Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
74
lifetime
Volume
$251
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$10
5 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 06-28 22:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
85% 0% $-6
Other
15%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -4 $-3 100¢ $-4 $-1 06-12 21:09
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +4 $3 86¢ $3 +$0 05-28 23:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -8 $-3 16¢ $-1 +$1 06-10 22:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +1 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 05-28 23:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -4 $-1 12¢ $-1 +$0 06-01 20:31