Fitting-Descendant — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$655

Unrealized P&L

-$173

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

124

8,144 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$9.26K

$424.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

$658

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-13 03:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 247 days

Categories

Sports

73% 50% -$17,387

Other

24% 40% -$12,285

Crypto

3% 38% -$536

Politics

0% 0% -$170

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No		-1,000	-$413	52¢	$-517	-$104	10-23 09:50
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No		-2,143	-$73	7¢	$-141	-$69	09-24 07:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	23	$8.7K	15,100	0	+15,100	Under	-$8,688	07-11 22:54
nba ind was 2026 02 19	249	$5.8K	11,671	0	+11,671	Wizards	-$1,066	02-20 00:18
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	36	$4.3K	20,603	0	+20,603	Broncos	-$4,327	01-18 01:14
nhl buf nyr 2026 01 08	18	$4.0K	8,588	0	+8,588	Sabres	-$4,033	01-08 07:36
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread home 5pt5	5	$2.9K	2,040	2,038	+2	Knicks	+$858	06-14 03:15
nba dal sac 2026 01 06	15	$2.9K	5,076	0	+5,076	Mavericks	-$330	01-07 06:31
nhl chi nyr 2026 03 27	44	$2.7K	6,867	0	+6,867	Rangers	-$2,680	03-27 23:41
sea tor par 2026 03 13 total 2pt5	5	$2.3K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	Over	+$140	03-13 20:44
nba phi gsw 2026 02 03	41	$2.2K	4,965	0	+4,965	76ers	+$2,722	02-04 02:43
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	13	$2.1K	3,447	0	+3,447	No	+$1,315	03-23 13:03
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-08-10?	15	$2.1K	3,939	0	+3,939	No	-$2,088	08-10 04:48
nba den phi 2026 01 05	9	$2.1K	2,912	0	+2,912	Nuggets	-$1,298	01-06 03:52
swe hif hac 2026 08 09 total 3pt5	13	$2.0K	4,300	300	+4,000	Under	-$1,047	08-09 13:46
nba cle min 2026 01 08	6	$1.9K	2,932	0	+2,932	Timberwolves	-$146	01-09 02:50
nhl phi cbj 2026 01 28	20	$1.8K	3,420	0	+3,420	Blue Jackets	+$1,605	01-28 17:01
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	3	$1.7K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$270	03-31 05:31
nhl wpg sj 2026 03 01	57	$1.7K	3,554	0	+3,554	Sharks	+$1,884	03-01 18:08
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	2	$1.6K	3,411	0	+3,411	Under	+$1,785	05-10 19:52
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread home 6pt5	4	$1.6K	2,041	1,040	+1,001	Knicks	+$622	06-06 02:17
nba tor orl 2026 01 30	19	$1.6K	3,442	0	+3,442	Magic	-$1,468	01-31 02:36
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)	5	$1.6K	1,017	1,015	+2	Rockets	+$336	10-25 02:12
nba det nop 2026 01 21	18	$1.5K	2,091	0	+2,091	Pistons	+$447	01-21 23:00
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	27	$1.5K	2,041	2,041	+0	Knicks	-$482	06-04 02:11
Spread: Spurs (-29.5)	3	$1.5K	3,000	0	+3,000	Trail Blazers	+$1,500	11-08 05:03
Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)	3	$1.5K	1,019	1,017	+2	Nets	+$398	11-12 02:32
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)	6	$1.5K	1,019	1,017	+2	Bucks	+$398	10-08 02:23
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)	7	$1.5K	1,019	1,017	+2	Nets	+$418	11-02 00:30
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)	11	$1.5K	1,004	1,002	+2	Warriors	+$394	10-29 01:35
nba nyk det 2026 01 05	10	$1.5K	3,087	0	+3,087	Pistons	+$405	01-05 18:35
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	18	$1.4K	1,000	998	+2	Raptors	+$410	11-12 02:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 03:50:43	Spread: Hornets (-1.5)	Suns	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x841d45…
11-13 03:04:51	Spread: Suns (-8.5)	Suns	BUY	35	50¢	$18	0x329fb3…
11-13 03:04:34	Spread: Suns (-8.5)	Suns	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf9aa33…
11-13 03:03:12	Spread: Suns (-8.5)	Suns	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xfbf718…
11-13 03:03:12	Spread: Suns (-8.5)	Suns	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0x61d469…
11-13 02:46:22	Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5	Over	BUY	23	50¢	$11	0x5e13f4…
11-13 02:46:21	Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5	Over	BUY	77	50¢	$39	0x04ad6d…
11-13 02:11:09	Spread: Pistons (-5.5)	Pistons	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xf219e6…
11-13 01:32:00	Spread: Pistons (-10.5)	Pistons	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x89f2af…
11-13 01:32:00	Spread: Pistons (-10.5)	Pistons	BUY	82	52¢	$43	0x82ed40…
11-13 00:55:07	Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)	Mavericks	BUY	1,020	50¢	$510	0xa85ac0…
11-13 00:39:40	Spread: Raptors (-2.5)	Raptors	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xb6de27…
11-12 02:32:57	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	Raptors	SELL	150	95¢	$142	0xc83354…
11-12 02:32:57	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	Raptors	SELL	91	95¢	$86	0xa0c6c5…
11-12 02:32:57	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	Raptors	SELL	135	95¢	$128	0x6abc6d…
11-12 02:32:57	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	Raptors	SELL	88	95¢	$84	0x5935f9…
11-12 02:32:57	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	Raptors	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0x012c02…
11-12 02:32:55	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	Raptors	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0x50e27e…
11-12 02:32:22	Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)	Nets	SELL	617	95¢	$586	0x066b9e…
11-12 02:32:15	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	Raptors	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x198054…
11-12 02:32:13	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	Raptors	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x40e265…
11-12 02:32:13	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	Raptors	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x2ac3f0…
11-12 02:32:13	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	Raptors	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x2894cd…
11-12 02:30:55	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	Raptors	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x6e45fe…
11-12 02:16:34	Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)	Nets	SELL	400	90¢	$360	0xf62821…
11-12 02:01:31	Spread: Lakers (-14.5)	Lakers	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x7fefc3…
11-12 01:46:54	Spread: Lakers (-16.5)	Lakers	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xa56850…
11-12 01:37:04	Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)	Nuggets	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x4fe59c…
11-12 01:27:36	Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)	Nuggets	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0xdf3197…
11-12 01:27:36	Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)	Nuggets	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0x7803c6…
11-12 01:02:10	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	Raptors	SELL	39	90¢	$35	0x279951…
11-12 01:02:04	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	Raptors	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xc7d331…
11-12 01:02:03	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	Raptors	SELL	170	90¢	$153	0xe3e22c…
11-12 01:02:03	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	Raptors	SELL	8	90¢	$8	0x204d7b…
11-12 01:01:54	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	Raptors	SELL	168	90¢	$151	0x982858…
11-12 00:59:00	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	Raptors	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x65d5a2…
11-12 00:55:12	Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)	Nets	BUY	1,019	54¢	$550	0xf4511a…
11-11 23:37:54	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	Raptors	BUY	1,000	52¢	$520	0x631bb5…
11-11 02:57:21	Spread: Suns (-10.5)	Clippers	BUY	80	54¢	$43	0xd4b4a8…
11-11 02:57:21	Spread: Suns (-10.5)	Clippers	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xa1ad99…
11-11 02:50:33	Spread: Celtics (-4.5)	Celtics	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xde5314…
11-11 02:43:43	Spread: Suns (-7.5)	Clippers	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x819190…
11-11 02:24:06	Spread: Knicks (-17.5)	Bucks	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x2dcc35…
11-11 01:52:48	Spread: Knicks (-20.5)	Bucks	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x78850b…
11-10 02:42:45	Spread: Grizzlies (-11.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xbfb39b…
11-10 02:32:22	Spread: Grizzlies (-9.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x65f042…
11-10 02:18:16	Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x923238…
11-10 01:57:19	Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x10db0b…
11-10 01:29:40	Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xc312aa…
11-10 01:00:09	Spread: Lakers (-10.5)	Lakers	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x1ab9bf…
11-09 03:01:34	Spread: Celtics (-22.5)	Bucks	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x9f5bd6…
11-09 02:57:42	Spread: Celtics (-20.5)	Bucks	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x4862f7…
11-09 02:19:13	Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)	Jazz	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xccae4a…
11-09 02:18:33	Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)	Jazz	BUY	84	46¢	$39	0xb10e53…
11-09 02:18:33	Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)	Jazz	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x02080d…
11-09 01:26:00	Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)	Jazz	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xd59828…
11-09 01:06:36	Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)	Jazz	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x2cf319…
11-09 00:27:46	Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)	Jazz	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x0c3ef3…
11-09 00:09:12	Spread: Lakers (-8.5)	Lakers	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x24ac6b…
11-08 23:51:42	Spread: Lakers (-4.5)	Lakers	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x66c345…
11-08 21:04:31	Spread: 76ers (-9.5)	76ers	BUY	98	50¢	$49	0x53c7aa…
11-08 21:03:10	Spread: 76ers (-9.5)	76ers	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4dfc44…
11-08 18:20:30	Villarreal CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0xee5e52…
11-08 17:51:22	FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	41	44¢	$18	0x56e62a…
11-08 17:16:52	SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	41	52¢	$21	0x2a3663…
11-08 16:06:12	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0x9560f6…
11-08 15:05:48	AC Monza vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0xe5e549…
11-08 14:51:16	AC Monza vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xb4cca7…
11-08 14:49:55	Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	41	56¢	$23	0xf4fea8…
11-08 14:41:54	Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x56d4c7…
11-08 14:41:22	Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcc596a…
11-08 13:49:31	Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	41	44¢	$18	0x027b53…
11-08 05:03:42	Spread: Spurs (-29.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x88c4f4…
11-08 05:03:42	Spread: Spurs (-29.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	2,898	50¢	$1,449	0x50208f…
11-08 05:03:40	Spread: Spurs (-29.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x395e1d…
11-08 02:13:33	Spread: Nets (-3.5)	Nets	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xdba67f…
11-08 02:13:04	Spread: Nets (-3.5)	Nets	BUY	81	48¢	$39	0x825816…
11-08 02:09:39	Spread: Knicks (-9.5)	Knicks	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x7445a9…
11-08 02:01:36	Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Knicks	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xbd1008…
11-08 01:36:16	Spread: Nets (-1.5)	Nets	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x83a8e2…
11-08 00:48:40	Spread: Hawks (-1.5)	Nets	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x22d72b…
11-08 00:21:42	Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)	Nuggets	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xc91b69…
11-07 23:07:04	Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)	Nuggets	BUY	98	47¢	$46	0xdae296…
11-07 23:05:31	Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)	Nuggets	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xae0d7a…
11-07 22:52:48	Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)	Nuggets	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x9a2375…
11-07 22:38:00	Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)	Nuggets	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xaf8cba…
11-07 20:32:57	AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	41	41¢	$17	0x433029…
11-07 19:06:46	AJ Auxerre vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0x3dfe35…
11-07 19:03:12	AJ Auxerre vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x8f1d4d…
11-07 18:02:45	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xd330e5…
11-07 17:51:51	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xdaa99c…
11-07 16:07:49	Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0xeee5a6…
11-07 16:07:43	Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x16f1dd…
11-07 16:07:21	Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x7b7f21…
11-07 15:59:43	Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xbcfebc…
11-07 15:56:43	Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x434fc6…
11-07 15:52:39	Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0x9b0124…
11-07 15:50:31	Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xf567ba…
11-07 15:24:12	Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0x74bead…
11-07 15:21:31	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	41	42¢	$17	0x54e2a8…