Humongous-Guidance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.8%

Resolved

Trades

680

lifetime

Volume

$18.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 05-09 21:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

92% — —

Other

8% 17% $-24

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 5m 1776580500	2	$349	353	+353	open	—	04-19 06:40
xrp updown 5m 1776584100	1	$293	360	+360	open	—	04-19 07:40
btc updown 5m 1776541200	1	$250	255	+255	open	—	04-18 19:45
btc updown 5m 1776554100	1	$250	263	+263	open	—	04-18 23:20
eth updown 5m 1776522900	1	$249	252	+252	open	—	04-18 14:40
sol updown 5m 1776556500	1	$249	252	+252	open	—	04-19 00:00
btc updown 5m 1776536400	1	$249	252	+252	open	—	04-18 18:25
hype updown 5m 1776568800	1	$249	252	+252	open	—	04-19 03:25
eth updown 5m 1776548700	1	$249	257	+257	open	—	04-18 21:50
xrp updown 15m 1776523500	1	$249	257	+257	open	—	04-18 15:00
btc updown 5m 1776575700	1	$249	265	+265	open	—	04-19 05:20
sol updown 15m 1776555000	2	$249	265	+265	open	—	04-18 23:45
eth updown 5m 1776535200	4	$249	265	+265	open	—	04-18 18:05
xrp updown 5m 1776542100	1	$247	263	+263	open	—	04-18 20:00
sol updown 5m 1776524400	4	$247	255	+255	open	—	04-18 15:05
eth updown 15m 1776569400	5	$239	241	+241	open	—	04-19 03:46
sol updown 5m 1776544500	2	$222	230	+230	open	—	04-18 20:40
xrp updown 5m 1776525900	2	$212	216	+216	open	—	04-18 15:30
hype updown 5m 1776572700	1	$175	177	+177	open	—	04-19 04:30
sol updown 5m 1776584700	4	$158	162	+162	open	—	04-19 07:50
btc updown 15m 1776618900	1	$150	153	+153	open	—	04-19 17:30
btc updown 5m 1776604800	1	$150	153	+153	open	—	04-19 13:25
btc updown 15m 1776676500	1	$150	153	+153	open	—	04-20 09:30
btc updown 5m 1776597300	1	$150	153	+153	open	—	04-19 11:20
sol updown 5m 1776670800	1	$149	151	+151	open	—	04-20 07:45
hype updown 5m 1776615600	1	$149	151	+151	open	—	04-19 16:25
btc updown 5m 1776711300	1	$149	151	+151	open	—	04-20 19:00
sol updown 5m 1776658800	1	$149	151	+151	open	—	04-20 04:25
btc updown 5m 1776735000	1	$149	151	+151	open	—	04-21 01:35
sol updown 5m 1776672300	2	$149	151	+151	open	—	04-20 08:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 21:18:38	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xcf6d51…
05-09 21:18:06	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xf40958…
05-09 21:17:52	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x6da9e3…
05-08 05:54:18	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in May?	Yes	SELL	140	9¢	$13	0xf3c02e…
05-08 05:54:18	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	25¢	$8	0x938b38…
05-08 05:52:33	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	26¢	$4	0xf81f7d…
05-08 05:52:32	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in May?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0xb2e164…
05-07 17:32:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x572057…
05-07 17:32:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x54ecf0…
05-07 16:21:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x95f35c…
05-07 15:23:25	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $96 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x8a05bc…
05-07 11:04:50	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x3e8b17…
05-07 07:41:39	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xdcb094…
05-06 14:50:14	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xa87060…
05-06 11:18:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x352fc0…
05-06 10:53:54	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	No	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0xc71174…
05-06 10:37:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x24ffb7…
05-06 06:17:52	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x74ce7c…
05-05 12:08:12	Will the Conservative Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xf184c2…
05-05 11:36:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xc567e2…
05-05 11:25:50	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xcf4964…
05-05 10:56:06	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x2e45fc…
05-05 10:55:02	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc82106…
05-04 10:43:26	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x23e04e…
05-04 10:17:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xfad8fd…
05-04 10:10:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xe6f983…
05-04 10:07:16	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x1dfdab…
05-04 10:06:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x4dd936…
05-03 20:45:30	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x6c0164…
05-03 17:02:26	FDA approves argenx's Vyvgart?	No	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x3840ce…
05-02 16:13:26	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	No	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0x2041dd…
05-02 04:05:28	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x0d318d…
05-01 21:04:30	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by May 31?	No	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x1cbd7e…
05-01 10:08:08	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xf763fe…
05-01 10:05:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x552a1d…
05-01 10:05:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xd63230…
04-25 20:00:06	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x260337…
04-25 19:35:06	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x0be0f2…
04-25 19:19:54	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x4496ee…
04-25 19:00:04	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0xf33b7b…
04-25 19:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x9f4468…
04-25 19:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x3b36c3…
04-25 13:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x8cfa11…
04-25 13:53:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xbfc1a8…
04-25 13:53:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xa453e3…
04-25 13:53:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x597c62…
04-25 13:53:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x237ab2…
04-25 13:53:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb669b2…
04-25 13:53:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x17f8b7…
04-25 13:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xfa3d5e…
04-25 13:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x3acf3f…
04-25 13:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xa8ffff…
04-25 13:48:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x925092…
04-25 13:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x05d813…
04-25 13:40:58	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x43ff87…
04-25 13:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	48	48¢	$23	0x6f7e66…
04-25 13:39:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xc7232f…
04-25 13:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x3fc754…
04-25 13:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x274b1c…
04-25 13:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xea4ec7…
04-25 13:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x44b322…
04-25 13:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x6ed149…
04-25 13:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x385cd7…
04-25 13:29:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xfb490b…
04-25 13:29:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd65fd8…
04-25 13:29:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf7b483…
04-25 13:29:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0xd1d5f8…
04-25 13:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xff20b7…
04-25 13:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x18f7d6…
04-25 13:18:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6c7ce3…
04-25 13:18:18	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x18c5ba…
04-25 13:17:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc7bf99…
04-25 13:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xe0f25e…
04-25 13:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xe244b3…
04-25 13:08:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xc815b2…
04-25 13:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xfabc66…
04-25 13:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x95e997…
04-25 13:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x554a5d…
04-25 13:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x39841e…
04-25 13:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0b8571…
04-25 13:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0afee2…
04-25 12:59:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xa8f1d7…
04-25 12:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x05c41e…
04-25 12:50:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	48	48¢	$23	0xb93a8d…
04-25 12:49:54	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xeaf487…
04-25 12:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xf14b37…
04-25 12:49:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x18881b…
04-25 12:48:48	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xaf150f…
04-25 12:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xa4c41c…
04-25 12:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xb1222c…
04-25 12:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xa9de85…
04-25 12:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x5ed849…
04-25 12:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x57b586…
04-25 12:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x01b115…
04-25 12:35:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xd27da5…
04-25 12:35:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x2008d5…
04-25 12:32:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	35	48¢	$17	0xcabdad…
04-25 12:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x1ffed2…
04-25 12:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xb990ba…
04-25 12:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x319102…