	+$3	01-26 01:27
ethereum up or down january 23 9am et	3	$788	398	398	+0	Down	+$8	01-23 14:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 15:30 UTC	2	$770	389	389	+0	Up	+$7	01-23 15:46
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 16:00 UTC	2	$698	360	360	+0	Up	+$21	01-23 16:16
us strikes iran by january 28 2026 117 856 648 735 438	2	$668	337	337	+0	No	+$4	01-29 00:55
bitcoin up or down january 29 1am et	4	$652	348	348	+0	Up	+$44	01-29 06:56
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 16:15 UTC	5	$642	374	372	+2	Down	+$44	01-23 16:26
lol t1a dkc 2026 01 26	4	$610	315	315	+0	T1 Academy	+$19	01-26 08:49
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	1	$600	606	0	+606	No	+$6	09-21 06:39
solana up or down january 25 5am et	1	$571	573	0	+573	Up	+$3	01-25 10:48
ethereum up or down january 23 10am et	6	$552	508	112	+396	Up	+$12	01-23 15:47
solana up or down january 25 3am et	11	$536	571	0	+571	Down	+$34	01-25 08:53
bitcoin up or down january 24 10pm et	1	$504	505	0	+505	Down	+$1	01-25 03:55
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 13:30 UTC	13	$489	251	251	+0	Up	+$9	01-28 13:44
AI bubble burst in 2026?	4	$432	464	0	+464	open	—	10-17 19:02
trump renames ai by september 30	2	$431	277	277	+0	Yes	-$93	09-25 19:54
solana up or down january 23 11am et	2	$406	480	0	+480	Up	+$74	01-23 16:38
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$398	412	0	+412	open	—	10-26 14:17
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 15:45 UTC	1	$393	418	0	+418	Up	+$25	01-23 15:52
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 01:45 UTC	17	$340	341	0	+341	Down	+$1	01-29 01:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 08:00 UTC	1	$330	330	0	+330	Up	+$0	01-25 08:14
solana up or down january 28 9am et	1	$322	0	329	-329	Down	-$7	01-28 14:58
solana up or down january 22 8am et	4	$321	173	173	+0	Down	+$1	01-22 13:57
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 00:45 UTC	16	$320	325	0	+325	Up	+$5	01-29 00:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:52:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	91¢	$89	0xdb141d…
10-27 11:52:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x18da38…
10-27 11:49:30	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	91¢	$50	0xe17a19…
10-27 10:53:06	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	91¢	$30	0xc38a8f…
10-27 10:41:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x3cfdb5…
10-27 10:41:15	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0xc51dc8…
10-27 10:28:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	91¢	$37	0x83d782…
10-27 09:40:59	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xe0a60c…
10-27 09:32:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x91c82b…
10-26 14:17:15	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0xe757a6…
10-21 02:30:08	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	203	97¢	$198	0x112e92…
10-17 19:02:14	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	120	93¢	$112	0x160c60…
10-17 19:02:12	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0xff189b…
10-17 19:02:12	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	94	93¢	$87	0xbe885f…
10-17 16:04:56	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	214	93¢	$200	0x6ff685…
10-16 08:49:09	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	SELL	53	4¢	$2	0xb429d3…
10-16 08:41:12	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0x4f6ef4…
10-16 02:30:09	will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get at least 20 million views on day 1	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4bd07b…
10-16 02:16:33	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	85	4¢	$3	0xf897bb…
10-16 01:59:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,021	98¢	$1,000	0xac8d33…
10-16 01:34:57	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	555	99¢	$550	0xdd07e3…
10-15 13:31:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	70¢	$105	0x626885…
10-14 20:37:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0x72648a…
10-14 20:22:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x66d029…
10-14 11:23:11	will the openai spy be accused of working for china by december 31 20261014120000000	No	BUY	110	90¢	$99	0x569540…
10-14 08:20:13	will the openai spy be accused of working for china by december 31 20261014120000000	No	BUY	16	91¢	$14	0x7752d4…
10-14 08:19:17	will the openai spy be accused of working for china by december 31 20261014120000000	Yes	SELL	136	9¢	$12	0xb463ba…
10-14 07:52:35	will the openai spy be accused of working for china by december 31 20261014120000000	Yes	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0xb6c336…
10-13 15:08:35	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	408	98¢	$400	0x76702b…
10-13 15:07:56	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x83976f…
10-13 14:37:19	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x8bad1f…
10-13 07:55:41	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	73	17¢	$13	0xdd2130…
10-13 04:15:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x44832d…
10-12 17:24:48	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x2b0e77…
10-12 17:24:41	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0xf14025…
10-12 15:19:32	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	511	98¢	$500	0xb75824…
10-12 14:20:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x9463e4…
10-12 13:11:05	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	207	96¢	$200	0xb831e4…
10-12 13:10:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x68e2f8…
10-12 13:08:06	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd97d1a…
10-12 06:10:41	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	73	68¢	$49	0x5e92f9…
09-30 02:15:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xebf292…
09-25 19:54:53	trump renames ai by september 30	No	SELL	277	61¢	$169	0xa58102…
09-21 06:43:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	101	96¢	$97	0x5ec775…
09-21 06:39:32	Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0xe91a2d…
09-21 06:36:48	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	318	94¢	$300	0xeafbd6…
09-21 06:19:31	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	277	95¢	$262	0xfc37d0…
09-14 15:48:06	will bitcoin dip to 68k september 14 20 2026	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xdc61d3…
09-14 15:47:58	will bitcoin dip to 68k september 14 20 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x6b7005…
02-11 02:36:31	bitcoin up or down february 10 10pm et	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc905f9…
02-11 02:36:17	ethereum up or down february 10 10pm et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa5ed6f…
02-05 11:58:19	xrp up or down february 5 7am et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xad3b4f…
02-05 11:58:13	solana up or down february 5 7am et	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3137f8…
02-05 11:58:09	ethereum up or down february 5 7am et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf556f2…
02-05 11:58:07	bitcoin up or down february 5 7am et	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x413a40…
02-05 10:58:19	xrp up or down february 5 6am et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8f5114…
02-05 10:58:15	solana up or down february 5 6am et	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe5b413…
02-05 10:58:11	ethereum up or down february 5 6am et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6950bb…
02-05 10:58:07	bitcoin up or down february 5 6am et	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2cd4ab…
02-05 09:58:13	xrp up or down february 5 5am et	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5d3264…
02-05 08:58:13	xrp up or down february 5 4am et	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x50c66b…
02-05 08:58:07	bitcoin up or down february 5 4am et	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5a6220…
02-05 07:58:17	xrp up or down february 5 3am et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbd989e…
02-05 07:58:15	solana up or down february 5 3am et	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3b5862…
02-05 07:58:09	ethereum up or down february 5 3am et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x380940…
02-05 07:58:05	bitcoin up or down february 5 3am et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xed6845…
02-05 06:58:15	xrp up or down february 5 2am et	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x47b5df…
02-05 06:58:07	ethereum up or down february 5 2am et	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x94aef4…
02-05 05:58:19	xrp up or down february 5 1am et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xafb4b8…
02-05 05:58:13	solana up or down february 5 1am et	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd7b010…
02-05 05:58:11	ethereum up or down february 5 1am et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5684f0…
02-05 05:58:07	bitcoin up or down february 5 1am et	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x00e47e…
02-05 04:58:19	xrp up or down february 5 12am et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa6b3e0…
02-05 04:58:15	solana up or down february 5 12am et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa1ca27…
02-05 04:58:11	ethereum up or down february 5 12am et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb587db…
02-05 04:58:07	bitcoin up or down february 5 12am et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8daa30…
02-05 03:55:07	bitcoin up or down february 4 11pm et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x663d11…
02-05 02:55:19	xrp up or down february 4 10pm et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1507ec…
02-05 02:55:17	solana up or down february 4 10pm et	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdb6608…
02-05 02:55:11	ethereum up or down february 4 10pm et	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5029a9…
02-05 02:55:07	bitcoin up or down february 4 10pm et	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0dba56…
02-05 01:56:17	xrp up or down february 4 9pm et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4fa3e7…
02-05 01:56:13	solana up or down february 4 9pm et	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x19743b…
02-05 01:56:07	bitcoin up or down february 4 9pm et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4c2ad6…
02-05 00:56:17	xrp up or down february 4 8pm et	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6275b8…
02-05 00:56:13	solana up or down february 4 8pm et	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x79d7e4…
02-05 00:56:07	bitcoin up or down february 4 8pm et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x585d5f…
02-04 23:56:21	bitcoin up or down february 4 7pm et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc08cf4…
02-04 23:56:17	xrp up or down february 4 7pm et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5f35e5…
02-04 23:56:13	solana up or down february 4 7pm et	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x44fd0d…
02-04 22:56:13	xrp up or down february 4 6pm et	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf6cb8d…
02-04 21:56:17	xrp up or down february 4 5pm et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8586bc…
02-04 21:56:13	solana up or down february 4 5pm et	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd633cc…
02-04 21:56:09	ethereum up or down february 4 5pm et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0d9b46…
02-04 20:56:17	xrp up or down february 4 4pm et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc15248…
02-04 20:56:13	solana up or down february 4 4pm et	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7d7454…
02-04 20:56:07	bitcoin up or down february 4 4pm et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6fb9ab…
02-04 18:56:19	xrp up or down february 4 2pm et	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa31d2e…
02-04 18:56:15	solana up or down february 4 2pm et	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x33b864…
02-04 18:56:11	ethereum up or down february 4 2pm et	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x22a016…