Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

92.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$540

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$84

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-16 12:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% — —

Tech

16% — —

Politics

12% 100% +$27

Crypto

7% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes		-100	$-52	50¢	$-50	+$2	06-16 03:10
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No		+36	$33	94¢	$34	+$0	06-16 04:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	01-22 06:56
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	1	$52	0	100	-100	open	—	06-16 03:10
will anthropic ipo by june 30 2026	4	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	06-16 12:27
bill clinton charged by march 31	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	03-15 09:13
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	04-22 16:54
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	02-25 15:00
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	3	$33	36	0	+36	open	—	06-16 04:28
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	04-22 16:45
trump declassifies new ufo files by february 28	1	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	02-25 19:09
GTA VI released before June 2026?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	03-15 09:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$22	49	0	+49	Yes	+$27	01-10 17:38
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-15 09:16
will backpack launch a token on march 24	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-15 09:16
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	03-15 09:14
Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-22 16:47
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	1	$5	732	0	+732	open	—	04-22 16:46
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$2	12	12	+0	open	—	04-22 16:50
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	1	$2	55	0	+55	open	—	01-10 17:45
Katana FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$2	600	0	+600	No	$-2	03-16 02:16
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 24, 2026?	1	$2	87	0	+87	open	—	04-22 16:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 12:27:40	will anthropic ipo by june 30 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x36026c…
06-16 10:52:30	will anthropic ipo by june 30 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5431fc…
06-16 09:00:46	will anthropic ipo by june 30 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6e9c46…
06-16 09:00:03	will anthropic ipo by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa27e39…
06-16 04:28:51	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x2878a8…
06-16 04:21:48	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xebc332…
06-16 03:23:31	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x310174…
06-16 03:10:42	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x00c0f8…
04-22 16:54:54	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x6e491e…
04-22 16:50:02	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x9a4ca6…
04-22 16:47:06	Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6acdcc…
04-22 16:46:34	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	732	1¢	$5	0xab3c87…
04-22 16:46:00	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0x65b316…
04-22 16:45:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0x5dd1cb…
03-16 02:16:53	Katana FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$2	0x242f84…
03-15 09:16:43	Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x055872…
03-15 09:16:31	will backpack launch a token on march 24	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x500d29…
03-15 09:14:15	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x228fc9…
03-15 09:13:35	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$27	0x0b63d0…
03-15 09:13:09	bill clinton charged by march 31	No	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0xa3af33…
02-25 19:09:52	trump declassifies new ufo files by february 28	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xdcb37b…
02-25 15:04:32	bill clinton charged by march 31	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x4dc99a…
02-25 15:00:24	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x6136f2…
01-22 06:56:52	Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xc48714…
01-10 17:45:56	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0xcbcfcf…
01-10 17:45:06	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0xd0c40b…
01-10 17:38:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	45¢	$22	0xad5c65…