Velvety-Cameo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

56.9%

Resolved

122

Trades

3,050

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-02-15

last 07-21 14:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 56% $-51

Other

49% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+45	$20	40¢	$18	$-2	07-21 14:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$203	109	109	+0	open	—	05-01 20:43
highest temperature in paris on march 4 2026 17c	77	$147	946	155	+792	open	—	03-04 11:38
highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 14c	44	$115	379	379	+0	open	—	03-04 11:36
highest temperature in ankara on march 4 2026 7c	70	$111	905	189	+716	open	—	03-04 04:30
highest temperature in seattle on march 3 2026 50 51f	113	$95	264	264	+0	open	—	03-03 20:59
highest temperature in miami on february 20 2026 82 83f	15	$94	78	78	+0	open	—	02-20 00:58
highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 13c	40	$79	397	397	+0	open	—	03-04 10:10
highest temperature in ankara on march 29 2026 10c	7	$70	53	53	+0	open	—	03-29 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	12	$65	49	48	+1	open	—	04-24 20:34
highest temperature in ankara on march 22 2026 11c	4	$57	56	56	+0	open	—	03-22 10:23
highest temperature in ankara on march 23 2026 11c	8	$57	70	70	+0	open	—	03-23 10:15
highest temperature in nyc on february 15 2026 38 39f	4	$56	85	85	+0	open	—	02-15 21:52
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 19 2026 28corbelow	14	$55	297	297	+0	open	—	02-19 11:22
btc updown 5m 1776981900	3	$53	34	33	+1	open	—	04-23 22:10
highest temperature in atlanta on february 20 2026 74 75f	6	$51	41	40	+1	open	—	02-20 07:10
btc updown 5m 1773780000	3	$50	35	34	+1	open	—	03-17 20:45
highest temperature in nyc on march 3 2026 40 41f	47	$49	179	179	+0	open	—	03-03 20:51
highest temperature in taipei on april 14 2026 34corhigher	2	$48	41	40	+2	open	—	04-14 06:25
highest temperature in seoul on march 4 2026 7c	29	$47	331	118	+213	open	—	03-04 00:53
btc updown 5m 1776982200	2	$43	63	0	+63	open	—	04-23 22:11
highest temperature in ankara on march 4 2026 10corhigher	18	$43	142	142	+0	open	—	03-04 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	8	$42	26	26	+0	open	—	04-24 22:51
highest temperature in ankara on march 30 2026 7c	3	$41	28	28	+0	open	—	03-30 12:59
highest temperature in dallas on march 5 2026 82 83f	4	$40	79	0	+79	open	—	03-05 21:52
highest temperature in milan on april 2 2026 18c	8	$37	37	36	+1	open	—	04-02 13:15
highest temperature in seoul on february 18 2026 5c	5	$36	23	23	+0	open	—	02-18 05:04
highest temperature in dallas on february 18 2026 78 79f	6	$36	24	23	+1	open	—	02-18 21:51
btc updown 5m 1773694200	2	$36	19	19	+0	open	—	03-16 20:56
highest temperature in chicago on february 25 2026 32 33f	13	$36	102	102	+0	open	—	02-25 13:40
highest temperature in milan on april 9 2026 23c	4	$33	26	25	+1	open	—	04-09 17:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 14:16:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x281380…
05-21 13:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x905eca…
05-21 12:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x0d28f0…
05-21 11:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xfc9533…
05-21 10:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x25f58e…
05-21 10:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x4627a7…
05-21 10:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xf86d6d…
05-21 02:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x8c9972…
05-21 02:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x7ecab7…
05-21 02:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xde7bc3…
05-21 01:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x735a36…
05-21 00:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x81e50b…
05-20 23:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x0fa6ef…
05-20 22:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x539524…
05-20 22:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xcd8d35…
05-20 21:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x8a0989…
05-20 21:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x8a80a3…
05-20 21:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xe82307…
05-20 20:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xbfa8ff…
05-20 20:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x32cce6…
05-20 19:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xb1b839…
05-20 18:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xdf57bf…
05-20 18:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xb14a2b…
05-20 18:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xaea31f…
05-20 17:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xdf01d0…
05-20 17:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xdd5d3f…
05-20 17:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x593377…
05-20 17:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x17b193…
05-20 17:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xbaec6f…
05-20 17:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xe23f4f…
05-20 16:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x0b8498…
05-20 16:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x239b6a…
05-20 16:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x309787…
05-20 16:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xb837fc…
05-20 15:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x90defc…
05-20 15:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x49e1e0…
05-20 14:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x57a548…
05-20 14:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xfab658…
05-20 14:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x0dffbf…
05-20 14:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x443d17…
05-20 14:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x1801c3…
05-20 14:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x38aec2…
05-20 14:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x95e591…
05-20 14:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x4c849b…
05-20 14:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x0d38c9…
05-20 13:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xddde34…
05-20 13:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x1b189a…
05-20 13:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xd7e420…
05-20 12:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x78e592…
05-20 10:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x1d8cad…
05-20 10:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xeceb51…
05-20 08:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x62d185…
05-20 07:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xe56074…
05-20 06:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x27a2d5…
05-20 06:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x8e90e1…
05-20 05:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x4ab119…
05-20 04:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x9e2d87…
05-20 03:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xf543c9…
05-20 03:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x2bad20…
05-20 02:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xc36878…
05-20 02:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x742a5d…
05-20 02:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x0d4e8c…
05-20 01:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xeebc91…
05-20 01:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x98546b…
05-20 01:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x05f8c9…
05-20 00:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x1eb4e5…
05-20 00:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x35726d…
05-19 22:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x820e6a…
05-19 22:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x0dec14…
05-19 16:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x6ac6cb…
05-19 16:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x76a9a9…
05-19 15:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xd95bbd…
05-19 15:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x289fce…
05-19 15:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x32c47e…
05-19 15:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xd9701b…
05-19 15:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xbcfef6…
05-19 14:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x44115f…
05-19 14:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x791fce…
05-19 14:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xc834dc…
05-19 14:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xc2f474…
05-19 14:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x5e178a…
05-19 14:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x2221c6…
05-19 14:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x5eeed4…
05-19 14:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x652503…
05-19 14:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xc63701…
05-19 14:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xd23d17…
05-19 14:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xa19354…
05-19 13:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x99295a…
05-19 13:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x404cfe…
05-19 13:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xe20747…
05-19 13:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xceb3e1…
05-19 13:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x2c8c5c…
05-19 13:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x577c95…
05-19 13:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xce55ea…
05-19 13:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x36ab1f…
05-19 13:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xe15ec4…
05-19 12:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x22ca83…
05-19 10:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x77538c…
05-19 10:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x6aaaab…
05-19 09:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xd23d4c…