Realized P&L
-$101
Unrealized P&L
+$52
Hit rate
81.6%
Resolved
177
Trades
320
lifetime
Volume
$4.79K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$32
5 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 08-30 15:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Crypto
77% 54% -$161
Politics
12% 43% +$27
Other
11% 40% +$28
Sports
0% 50% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -16 -$10 88¢ $-14 -$4 05-06 10:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -244 -$98 6¢ $-13 +$84 04-30 11:56
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? Yes -36 $37 8¢ $-3 -$40 07-10 10:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -11 -$8 8¢ $-1 +$7 06-17 21:37
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes -44 -$6 1¢ $-1 +$5 07-10 10:25