Competent-Ramie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$53

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

Trades

168

lifetime

Volume

$1.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-25

last 05-10 14:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 46% -$42

Other

34% 42% -$26

Politics

8% 80% +$76

Tech

5% 14% -$62

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-10).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+102	$10	2¢	$2	-$8	05-08 03:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$321	424	374	+50	No	+$51	04-22 14:50
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	2	$101	103	103	+0	No	+$39	04-27 11:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 13:05 UTC	6	$78	66	65	+1	Up	-$3	03-26 13:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 10:20 UTC	5	$74	44	40	+4	Up	+$6	03-26 10:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 10:25 UTC	4	$68	67	37	+30	Down	-$14	03-26 10:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 10:40 UTC	6	$60	49	48	+1	Up	+$7	03-26 10:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$50	1,250	0	+1,250	No	-$50	04-07 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:10 UTC	5	$46	27	27	+0	Up	+$2	03-26 12:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:30 UTC	6	$40	29	29	+0	Up	+$4	03-26 11:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$37	45	45	+0	No	+$17	05-10 14:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:05 UTC	4	$37	37	37	+1	Up	-$3	03-26 12:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 10:45 UTC	4	$35	28	28	+0	Up	+$4	03-26 10:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:40 UTC	2	$35	29	28	+0	Up	+$5	03-26 12:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:45 UTC	6	$33	28	28	+0	Down	+$1	03-26 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 10:35 UTC	2	$23	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	03-26 10:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 10:50 UTC	2	$22	24	24	+0	Down	+$2	03-26 10:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:50 UTC	4	$22	18	18	+0	Up	+$2	03-26 11:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:45 UTC	2	$21	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	03-26 12:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 10:30 UTC	1	$20	50	0	+50	Down	-$20	03-26 10:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$20	95	0	+95	No	-$20	05-01 04:30
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$20	191	0	+191	No	-$20	04-24 04:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:30 UTC	3	$19	21	11	+10	Down	-$1	03-26 12:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:55 UTC	3	$17	20	7	+13	Down	-$3	03-26 12:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:35 UTC	3	$15	26	15	+12	Up	-$4	03-26 12:39
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$13	269	269	+0	No	+$3	05-10 14:56
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	2	$12	16	16	+0	No	+$2	05-10 14:56
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	41	0	+41	No	-$10	05-04 11:52
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?	1	$10	50	0	+50	No	-$10	05-01 04:33
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$10	56	0	+56	Yes	-$10	05-01 04:31
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	117	0	+117	No	-$10	05-04 11:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 14:56:50	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0x41e4b3…
05-10 14:56:44	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	269	3¢	$8	0xd13bc7…
05-10 14:56:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	45	59¢	$27	0xdc27f2…
05-08 03:29:38	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	10¢	$10	0x85af3d…
05-04 12:01:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xde1b96…
05-04 11:53:02	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	9¢	$10	0xedbd84…
05-04 11:52:50	Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	25¢	$10	0x2622e6…
05-01 04:34:30	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x2ae724…
05-01 04:34:26	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0x22bffa…
05-01 04:33:28	Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x87415a…
05-01 04:33:18	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x57dafe…
05-01 04:32:18	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x44d310…
05-01 04:32:06	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0xe49dfa…
05-01 04:32:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	269	2¢	$5	0x446c1c…
05-01 04:31:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x6b00a5…
05-01 04:30:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x33cad5…
05-01 04:29:58	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x7c37a0…
04-27 11:15:06	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	103	68¢	$70	0x7378af…
04-24 04:17:38	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	6¢	$10	0x65d519…
04-22 14:50:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x40611e…
04-22 14:49:12	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xa9874b…
04-22 14:48:20	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	103	30¢	$31	0x6f48a7…
04-22 14:47:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	143	90¢	$129	0xbe67e6…
04-20 13:50:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x579804…
04-16 03:51:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	231	25¢	$58	0x57bb2a…
04-07 15:28:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x2510dd…
04-07 15:25:43	will trump praise allah again by april 15	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x04341c…
04-07 15:25:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0xc99d78…
04-07 15:23:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,250	4¢	$50	0x1a8c78…
04-02 08:59:57	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 27 387	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xae2ab7…
03-26 13:11:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 13:05 UTC	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xd8a5e4…
03-26 13:09:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 13:05 UTC	Down	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x6e6754…
03-26 13:07:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xbaee0b…
03-26 13:06:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 13:05 UTC	Up	SELL	20	66¢	$14	0x1e95cf…
03-26 13:05:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xf2646d…
03-26 13:05:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xc7708c…
03-26 13:03:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x90d7f8…
03-26 13:01:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3d4e0d…
03-26 12:48:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	13	82¢	$11	0xdbbb31…
03-26 12:46:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x26f130…
03-26 12:41:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:40 UTC	Down	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0x11e584…
03-26 12:40:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xbc152d…
03-26 12:39:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xd5064e…
03-26 12:38:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:35 UTC	Up	SELL	15	37¢	$5	0xa6ef35…
03-26 12:35:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xd0dc50…
03-26 12:32:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x9f9f30…
03-26 12:31:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xb0a94d…
03-26 12:30:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x60bb4a…
03-26 12:23:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x382e6d…
03-26 12:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x683c24…
03-26 12:16:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x495037…
03-26 12:16:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xe124fd…
03-26 12:15:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd54f05…
03-26 12:15:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbc1106…
03-26 12:15:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:10 UTC	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x29393a…
03-26 12:14:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x545264…
03-26 12:12:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:10 UTC	Down	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x865c65…
03-26 12:11:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8a8b3c…
03-26 12:11:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8f608a…
03-26 12:10:39	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	62	6¢	$4	0x1663e5…
03-26 12:10:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:05 UTC	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0xb5697d…
03-26 12:09:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:05 UTC	Down	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0x736276…
03-26 12:08:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x10bdb9…
03-26 12:05:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xd944f8…
03-26 12:02:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:55 UTC	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x63187b…
03-26 12:01:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0xaa3e21…
03-26 12:01:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xda6650…
03-26 11:55:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc5047b…
03-26 11:55:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xfcd927…
03-26 11:52:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:50 UTC	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xc1a11e…
03-26 11:52:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:50 UTC	Down	SELL	8	65¢	$6	0xc0aeb0…
03-26 11:50:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x6d4716…
03-26 11:50:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x67758a…
03-26 11:49:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x1e695e…
03-26 11:46:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:45 UTC	Up	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x556dd2…
03-26 11:46:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x8b7dcc…
03-26 11:45:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x2a4bb6…
03-26 11:45:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa06304…
03-26 11:45:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x51ac32…
03-26 11:44:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x41b451…
03-26 11:42:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:40 UTC	Down	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xbe6a9e…
03-26 11:41:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x4125db…
03-26 11:40:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x50da1e…
03-26 11:40:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdc7034…
03-26 11:40:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xaaf718…
03-26 11:37:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x35ce88…
03-26 11:35:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2f352b…
03-26 11:35:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0b37f9…
03-26 11:34:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:30 UTC	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x4dca66…
03-26 11:33:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x76a401…
03-26 11:32:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:30 UTC	Down	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x79759f…
03-26 11:31:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	86¢	$8	0x9b703c…
03-26 11:31:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xbc3ceb…
03-26 11:30:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa22c9b…
03-26 11:29:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3ad295…
03-26 10:51:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 10:50 UTC	Up	SELL	24	48¢	$12	0x7e2f4a…
03-26 10:50:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xa4ffc1…
03-26 10:49:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 10:45 UTC	Down	SELL	8	82¢	$6	0x7b11d0…
03-26 10:47:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x489b86…
03-26 10:46:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xc16eff…