Unsightly-Initialize — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$302

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

55.8%

Resolved

2,708

Trades

38,611

lifetime

Volume

$49.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 09-19 13:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Other

55% 40% +$334

Politics

28% 48% +$2

Crypto

12% 35% -$101

Sports

5% 50% +$72

Tech

0% 56% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 22% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	No	-5	-$5	100¢	$-5	$0	09-19 13:19
Will Alexander Volkanovski be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	-25	$0	3¢	$-1	-$1	06-15 14:20
Will Khamzat Chimaev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	-21	$0	1¢	$-0	$0	07-04 20:50
Will Alexandre Pantoja be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	-25	$0	0¢	$-0	$0	05-27 17:53
Will Magomed Ankalaev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	-5	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	05-19 13:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	167	$816	527	535	-9	Yes	+$8	02-28 06:23
will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	616	$523	8,280	6,782	+1,498	No	-$27	01-31 13:27
will the us next strike iran on january 25 2026 et 395	626	$497	9,563	8,525	+1,038	No	-$16	01-26 16:13
will the us next strike iran on january 30 2026 et 866	645	$473	10,431	9,253	+1,178	No	-$10	01-31 07:58
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	380	$436	6,794	7,407	-613	No	+$16	01-30 19:13
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 480 499	171	$430	2,781	2,746	+35	No	+$3	01-23 14:40
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	136	$427	451	451	+0	Yes	-$5	02-28 06:22
will the us next strike iran on january 26 2026 et 241	655	$397	13,824	11,175	+2,649	No	+$8	01-27 00:44
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	70	$395	265	257	+8	Yes	-$12	02-20 11:58
will the us next strike iran on january 21 2026 et 774	478	$376	17,958	14,454	+3,504	No	-$15	01-22 02:47
hd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 24 2026 2pt52	91	$361	201	275	-74	Yes	-$10	02-24 10:52
will the us next strike iran on january 24 2026 et 848	458	$349	5,427	5,141	+286	No	+$22	01-26 20:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	138	$332	558	558	+0	No	+$0	03-31 10:34
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	607	$295	5,658	5,565	+94	No	+$1	03-31 14:57
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	274	$295	2,041	2,565	-523	No	+$32	03-03 13:52
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	129	$280	2,387	2,587	-200	No	+$10	03-24 18:58
will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	402	$272	5,205	4,273	+933	No	-$18	01-24 06:35
will sinners win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	414	$265	2,121	2,300	-179	Yes	+$12	03-16 00:31
will the us next strike iran on january 29 2026 et 159	536	$263	9,275	7,937	+1,338	No	-$23	01-31 15:33
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	324	$253	4,831	6,367	-1,536	No	+$17	03-19 04:29
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	274	$247	4,381	4,539	-158	No	$0	01-31 00:41
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	171	$237	1,425	1,304	+121	Yes	+$105	01-22 17:28
will the us next strike iran on january 27 2026 et 332	472	$234	8,821	8,749	+72	No	-$1	01-28 12:24
will the us next strike iran on january 18 2026 et 229	279	$228	3,544	3,251	+293	No	+$5	01-17 14:07
will the us next strike iran on january 28 2026 et 699	562	$227	8,312	7,554	+758	No	+$5	01-28 23:41
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	114	$226	634	573	+61	No	-$7	03-31 09:59
US strike on Cuba by January 31?	248	$214	3,904	5,245	-1,342	No	+$27	02-01 04:20
will allstate run an ad during super bowl lx	39	$206	161	162	-0	No	-$1	02-08 20:55
will the us next strike iran on january 17 2026 et 219	206	$206	2,821	2,904	-83	No	-$12	01-19 23:50
will the us next strike iran on march 2 2026 et	36	$205	92	124	-33	No	+$1	02-28 08:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 13:19:30	Will Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9fc27e…
07-28 13:16:26	Will Diego Lopes be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x2ab5eb…
07-05 17:24:38	Will Dominick Reyes be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x151c2f…
07-04 20:50:43	Will Khamzat Chimaev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x367f42…
07-04 20:50:35	Will Dominick Reyes be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xb0ff5d…
06-24 13:34:50	Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0xcb91fa…
06-21 06:29:28	Will Mateusz Gamrot be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	0¢	$0	0x3e78a8…
06-17 20:18:53	Will Rafael Fiziev be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x0d69b4…
06-15 14:20:34	Will Alexander Volkanovski be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x5b47ca…
06-13 17:12:52	Will Curtis Blaydes be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xd8073e…
06-13 17:06:46	Will Curtis Blaydes be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xff2e0b…
06-07 11:01:28	Will Khamzat Chimaev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x37525b…
06-06 05:53:12	Will Curtis Blaydes be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x980dce…
06-05 18:04:36	Will Khamzat Chimaev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x6dcfbe…
06-03 18:49:30	Will Ashlyn Krueger win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	SELL	81	0¢	$0	0x584352…
06-01 03:07:14	Will Ashlyn Krueger win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x2e1391…
06-01 03:05:25	Will Ashlyn Krueger win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x481d50…
05-29 21:23:47	Will Belal Muhammad be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x6f2c79…
05-29 21:16:35	Will Jack Della Maddalena be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0x2be11a…
05-27 17:53:14	Will Alexandre Pantoja be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0xd876b9…
05-27 17:53:14	Will Dricus Du Plessis be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	0¢	$0	0xb82427…
05-27 17:53:14	Will Tom Aspinall be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0xb5fc81…
05-27 04:43:34	Will Ashlyn Krueger win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xd36512…
05-24 19:11:39	Will Joshua Van be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x95c795…
05-24 19:01:08	Will Petr Yan be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x65128b…
05-24 09:49:12	Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x2609b0…
05-24 05:16:39	Will Alex Pereira be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x5521da…
05-22 19:15:27	Will Jack Della Maddalena be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x5add0a…
05-22 18:26:04	Will Jack Della Maddalena be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0x8cfe04…
05-22 18:08:46	Will Jack Della Maddalena be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x36443c…
05-19 13:54:55	Will Magomed Ankalaev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xea29e0…
05-19 13:47:56	Will Rafael Fiziev be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd97782…
05-19 13:47:56	Will Leon Edwards be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xb08f80…
05-18 00:31:30	Will Sean Brady be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xe16c50…
05-16 07:26:48	Will Rafael Fiziev be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x11c212…
05-16 07:09:42	Will Rafael Fiziev be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xfc6052…
05-13 01:53:38	Will Carlos Prates be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x6ef3a7…
05-13 00:49:14	Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x97651f…
05-12 23:15:54	Will Cardi B and Stefon Diggs get engaged in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xde87aa…
05-11 20:14:30	Will West Ham United place 17th for the 2025-26 English Premier League season?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xed6342…
05-11 16:10:33	Will Dominick Reyes be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x7a4ed4…
05-11 14:20:53	Will West Ham United place 17th for the 2025-26 English Premier League season?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xec3fc9…
05-10 05:44:44	Will Brendan Allen be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	1¢	$0	0x79ac56…
05-10 05:01:09	Will Brendan Allen be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	0¢	$0	0xe808a0…
05-09 23:51:14	Will Rabby launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xe68ae1…
05-09 23:41:12	Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xf81582…
05-09 16:11:36	Will Anthony Hernandez be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xd05a6e…
05-08 23:32:00	Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	4¢	$3	0xb086fb…
05-08 15:16:06	Will Brendan Allen be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$0	0xdc2832…
05-08 15:05:22	Will Brendan Allen be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x530fa5…
05-07 23:05:23	Will "Watch Me!" by YOASOBI (WITCH WATCH) win Best Anime Song at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x3ee637…
05-07 20:04:33	Will Oțelul Galați win Romania SuperLiga?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xe3bc53…
05-07 20:01:37	Will Oțelul Galați win Romania SuperLiga?	Yes	SELL	66	0¢	$0	0x18927d…
05-07 16:58:42	Will Dan Hooker be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x16be0d…
05-07 16:44:41	Will Metaloglobus win Romania SuperLiga?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xfac82c…
05-07 16:44:39	Will Unirea Slobozia win Romania SuperLiga?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xe92af2…
05-07 16:44:39	Will Mateusz Gamrot be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x2b7301…
05-07 11:00:48	Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x8322c9…
05-06 08:11:26	Will Diego Lopes be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x163845…
05-05 18:44:32	Will Carlos Prates be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xc59732…
05-05 16:09:16	Will Leon Edwards be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0xd712b4…
05-04 19:58:00	Will Diego Lopes be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xe9fb04…
05-03 08:41:32	Will Israel Adesanya be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0x911d59…
05-01 10:58:16	Will Alexander Volkanovski be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xfbf90d…
05-01 08:10:38	Will Leon Edwards be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x6eb324…
05-01 07:38:54	Will Leon Edwards be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x10ccf8…
05-01 07:08:16	Will Tom Aspinall be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x968eba…
05-01 03:10:54	Will Curtis Blaydes be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x5f0ab0…
04-30 15:43:26	Will Israel Adesanya be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x19c4ab…
04-30 15:35:34	Will Petr Yan be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xc21be3…
04-30 15:35:32	Will Israel Adesanya be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	0¢	$0	0x6275e6…
04-30 15:35:28	Will Rafael Fiziev be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x583eec…
04-30 15:31:44	Will Petr Yan be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xca5eb1…
04-28 02:44:52	Will GamerLegion win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x258ae1…
04-27 16:07:44	Will GamerLegion win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x4016f4…
04-27 04:11:58	Will Tom Homan be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xebe563…
04-25 14:07:24	Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $41,500 (HIGH) by April 30?	No	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0xd67097…
04-24 06:18:56	Will "Watch Me!" by YOASOBI (WITCH WATCH) win Best Anime Song at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x70ff60…
04-24 04:48:36	Will GamerLegion win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x014feb…
04-24 00:20:42	Will Detroit Lions draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0x4762cd…
04-23 04:10:12	den nor agf 2026 04 23 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xae99ea…
04-22 20:02:52	Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x527c10…
04-22 16:02:22	den nor agf 2026 04 23 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x04a7fa…
04-22 00:19:38	Will GamerLegion win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x4f4179…
04-21 18:44:16	rus ore nov 2026 04 22 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x03c378…
04-21 17:27:04	Will Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0xab2cc7…
04-21 16:22:34	Will Lens place 2nd for the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	No	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x14a54c…
04-21 06:30:06	kbo kt han 2026 04 01	Hanwha Eagles	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x9ba6fc…
04-21 04:17:56	Will Buffalo Bills draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xe41ccb…
04-20 09:45:26	rus akr mak 2026 04 23 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	23	19¢	$4	0xac70a9…
04-20 09:04:24	Will FaZe win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xdd5dc0…
04-19 16:40:32	rus csk ros 2026 04 21 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xf49086…
04-19 15:09:02	Will the US add between 200k and 250k jobs in April?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xe4ed73…
04-19 14:44:30	Will Zalgiris Kaunas win the 2025-26 Euroleague?	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x5ec564…
04-19 13:37:58	Fluminense FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x9798ea…
04-19 04:28:22	nor vif lil 2026 04 19 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x194e60…
04-19 04:12:18	rus spa ter 2026 04 19 spread home 2pt5	FK Spartak Moskva	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x48b295…
04-19 00:16:48	nor vif lil 2026 04 19 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xb3e1a7…
04-19 00:08:38	rus csk ros 2026 04 21 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x561830…
04-18 23:37:42	Will Buffalo Bills draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x64d539…