Fake-Copper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13.8K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.2%

Resolved

128

Trades

309

lifetime

Volume

$18.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 07-19 21:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Politics

91% 7% -$13,489

Other

6% 7% -$267

Tech

2% 33% -$30

Sports

0% 20% +$12

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	68	$10.9K	61,230	0	+61,230	Yes	-$10,885	04-21 11:40
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	9	$3.0K	2,855	1,855	+1,000	Yes	+$298	04-08 23:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	24	$1.8K	452,131	340	+451,792	Yes	-$1,817	04-09 20:39
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	9	$964	45,987	13,073	+32,914	No	-$912	04-30 20:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	4	$216	194	190	+3	No	-$1	04-08 01:19
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	5	$199	2,818	2,818	+0	No	-$31	04-08 01:39
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	6	$184	102	102	+0	Yes	+$4	05-17 08:20
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$112	111	111	+0	Yes	+$110	05-16 23:46
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	1	$100	330	0	+330	Yes	-$100	04-13 23:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	10	$70	20,309	1,143	+19,166	No	-$46	04-26 17:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	10	$65	20,309	1,143	+19,166	No	-$51	04-26 17:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$55	163	163	+0	Yes	-$7	04-06 14:41
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	2	$54	45	45	+0	Yes	+$34	07-18 21:50
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	8	$54	858	858	+0	No	+$2	04-08 01:35
will elon musks net worth be between 640b and 650b on march 31	2	$47	38	38	+0	Yes	+$27	03-31 20:15
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$46	80	80	+0	Yes	+$12	07-14 20:10
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?	2	$43	79	0	+79	No	-$43	07-19 21:03
Will France vs. England end in a draw?	3	$31	78	45	+32	No	-$9	07-18 22:31
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$30	80	80	+0	No	+$7	07-15 19:25
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	5	$30	287	0	+287	No	-$30	07-14 20:21
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	1	$26	100	0	+100	No	-$26	07-09 18:51
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	2	$25	2,070	0	+2,070	No	-$25	05-14 21:31
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$23	2,211	2,211	+0	No	-$9	04-08 01:40
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	2	$22	120	0	+120	No	-$22	07-18 22:44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$22	15,400	0	+15,400	No	-$22	04-26 17:33
highest temperature in paris on april 4 2026 16c	2	$22	50	48	+2	No	+$2	04-04 13:01
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	2	$20	128	0	+128	No	-$20	07-14 20:20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	1	$18	63	0	+63	Yes	+$46	07-15 19:26
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	2	$15	106	0	+106	No	-$15	07-09 18:53
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	2	$15	89	0	+89	No	-$15	07-09 18:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:03:55	Spain to score first vs. Argentina?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xfa57ce…
07-19 19:12:07	Spain to score first vs. Argentina?	Yes	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0xabe0b6…
07-18 22:55:55	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0x621b37…
07-18 22:44:22	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x96fa7a…
07-18 22:44:12	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0x56eaa0…
07-18 22:39:13	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x3d60de…
07-18 22:31:16	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x2fe0dc…
07-18 22:31:04	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x34d92f…
07-18 21:50:46	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0x13838d…
07-18 21:17:13	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	45	24¢	$11	0x4b6e51…
07-18 21:02:10	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xad2e19…
07-18 21:02:06	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x56808a…
07-15 19:26:13	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	63	28¢	$18	0x240915…
07-15 19:25:17	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	80	24¢	$19	0x4dfb1e…
07-14 20:49:07	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0x33f49e…
07-14 20:34:47	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 extra time	Yes	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x02bb4b…
07-14 20:21:02	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	150	3¢	$5	0x9bb074…
07-14 20:20:55	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	93	11¢	$10	0x8c21f0…
07-14 20:17:47	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xd5f1e1…
07-14 20:10:59	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	36¢	$11	0x222860…
07-14 20:10:58	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x9a91db…
07-14 20:10:34	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x335bc1…
07-14 19:49:46	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x751f97…
07-14 19:26:59	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x583ba6…
07-14 19:26:44	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x75e834…
07-14 19:26:35	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x11fada…
07-11 21:52:59	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0x3dee12…
07-11 21:00:08	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	80	21¢	$17	0x6ca2fd…
07-11 20:59:34	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	80	14¢	$12	0xf59cef…
07-11 20:58:53	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x744305…
07-09 18:53:05	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0x61b97c…
07-09 18:52:26	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x38b39e…
07-09 18:51:32	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x372f45…
07-09 18:51:07	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	54	19¢	$10	0x0b9fbe…
07-08 16:03:38	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9d2785…
07-08 16:03:31	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xd2f60b…
07-08 16:03:23	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x978500…
07-08 16:03:19	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x9d3588…
07-08 16:02:20	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x575c0f…
07-08 16:02:13	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x274182…
07-08 16:01:19	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xf1f50d…
07-08 16:01:05	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x97ab13…
07-08 15:59:16	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5abbdb…
07-08 15:59:10	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x0c1e7f…
07-08 15:59:05	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xf8b996…
07-08 15:59:01	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x9cda5c…
06-01 15:38:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0x6c6a96…
06-01 15:38:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$6	0xd94435…
05-17 08:20:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0x7b8fe2…
05-17 08:15:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	92¢	$36	0xc3461a…
05-17 08:14:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0xfca2c2…
05-17 08:10:20	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	92¢	$30	0x31c960…
05-17 08:07:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xc23d3a…
05-16 23:55:57	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	88¢	$90	0x7751ef…
05-16 23:55:22	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf10035…
05-16 23:55:17	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0610bd…
05-16 23:55:07	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb47c07…
05-16 23:55:00	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x52c8ce…
05-16 23:54:53	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x281079…
05-16 23:54:46	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xaab955…
05-16 23:54:33	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0xa221e5…
05-16 23:54:26	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$3	0x418b70…
05-16 23:54:19	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xad3d2a…
05-16 23:54:14	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x61a1b9…
05-16 23:54:04	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xdb1186…
05-16 23:53:58	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6d9262…
05-16 23:52:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xd469bd…
05-16 23:51:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x31c023…
05-16 23:51:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x1d0cc7…
05-16 23:51:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x0c6ec2…
05-16 23:46:58	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0xd17c27…
05-14 21:31:36	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,031	1¢	$24	0x223f19…
05-09 19:40:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x25c180…
04-30 20:33:04	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2,500	0¢	$5	0xfbb654…
04-30 20:27:44	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,285	0¢	$3	0x09a0fa…
04-30 20:10:28	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2,294	0¢	$5	0x81009b…
04-30 20:08:30	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	SELL	882	0¢	$2	0x31fa39…
04-30 19:47:52	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	SELL	640	0¢	$1	0x21baea…
04-30 18:55:22	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	SELL	472	0¢	$1	0xd4289e…
04-30 16:08:42	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$10	0x54268a…
04-26 17:33:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x3b377f…
04-26 17:33:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xe3720a…
04-26 17:33:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x4db241…
04-24 09:01:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	109	1¢	$1	0x1bb4d4…
04-24 09:00:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0xa54d39…
04-24 09:00:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0x47ea5d…
04-24 09:00:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	BUY	205	0¢	$1	0x2b0000…
04-24 09:00:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	158	1¢	$1	0x43a85f…
04-24 09:00:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc09110…
04-24 08:59:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x6f8f83…
04-24 08:58:06	highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	119	1¢	$1	0xcae611…
04-24 08:58:02	highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xd43005…
04-24 08:52:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xbe388d…
04-21 11:40:24	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	5,072	5¢	$249	0x294912…
04-21 11:40:18	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x36ef4f…
04-21 11:40:08	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0xf485c5…
04-21 11:40:06	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x9704dc…
04-21 11:40:04	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	9,997	5¢	$490	0xb2e912…
04-21 11:40:04	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x8d7b0c…
04-19 23:36:50	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	16,424	23¢	$3,810	0x6f1dae…