Frightened-Thief — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$160

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

$86

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-13 19:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

93% 100% +$160

Politics

4% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes		-97	$-75	88¢	$-86	$-11	06-12 11:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	6	$1.4K	1,966	417	+1,549	open	—	05-28 13:16
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	3	$1.4K	542	883	-341	open	—	05-30 14:06
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	4	$810	1,201	0	+1,201	open	—	05-29 18:51
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe	3	$601	687	0	+687	open	—	05-30 21:11
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	3	$545	380	380	+0	open	—	05-16 07:41
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$507	308	308	+0	T1	+$107	05-10 09:39
lol dk bro2 2026 06 06	5	$408	300	220	+81	open	—	06-06 09:55
lol t1 dk 2026 02 22	2	$350	419	0	+419	open	—	02-22 11:39
lol kt dk 2026 06 07 total games 3pt5	3	$302	177	177	+0	open	—	06-07 10:59
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	3	$302	924	924	+0	open	—	05-30 18:09
lol dnf t1 2026 04 10	1	$300	370	0	+370	open	—	04-10 07:53
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$300	323	0	+323	open	—	05-21 08:58
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	3	$280	523	0	+523	open	—	05-31 18:58
lol t1 fox1 2026 02 15	3	$260	392	0	+392	open	—	02-15 10:38
will sentimental value win best international feature film at the 98th academy awards	2	$248	148	148	+0	open	—	03-16 06:22
lol kt dk 2026 06 07	5	$229	171	171	+0	open	—	06-07 11:13
lol g2 blg 2026 03 22	1	$200	690	0	+690	open	—	03-22 10:02
lol sk lr 2026 02 07	1	$200	444	0	+444	open	—	02-07 17:38
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$200	263	0	+263	open	—	05-28 08:41
lol kt dk 2026 06 07 game4	3	$180	362	0	+362	open	—	06-07 11:13
lol lr g2 2026 02 01	3	$164	422	0	+422	open	—	02-01 21:00
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)	2	$149	184	0	+184	T1	+$35	05-13 08:53
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	3	$137	390	0	+390	open	—	05-16 08:32
lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12	5	$109	485	0	+485	open	—	06-12 11:49
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$100	206	0	+206	open	—	05-14 12:50
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$100	169	0	+169	open	—	02-19 10:29
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	1	$100	244	0	+244	open	—	01-13 05:33
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$100	233	0	+233	open	—	05-01 08:47
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	1	$100	526	0	+526	open	—	05-30 15:58
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$100	230	0	+230	open	—	01-08 22:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 19:07:43	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	138	32¢	$44	0x4ac57d…
06-13 19:07:34	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x8fd9d2…
06-13 07:46:18	lol gen kt 2026 06 13	KT Rolster	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x7ce34d…
06-13 07:46:06	lol gen kt 2026 06 13	KT Rolster	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x0343af…
06-13 05:49:43	lol gen kt 2026 06 13	KT Rolster	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0xf793e7…
06-13 05:48:49	lol gen kt 2026 06 13	KT Rolster	BUY	127	11¢	$14	0xf154ed…
06-12 11:49:33	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12	T1	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xca6c02…
06-12 11:45:24	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12	T1	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x12e4cd…
06-12 11:14:58	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	97	78¢	$75	0x74c4c8…
06-12 10:27:12	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 game3 first blood	T1	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xa06f9a…
06-12 09:27:03	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12	T1	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x782efa…
06-12 09:01:18	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 game1	T1	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x37d8aa…
06-12 08:25:28	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12	T1	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x28e2cd…
06-12 07:10:01	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 total games 3pt5	Under	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x16a5b2…
06-12 07:10:00	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12	T1	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x3da6bb…
06-12 07:10:00	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 game handicap home 2pt5	T1	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x32fb43…
06-11 18:36:45	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x5a432f…
06-08 19:42:06	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	Spurs	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xa22acd…
06-07 11:13:58	lol kt dk 2026 06 07 game4	Dplus KIA	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0xf5651e…
06-07 11:13:28	lol kt dk 2026 06 07	KT Rolster	SELL	36	15¢	$5	0x4c6e2d…
06-07 11:01:25	lol kt dk 2026 06 07 game4	Dplus KIA	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x99582f…
06-07 11:01:07	lol kt dk 2026 06 07 game4	Dplus KIA	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x60b9cf…
06-07 10:59:24	lol kt dk 2026 06 07 total games 3pt5	Over	SELL	177	100¢	$177	0x2859b2…
06-07 10:38:27	lol kt dk 2026 06 07	Dplus KIA	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x2af0be…
06-07 10:13:48	lol kt dk 2026 06 07 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xd8fe12…
06-07 10:13:18	lol kt dk 2026 06 07	KT Rolster	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x211bc0…
06-07 10:12:15	lol kt dk 2026 06 07 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xdb7f5c…
06-07 10:11:51	lol kt dk 2026 06 07	Dplus KIA	SELL	135	88¢	$119	0x5b4419…
06-07 08:48:45	lol kt dk 2026 06 07	Dplus KIA	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x7c69f6…
06-06 09:56:55	lol dk bro2 2026 06 06 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xe5f097…
06-06 09:55:57	lol dk bro2 2026 06 06	Dplus KIA	SELL	109	97¢	$105	0xb390f8…
06-06 09:55:28	lol dk bro2 2026 06 06 game2	Dplus KIA	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x281ada…
06-06 09:54:37	lol dk bro2 2026 06 06	HANJIN BRION	BUY	81	3¢	$2	0x71481e…
06-06 09:19:46	lol dk bro2 2026 06 06 game2	Dplus KIA	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xf71f10…
06-06 09:14:40	lol dk bro2 2026 06 06	Dplus KIA	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x547ada…
06-06 09:13:42	lol dk bro2 2026 06 06	Dplus KIA	SELL	111	90¢	$100	0xb2a813…
06-06 09:11:58	lol dk bro2 2026 06 06	Dplus KIA	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x414f72…
05-31 18:58:05	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Switzerland	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xfd3c06…
05-31 16:58:45	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Switzerland	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x3deafb…
05-31 13:58:50	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Switzerland	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0xbc502c…
05-30 21:11:23	Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe	Jaime Faria	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x265cf8…
05-30 21:01:23	Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe	Jaime Faria	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0xcd4abf…
05-30 20:28:39	Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe	Jaime Faria	BUY	477	84¢	$400	0x5b1fff…
05-30 18:09:07	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	924	11¢	$102	0x37789f…
05-30 15:58:11	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0xff4802…
05-30 14:06:03	LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	SELL	883	100¢	$882	0x2d80b9…
05-30 11:35:36	LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0x5aa00a…
05-30 11:29:08	LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	324	93¢	$300	0x2b66f3…
05-29 18:51:55	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xb1e56f…
05-29 18:03:13	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x51dfe9…
05-29 16:53:02	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	333	60¢	$200	0x90c5a6…
05-29 16:30:42	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0x5ca0f2…
05-28 17:52:45	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x672820…
05-28 17:52:38	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	470	21¢	$100	0xa2a203…
05-28 13:16:55	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	448	67¢	$300	0xb5d28f…
05-28 13:09:26	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	465	64¢	$300	0x1d88e9…
05-28 13:08:37	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	635	63¢	$400	0x2e44bd…
05-28 13:08:21	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Jannik Sinner	SELL	417	36¢	$148	0xeb8577…
05-28 13:05:47	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Jannik Sinner	BUY	113	44¢	$50	0x00c500…
05-28 12:43:25	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Jannik Sinner	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0xf55280…
05-28 08:48:51	LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x0c5825…
05-28 08:41:14	LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	263	76¢	$200	0x926cdf…
05-21 08:58:51	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	323	93¢	$300	0xb76b5d…
05-20 09:27:02	LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Kiwoom DRX	SELL	304	16¢	$49	0xe48afc…
05-20 09:04:50	LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Kiwoom DRX	BUY	304	10¢	$30	0x4b6eaa…
05-16 08:32:45	LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xa0ae42…
05-16 07:48:25	LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xc68478…
05-16 07:42:10	LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	203	38¢	$77	0x2bdda2…
05-16 07:41:40	LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports Challengers	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xac98e0…
05-16 07:41:16	LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports Challengers	SELL	380	64¢	$244	0x4820c2…
05-15 08:02:46	LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports Challengers	BUY	380	79¢	$300	0xa251fb…
05-14 12:50:26	Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	49¢	$100	0x1a09a2…
05-14 10:42:49	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x7bc7ad…
05-14 10:00:02	Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0xa7d5a1…
05-14 09:59:18	Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0xc7e23f…
05-14 09:11:27	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	BNK FEARX	BUY	228	4¢	$10	0x65874d…
05-14 09:11:11	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner	BNK FEARX	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0x049da0…
05-13 08:54:06	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xd05c2b…
05-13 08:53:50	Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)	T1	BUY	61	81¢	$49	0x944a25…
05-13 08:53:47	Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)	T1	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x195e00…
05-12 10:23:15	Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	149	6¢	$9	0xb16c4a…
05-12 10:23:11	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	19¢	$11	0x866c6d…
05-10 13:31:33	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x455d8b…
05-10 13:29:04	Will Cyprus be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	7¢	$10	0x9c044d…
05-10 09:39:24	LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	SELL	308	100¢	$307	0xffc3b6…
05-10 08:15:30	LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	308	65¢	$200	0x836058…
05-01 08:47:38	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xf5a8ce…
04-10 07:53:41	lol dnf t1 2026 04 10	T1	BUY	370	81¢	$300	0x346745…
03-27 08:32:55	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xb6c242…
03-22 10:02:41	lol g2 blg 2026 03 22	G2 Esports	BUY	690	29¢	$200	0xf3a0cf…
03-17 19:04:33	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xddf46c…
03-16 06:22:19	will sentimental value win best international feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	148	100¢	$148	0x2a9e53…
03-01 09:21:11	lol gen fox1 2026 03 01	BNK FEARX	BUY	259	12¢	$30	0x214720…
02-23 16:05:18	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0x53e46f…
02-22 11:39:36	lol t1 dk 2026 02 22	T1	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x6435d2…
02-22 10:59:24	lol t1 dk 2026 02 22	T1	BUY	341	88¢	$300	0x173469…
02-20 20:30:54	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	81	0¢	$0	0x759297…
02-19 10:29:10	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x8d8c0c…
02-19 10:29:02	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xa5c3d3…
02-15 10:38:55	lol t1 fox1 2026 02 15	T1	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xba2035…