United-Spacing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.60K

Unrealized P&L

-$667

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

Trades

155

lifetime

Volume

$44.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$287

Open exposure

$4.59K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-20 22:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

46% 86% +$4,137

Other

30% 50% +$170

Tech

19% 0% -$1,703

Crypto

5% 0% -$2

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	No	-2,520	-$2,419	99¢	$-2495	-$76	05-21 03:52
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+2,000	$1,140	55¢	$1.1K	-$50	10-20 22:21
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	+1,133	$510	53¢	$606	+$96	10-20 11:53
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	+399	$195	62¢	$245	+$50	10-20 11:51
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+2,000	$450	6¢	$126	-$324	10-10 11:00
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+2,000	$400	1¢	$21	-$379	10-13 10:36
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	-60	-$18	4¢	$-3	+$16	05-26 12:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	2	$9.9K	5,000	4,950	+50	No	-$5	01-12 15:48
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	24	$8.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$242	06-11 19:22
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$5.6K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	+$1,920	06-15 07:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$3.9K	3,012	3,012	+0	Yes	+$1,604	06-15 07:00
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	37	$3.6K	7,853	7,853	+0	open	—	09-29 21:32
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	10	$3.3K	0	3,454	-3,454	Yes	-$173	05-16 15:17
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	1	$2.4K	0	2,520	-2,520	open	—	05-21 03:52
anthropic vs openai higher valuation on june 30	39	$1.5K	14,200	0	+14,200	Anthropic	-$1,530	06-17 21:38
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	1	$1.4K	0	1,425	-1,425	Yes	-$71	05-16 15:19
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$1.1K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	10-20 22:21
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	1	$580	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$420	03-17 11:20
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?	2	$510	1,133	0	+1,133	open	—	10-20 11:53
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	4	$450	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	10-10 11:00
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	19	$400	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	10-13 10:36
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$259	200	200	+0	Yes	+$119	02-19 06:53
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	1	$198	0	200	-200	No	-$2	02-19 06:51
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$196	0	200	-200	Yes	-$4	02-19 06:51
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$195	399	0	+399	open	—	10-20 11:51
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$1	02-19 06:53
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$23	100	0	+100	Yes	+$77	02-19 06:52
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	1	$18	0	60	-60	open	—	05-26 12:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 22:21:20	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2,000	57¢	$1,140	0xf2af2f…
10-20 11:53:35	Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0x094b29…
10-20 11:51:27	Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	399	49¢	$195	0xa7f50e…
10-20 11:48:06	Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	BUY	633	49¢	$310	0xe8418a…
10-13 10:36:37	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	919	20¢	$184	0xc267cf…
10-13 10:34:53	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0xe6d2e9…
10-13 02:17:15	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x9c443e…
10-13 00:34:41	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x18bcba…
10-13 00:34:21	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa64dec…
10-13 00:34:20	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd682b4…
10-12 15:07:15	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x4cb910…
10-12 15:07:14	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xfda8fd…
10-12 15:07:14	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf680f6…
10-12 15:07:14	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x515b68…
10-12 15:07:14	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x1282fc…
10-12 15:07:11	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xfee5f0…
10-12 15:07:09	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x0d20d3…
10-12 15:07:08	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	47	20¢	$9	0xddf507…
10-12 15:03:39	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	240	20¢	$48	0xf02dcf…
10-12 14:59:41	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xc9823c…
10-10 11:00:21	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x38f211…
10-10 11:00:03	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	306	22¢	$69	0xbefa1f…
10-02 19:26:47	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x031f45…
10-02 16:40:33	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xda5756…
10-02 14:45:08	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	534	20¢	$107	0x1dc909…
09-29 21:32:39	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	OpenAI	SELL	1,228	9¢	$111	0x69f38d…
09-25 12:13:30	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	OpenAI	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x09c39a…
09-25 12:13:29	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	OpenAI	SELL	703	9¢	$63	0x994fe0…
09-25 12:13:29	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	OpenAI	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0x2c657d…
09-24 20:23:12	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x95cc96…
09-24 20:23:09	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	1,630	22¢	$367	0x18869a…
08-07 16:38:07	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0x972aac…
08-06 08:17:32	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xf17687…
08-06 08:10:08	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	SELL	633	15¢	$95	0x4e1047…
08-05 13:38:56	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	SELL	405	15¢	$61	0x67e216…
08-05 13:03:32	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	SELL	758	16¢	$122	0xf84e6f…
07-19 18:25:25	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x297d34…
07-18 20:10:01	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	BUY	83	15¢	$12	0x74caec…
07-08 15:11:52	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	BUY	118	15¢	$18	0xdcd68f…
07-08 14:59:35	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	BUY	300	15¢	$45	0x7315ed…
07-07 18:04:20	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	BUY	300	15¢	$45	0xae9c51…
07-05 14:05:17	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	BUY	52	15¢	$8	0x68b6a5…
07-05 14:04:44	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	BUY	162	15¢	$24	0x3ca4a2…
06-18 10:25:53	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	SELL	268	25¢	$67	0x7c6287…
06-18 10:25:29	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	SELL	1,372	25¢	$343	0x4a3804…
06-18 10:25:04	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	SELL	1,370	26¢	$360	0xa83453…
06-17 21:38:47	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on june 30	OpenAI	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0xe5ab1a…
06-16 08:42:33	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	SELL	431	32¢	$138	0x658149…
06-15 07:02:45	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	OpenAI	SELL	605	32¢	$196	0x5bccff…
06-15 07:01:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	4,000	94¢	$3,760	0x649827…
06-15 07:00:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,012	92¢	$2,771	0xa7f061…
06-11 19:24:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	4,000	46¢	$1,840	0x117e04…
06-11 19:24:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,996	39¢	$1,160	0xad512a…
06-11 19:24:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	39¢	$6	0x1e764a…
06-11 19:22:49	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	SELL	2,019	89¢	$1,788	0xd181a6…
06-11 01:39:36	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on june 30	OpenAI	BUY	4,199	5¢	$210	0x389500…
06-09 22:16:21	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on june 30	OpenAI	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0xaf509b…
06-09 17:50:22	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on june 30	OpenAI	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x31db4a…
06-07 10:41:39	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on june 30	OpenAI	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x390f1b…
06-05 13:19:04	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on june 30	OpenAI	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x10eeb9…
06-05 13:18:55	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on june 30	OpenAI	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x188e37…
06-05 13:18:33	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on june 30	OpenAI	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xcaec58…
06-05 13:17:58	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on june 30	OpenAI	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x51e1f6…
06-05 13:17:48	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on june 30	OpenAI	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x24eed4…
06-05 13:17:37	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on june 30	OpenAI	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x619b41…
06-05 13:17:22	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on june 30	OpenAI	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x41743d…
06-05 13:17:09	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on june 30	OpenAI	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0xede34d…
06-05 13:16:51	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on june 30	OpenAI	BUY	76	8¢	$6	0x203d09…
06-03 07:32:51	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?	OpenAI	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xe86aa2…
06-03 06:57:16	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?	OpenAI	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x68f7ba…
06-02 05:12:12	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	19	94¢	$17	0xe4f6b4…
06-02 03:26:46	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?	OpenAI	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xb673ab…
06-01 22:14:58	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?	OpenAI	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xe199f5…
06-01 22:14:55	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?	OpenAI	BUY	90	9¢	$8	0x09e38d…
06-01 20:41:07	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0x10a590…
06-01 04:41:09	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?	OpenAI	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x10c3c7…
06-01 02:11:31	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x9b34a7…
05-31 23:12:42	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?	OpenAI	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x92fbbc…
05-31 15:49:29	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?	OpenAI	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xad9e51…
05-31 14:58:16	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0x07c31f…
05-30 22:29:22	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?	OpenAI	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x98b9dc…
05-30 18:58:19	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?	OpenAI	BUY	144	10¢	$14	0x660572…
05-30 14:13:53	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x21c027…
05-30 13:58:42	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	79	94¢	$74	0x710f4b…
05-30 08:21:49	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa98b95…
05-30 08:20:57	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0926a7…
05-30 08:20:48	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xee068e…
05-30 08:20:48	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb75d7c…
05-30 08:20:39	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd59d05…
05-30 08:20:37	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4e4120…
05-30 08:20:29	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa9f542…
05-30 08:20:29	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x395705…
05-30 08:20:27	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x838d60…
05-30 08:20:18	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa773de…
05-30 06:12:42	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?	OpenAI	BUY	153	10¢	$15	0xc96aa4…
05-30 02:57:26	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x0a4e51…
05-29 02:22:19	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0x756d32…
05-28 21:45:20	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0xbc414f…
05-27 17:29:26	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	368	94¢	$346	0x4798a3…
05-26 12:41:47	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	91¢	$910	0x9564fa…