Fitting-Descendant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$101

Hit rate

48.3%

Resolved

1,797

Trades

7,980

lifetime

Volume

$414.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

$586

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-02 04:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 236 days

Categories

Sports

72% 50% -$18,361

Other

24% 40% -$12,349

Crypto

3% 38% -$536

Politics

0% 0% -$170

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No		-1,000	-$413	45¢	$-452	-$40	10-23 09:50
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No		-2,143	-$73	6¢	$-134	-$61	09-24 07:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	23	$8.7K	15,100	0	+15,100	Under	-$8,688	07-11 22:54
nba ind was 2026 02 19	249	$5.8K	11,671	0	+11,671	Wizards	-$1,066	02-20 00:18
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	36	$4.3K	20,603	0	+20,603	Broncos	-$4,327	01-18 01:14
nhl buf nyr 2026 01 08	18	$4.0K	8,588	0	+8,588	Sabres	-$4,033	01-08 07:36
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread home 5pt5	5	$2.9K	2,040	2,038	+2	Knicks	+$858	06-14 03:15
nba dal sac 2026 01 06	15	$2.9K	5,076	0	+5,076	Mavericks	-$330	01-07 06:31
nhl chi nyr 2026 03 27	44	$2.7K	6,867	0	+6,867	Rangers	-$2,680	03-27 23:41
sea tor par 2026 03 13 total 2pt5	5	$2.3K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	Over	+$140	03-13 20:44
nba phi gsw 2026 02 03	41	$2.2K	4,965	0	+4,965	76ers	+$2,722	02-04 02:43
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	13	$2.1K	3,447	0	+3,447	No	+$1,315	03-23 13:03
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-08-10?	15	$2.1K	3,939	0	+3,939	No	-$2,088	08-10 04:48
nba den phi 2026 01 05	9	$2.1K	2,912	0	+2,912	Nuggets	-$1,298	01-06 03:52
swe hif hac 2026 08 09 total 3pt5	13	$2.0K	4,300	300	+4,000	Under	-$1,047	08-09 13:46
nba cle min 2026 01 08	6	$1.9K	2,932	0	+2,932	Timberwolves	-$146	01-09 02:50
nhl phi cbj 2026 01 28	20	$1.8K	3,420	0	+3,420	Blue Jackets	+$1,605	01-28 17:01
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	3	$1.7K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$270	03-31 05:31
nhl wpg sj 2026 03 01	57	$1.7K	3,554	0	+3,554	Sharks	+$1,884	03-01 18:08
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	2	$1.6K	3,411	0	+3,411	Under	+$1,785	05-10 19:52
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread home 6pt5	4	$1.6K	2,041	1,040	+1,001	Knicks	+$622	06-06 02:17
nba tor orl 2026 01 30	19	$1.6K	3,442	0	+3,442	Magic	-$1,468	01-31 02:36
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)	5	$1.6K	1,017	1,015	+2	Rockets	+$336	10-25 02:12
nba det nop 2026 01 21	18	$1.5K	2,091	0	+2,091	Pistons	+$447	01-21 23:00
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	27	$1.5K	2,041	2,041	+0	Knicks	-$482	06-04 02:11
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)	6	$1.5K	1,019	1,017	+2	Bucks	+$398	10-08 02:23
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)	7	$1.5K	1,019	1,017	+2	Nets	+$418	11-02 00:30
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)	11	$1.5K	1,004	1,002	+2	Warriors	+$394	10-29 01:35
nba nyk det 2026 01 05	10	$1.5K	3,087	0	+3,087	Pistons	+$405	01-05 18:35
nba uta nop 2026 04 07 spread home 7pt5	11	$1.4K	2,000	400	+1,600	Pelicans	-$800	04-08 01:14
nba den lal 2026 10 16 spread home 3pt5	11	$1.4K	1,000	998	+2	Nuggets	+$420	10-17 04:54
nba sac dal 2026 02 26 spread home 7pt5	9	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	Kings	+$435	02-27 03:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 04:03:45	Spread: Lakers (-10.5)	Raptors	BUY	59	50¢	$30	0x264260…
11-02 04:03:42	Spread: Lakers (-10.5)	Raptors	BUY	41	50¢	$20	0x5792b9…
11-02 03:52:45	Spread: Warriors (-12.5)	Clippers	BUY	73	58¢	$42	0x3adb8a…
11-02 03:48:18	Spread: Warriors (-12.5)	Clippers	BUY	27	58¢	$16	0x77c421…
11-02 03:41:40	Spread: Warriors (-16.5)	Clippers	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0x94c6fd…
11-02 03:36:28	Spread: Warriors (-12.5)	Clippers	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0xd9bb9c…
11-02 03:14:57	Spread: Warriors (-8.5)	Clippers	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x2a2fc4…
11-02 02:51:55	Spread: Warriors (-6.5)	Clippers	BUY	250	50¢	$125	0x7626be…
11-02 02:51:54	Spread: Warriors (-6.5)	Clippers	BUY	109	50¢	$54	0x473f49…
11-02 02:34:12	Spread: Warriors (-6.5)	Clippers	BUY	41	50¢	$20	0xf2d9ea…
11-02 02:34:04	Spread: Warriors (-6.5)	Clippers	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x7db909…
11-02 02:04:54	Spread: Clippers (-3.5)	Warriors	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xd0466f…
11-02 02:04:52	Spread: Clippers (-3.5)	Warriors	BUY	185	50¢	$92	0x477253…
11-02 02:04:42	Spread: Clippers (-3.5)	Warriors	BUY	31	50¢	$16	0x197ff8…
11-02 02:04:27	Spread: Clippers (-3.5)	Warriors	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xb4db29…
11-02 02:03:22	Spread: Clippers (-3.5)	Warriors	BUY	174	50¢	$87	0x493e65…
11-02 00:30:06	Spread: Pacers (-3.5)	Nets	SELL	93	95¢	$88	0xbee5c6…
11-02 00:30:06	Spread: Pacers (-3.5)	Nets	SELL	93	95¢	$88	0x97ce00…
11-02 00:30:06	Spread: Pacers (-3.5)	Nets	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0x351a23…
11-02 00:30:06	Spread: Pacers (-3.5)	Nets	SELL	331	95¢	$314	0x1ecf4a…
11-02 00:28:48	Spread: Pacers (-3.5)	Nets	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x042a70…
11-02 00:13:13	Spread: Pacers (-3.5)	Nets	SELL	400	90¢	$360	0xc34075…
11-01 22:36:04	Spread: Celtics (-7.5)	Celtics	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xccab00…
11-01 21:55:31	Spread: Pacers (-3.5)	Nets	BUY	1,019	52¢	$530	0xe9758a…
11-01 20:50:13	Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xcf9c72…
11-01 20:49:19	Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xfb9dcc…
11-01 20:49:12	Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcb8455…
11-01 20:45:10	Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x444c13…
11-01 20:33:54	Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x7042f6…
11-01 16:53:48	Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x4178c2…
11-01 15:29:36	Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xc8d589…
11-01 15:09:10	Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	29	57¢	$16	0x8162f6…
11-01 15:04:40	Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xed16e1…
11-01 02:02:33	Spread: Cavaliers (-24.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xa782af…
11-01 02:02:33	Spread: Cavaliers (-24.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	84	51¢	$43	0x4d1fb1…
11-01 01:39:36	Spread: Cavaliers (-24.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x755f0b…
10-31 23:48:10	Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)	Kings	BUY	1,000	48¢	$480	0x61d68c…
10-31 23:00:36	Spread: 76ers (-2.5)	76ers	BUY	88	50¢	$44	0xa33c23…
10-31 23:00:34	Spread: 76ers (-2.5)	76ers	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x92deac…
10-31 23:00:34	Spread: 76ers (-2.5)	76ers	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x82ee43…
10-31 23:00:34	Spread: 76ers (-2.5)	76ers	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x663174…
10-31 20:48:16	Spread: Trail Blazers (-22.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x89e63a…
10-31 20:36:09	AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	41	44¢	$18	0x21b658…
10-31 20:35:43	Spread: Trail Blazers (-20.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x7011a1…
10-31 20:35:43	Spread: Trail Blazers (-20.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x5c84f8…
10-31 20:14:27	Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x3a2ed8…
10-31 19:43:58	Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x2926b1…
10-31 17:46:46	Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	41	45¢	$18	0x38fd4b…
10-31 15:18:51	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	41	50¢	$20	0xd33fb7…
10-31 15:18:33	SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	41	45¢	$18	0x8ab0e5…
10-31 15:11:12	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x977f3d…
10-31 13:21:16	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x654452…
10-31 04:00:27	Spread: Lakers (-4.5)	Lakers	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x0648c3…
10-31 03:33:07	Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)	Nuggets	BUY	83	53¢	$44	0x5614bb…
10-31 03:33:06	Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)	Nuggets	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xb62644…
10-31 02:53:45	Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)	Nuggets	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x423591…
10-31 02:29:22	Spread: Lakers (-11.5)	Lakers	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x1b79cc…
10-31 02:16:37	Spread: Lakers (-7.5)	Lakers	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xe89364…
10-31 02:16:37	Spread: Lakers (-7.5)	Lakers	BUY	86	52¢	$45	0xa2b140…
10-31 01:51:49	Spread: Rockets (-8.5)	Rockets	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x8de66d…
10-31 01:51:49	Spread: Rockets (-8.5)	Rockets	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x704242…
10-31 01:51:49	Spread: Rockets (-8.5)	Rockets	BUY	29	54¢	$16	0x3cb2b1…
10-31 01:24:57	Spread: 76ers (-3.5)	Knicks	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x216513…
10-31 01:04:34	Spread: Rockets (-5.5)	Rockets	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xeb51fd…
10-31 00:49:31	Spread: Heat (-2.5)	Pacers	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x9b52d7…
10-31 00:49:15	Spread: Heat (-2.5)	Pacers	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x25edc2…
10-30 23:25:18	Spread: Pistons (-7.5)	Nets	BUY	1,021	48¢	$490	0xd95908…
10-30 21:02:24	Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xd56c8e…
10-30 20:53:58	Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0x4c85fd…
10-30 20:48:01	Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	41	46¢	$19	0x228e08…
10-30 18:21:31	OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xfbe881…
10-30 03:31:43	Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xf2046f…
10-30 02:58:57	Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	43	49¢	$21	0x4df446…
10-30 02:58:57	Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	57	49¢	$28	0x2081c8…
10-30 02:44:24	Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	95	50¢	$48	0xe6b3f4…
10-30 02:41:39	Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x3f9f61…
10-30 02:33:22	Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf7fe59…
10-30 01:59:10	Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)	Kings	BUY	82	52¢	$43	0x9a6d90…
10-30 01:59:10	Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)	Kings	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x504cc3…
10-30 01:59:10	Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)	Kings	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x36fb0d…
10-30 01:59:10	Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)	Kings	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1820b4…
10-30 01:45:33	Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)	Kings	BUY	80	51¢	$41	0xca256c…
10-30 01:45:33	Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)	Kings	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x365f34…
10-30 01:00:36	Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)	Kings	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x5f9f2b…
10-29 01:57:31	Spread: Spurs (-6.5)	Spurs	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xb31257…
10-29 01:57:16	Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	Knicks	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x464b85…
10-29 01:55:43	Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	Knicks	BUY	96	48¢	$46	0xbe7063…
10-29 01:35:10	Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)	Warriors	SELL	116	95¢	$110	0xf8e056…
10-29 01:35:10	Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)	Warriors	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x57c704…
10-29 01:35:10	Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)	Warriors	SELL	465	95¢	$441	0x55abc9…
10-29 01:33:10	Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)	Warriors	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0x742cb0…
10-29 01:13:44	Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)	Warriors	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xd5a184…
10-29 01:13:44	Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)	Warriors	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xd2921b…
10-29 01:13:44	Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)	Warriors	SELL	105	90¢	$94	0x5fbfd5…
10-29 01:13:44	Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)	Warriors	SELL	70	90¢	$63	0x32020b…
10-29 01:12:53	Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)	Warriors	SELL	18	90¢	$16	0x765e7f…
10-29 01:11:11	Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)	Warriors	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xb39e3d…
10-29 01:09:47	Spread: Heat (-8.5)	Heat	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xce3d74…
10-29 01:02:20	Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)	Wizards	BUY	90	52¢	$47	0x16bffd…
10-29 00:43:34	Spread: Heat (-10.5)	Heat	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x346d20…