Realized P&L (90d)
-$12
Unrealized P&L
-$91
Hit rate
7.6%
Resolved (90d)
4
Trades (90d)
1,886
1,912 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$113.4K
$115.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$124.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-20 09:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
54% 50% $0
Other
36% — —
Sports
10% 46% -$229
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +37,053 $35,576 96¢ $35.6K +$13 10-19 22:34
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +26,175 $25,039 98¢ $25.6K +$586 10-19 09:25
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +16,331 $12,705 81¢ $13.2K +$499 10-19 07:01
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +9,133 $8,861 98¢ $8.9K +$66 10-10 05:32
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +9,161 $8,017 90¢ $8.2K +$182 10-19 10:10
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +6,476 $5,803 88¢ $5.7K -$72 10-10 10:12
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +3,987 $3,867 98¢ $3.9K +$36 08-25 16:16
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +4,465 $3,722 84¢ $3.7K +$8 10-19 13:42
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +3,587 $3,315 94¢ $3.4K +$75 09-30 16:43
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +16,331 $3,674 19¢ $3.1K -$546 10-19 03:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +3,055 $2,987 99¢ $3.0K +$44 10-16 20:30
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,469 $2,327 92¢ $2.3K -$60 10-19 22:06
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +37,053 $1,488 4¢ $1.5K -$25 10-18 23:41
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,447 $1,271 92¢ $1.3K +$54 08-20 15:28
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +9,161 $1,143 11¢ $962 -$181 10-17 20:13
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +6,476 $660 12¢ $745 +$84 10-06 16:23
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,465 $767 16¢ $734 -$33 10-18 10:50
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +26,175 $1,130 2¢ $550 -$581 10-19 03:25
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +447 $434 98¢ $437 +$3 08-21 10:18
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +334 $318 96¢ $319 +$1 10-20 09:58
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +262 $225 88¢ $229 +$4 08-06 21:31
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +9,133 $277 2¢ $205 -$71 10-06 21:21
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +2,469 $149 8¢ $201 +$53 10-18 17:19
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +3,587 $265 6¢ $197 -$68 09-27 09:14
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,447 $181 8¢ $123 -$58 08-19 00:50
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026 No +124 $118 97¢ $121 +$3 08-05 18:29
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,987 $124 2¢ $84 -$40 08-28 20:44
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +262 $37 12¢ $33 -$4 08-15 16:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? Yes +3,055 $83 1¢ $24 -$58 10-16 01:29
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +334 $20 4¢ $15 -$5 10-17 20:07